Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Bertz

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,652

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    31

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    If this ends up being more than a one start deal (and how often do elbows, however mild, not require an IL trip and 3-4 missed turns?) I wonder if Kyle gets the subsequent starts. Feels like if there's more time to prep plus Thursday's off day Birdsell should be the guy.
  2. Bertz
    I wonder if we see another Kyle Hendricks start this year. There are four weeks left in the season, and 3 of those feature a Thursday off day. The one week that doesn't, the week of 9/16, the team is facing Washington & Oakland at Wrigley. So you need a 6th starter maybe one or two more times this year? Kyle's probably the favorite to take those starts, but it could easily be Wesneski (assuming no setbacks) or Kilian.
  3. Bertz
    Playing a night game on Labor Day is kinda messed up?
  4. Bertz
    Something kind of funny is happening with Dansby Swanson. He's now after today's game hit the 3 WAR mark for the year. He is tied with Trea Turner at 3.0 WAR, and both guys are way ahead of Xander Bogaerts' 1.6 (strong consideration for worst contract in baseball). Carlos Correa played like an MVP the first half of the year and put up 3.6 WAR. But he's injured with no timetable I can find for a return. Decent chance he's done for the year. Both Turner and Swanson likely pass him in that case. So if Dansby outplays Turner over the next month he probably has the best year from his little FA SS cohort even after the rough first half.
  5. Bertz
    So if Long has let's call it 55 grade in game power, it feels like he's probably a MLBer. Certainly if he can hack it anywhere but 1B. Something in the Mark Canha neighborhood if things go right?
  6. Bertz
    Counsell seems to be giving Keegan an opportunity to quickly re-enter the circle of trust. Him and Pearson having a hig September would be really big heading into the winter.
  7. Bertz
    Assuming Mastro for the next ~2 weeks and then Caissie once the Iowa season ends?
  8. Bertz
    Wiggins needed a start like this it's been ugly at SB for a guy advanced enough he should be doing a whole lot better there
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    That last pitch to Wood looked like it took a left turn in mid air, good lord
  11. Bertz
    Fun with Abitrary Endpoints, Alfonsin Rosario since 6/20: 224 PAs, .258/.375/.457, 144 wRC+, 12.9% BB, 27.7% K, 7 dongs
  12. Bertz
    Really good matchup for Wisdom. Not a bad one for Paredes either. Generally looking forward to the meltdown if Herz pitches well. It's all "trade prosepcts!" until one does well and then people lose their minds.
  13. Bertz
    So apparently the Pirates are not quite using a 6 man rotation, they're using a six day rotation. So with the off day yesterday Mitch Keller is pitching Sunday, and during the Cubs series starting Monday it likely goes Jones-Skenes-German. Like Keller's obviously much less scary than Jones and especially Skenes, but he's a good pitcher while Domingo German is very much not.
  14. Bertz
    Nate Pearson is starting to look really really good. Even last outing gave up a solo dong on a decent pitch and then mowed down the next 6 guys.
  15. Bertz
    Johnny Long noticed us hedging our excitement because of his lack of ISO
  16. Bertz
    It's a bit weird for the Cubs to have not announced probables yet. They usually do it the night before even on off days. I wonder if there's a rotation shuffle coming in conjunction with roster expansion.
  17. Bertz
    I'd lean against this. It's not an awful idea, I won't write a screed if they make it, but it's probably a bad idea. Rogers isn't really an $11M caliber arm anymore. Like these are the guys who got 8 figure AAVs last year Hader Kimbrel Stephenson Robertson Chapman Plus Hicks and Reynaldo Lopez who signed as SPs with a relief fallback If Bellinger opts in, money's going to be a little tight this winter with ~$50M available to spend. I don't think Rogers is talented enough to pay a premium for jumping the market. There is some value in getting Rogers a month with Hottovy, as well as going into the winter with RP being a less dire need. But overall this would feel like the $9M no longer earmarked for Neris is burning a hole in Jed's pocket. If he's itching to spend it I'd personally rather extend Lopez.
  18. Bertz
    By the end of the night we're going to be at over 150 PAs of Jonathan long OPSing over 1.000 and having more walks than strikeouts. I'm a bit worried about the power if he has to stick at 1B but man I want more details on this guy because these numbers are insane.
  19. Bertz
    I wouldn't bet my 401k on it, but the team being so blase about the LT makes me think they have no intention of signing a QO free agent this winter. So Alonso probably doesn't need to take up too much of you worry.
  20. Bertz
    The Athletic literally yesterday pushed back on this. The Logan O'hoppe news was from a separate Sharma article two weeks two weeks ago that more or less said the Cubs are happy with Amaya's hot streak but catcher is still a top priority this winter.
  21. Bertz
    The 2025 Cubs should have one of Bellinger or Tauchman but not both. It's very straightforward IMO.
  22. Bertz
  23. Bertz
    That is probably too rich for Rogers. Not by a ton, it wouldn't be silly, but there are some yellow flags in his profile and 1/$11M can probably go a little further over the winter.I think if we were closer to the playoffs this year or it was earlier in the season I'd be a little more hell yeah about it. But if we want to jump the FA market on a reliever I am going to keep banging this drum that I think we should try and lock down Lopez. With reliever volatility there's definitely something to be said for "we already know this guy and Tommy Hottovy really vibe."
  24. Bertz
    Attempting the AJ Burnett no hitter is a bold move given current minor league pitch limits
  25. Bertz
    Yeah with his defense and baseunning the offensive bar is similar to where it is for a good defensive catcher. - 2 WAR for a truly average player over 600 PAs - 2.5 runs (.25 WAR) for being a CF - Coming into today he's at 5.4 runs of baserunning value in just under 300 PAs, so call him a +10 baserunner - He's been a +10 defender by DRS (guys watching video) and +9 by Statcast. So he's been playing like a +20 defender. My personal opinion is that except in the most extreme of examples (e.g. Andrelton Simmons or Andruw Jones) anything beyond +15 isn't all that repeatable. So let's call him a +15 guy but note if someone's going to pass that hallowed threshold he'd be among the most likely So that puts him at like 4.7-4.8 WAR as a league average hitter. Let's knock it down to 4.5 to settle at a nice round number while being conservative?
×
×
  • Create New...