squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Brown has 102 career innings and 2.1 fWAR, he has 85 innings as a starter giving up a .305 OBP and a .307 wOBA. His ERA as a starter is 4.35, and his FIP is 3.51. It’s easy to dream on what he could become given the flashes but he’s been fine and based on everything should continue to be more than fine as is.
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Also get Eflin
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Guys it’s going to be fine
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This pitcher is objectively very bad, Boyd has been fantastic, so inevitably I expect this will be the one game this series we drop.
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It’s like 2018 Javy on steroids
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Fixed
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Horton got it through some sort of scorekeepers discretion clause. The rules get funky. failed prospect Cade Horton with a quality start and no walks with the wind howling out. Why can’t all these guys just throw strikes and also get tons of whiffs and also not throw anything too hittable, is that too much to ask
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*gestures at everything*
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(Nobody look up what Jackson Jobe, Chase Dollander, or Chase Petty has done this year)
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Nice we’re writing off our top 50 pitching prospect 6 innings into his major league career, fun.
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I mean, if you’re worried about playing a terrible team that we’ve beaten 7 out of the last 8 times, more power to you, but that also generally means you worry about every game.
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The cubs went 4-0 against the Sox last year, 3-1 the year before. People truly just remember the bad stuff about this team.
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https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/kyle-tucker-663656?stats=gamelogs-r-hitting-statcast&season=2025 This is as close as I've gotten to that type of granular detail, do with it what you will (and you aren't wrong on Tuesday night). When I was reading through that, I was trying to keep in mind that his average exit velocity this year is 90.6 mph (and 91.1 mph last year), and I figured anything in the single digits or negative were ground balls.
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Eh….Mullins and Laureano hitting free agency after this year. They’ve got hitting prospects for days but most of them are seemingly infielders/catchers. (Also, Wiggins isn’t untouchable)
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The batted ball profile in those numbers I included say otherwise though. Hard hit balls are a flat 1/3rd of his output, soft is down, medium is up. It could just be/probably is just bucketing noise. But that 20% soft hit % in April would have been by far the highest of his career. His current overall 17.6% still is, but it's actually trending in the right direction. Someone smarter/more connected than me can find like, rolling average exit velocity or specific data on GBs, but I just don't see it borne out in the actual numbers.
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He's got a bunch of team control still, doesn't hit free agency until 2030. I joked last night about trading for him in a couple years (in a post Seiya and/or Happ world), but even as unserious as the Marlins are, bailing on a good player with 4 more years after control seems a little beyond the pale.
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The weak contact thing seems anecdotal. Like, yes, the double was a check swing, but the double play ball was over 100 mph and had an expected BA of like .630. That stuff evens out. Ground ball rate has spiked, which explains the slug dropping 80ish points. But hitting more GBs and less FBs would typically help your BABIP, and it's down 76 points. Ultimately, it's 12 games vs 30 games, there's going to be a lot of noise, but the stats you can lean more heavily on (exit velo metrics, K/BB rates are all very healthy). Slight mechanical tweak to get the ball back up in the air and we should expect him getting back to elite instead of just very good.
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The Cubs offense is not as good as it was in April. It’s better than it has been in May. These things happen.
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The Cubs had a 100 wRC in May going into today.
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Bad offense, successful series
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Robot umps
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Pretty excited to trade Christian Hernandez for Kyle Stowers in June 2027.
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Swanson Tucker Suzuki Kelly (DH) PCA Hoerner Amaya Turner Berti
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Zach Eflin?
