squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Got it. Think we're on the same page. Most logical explanation to me is that it's generally an injury that will linger but you can still play through as it heals, he obviously didn't struggle right away but as the healing process continued, swelling went down, etc something got thrown off physically, which then spiraled into (over)corrections and approach issues and confidence issues and whatever else got us to here. But obviously just a guess.
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I believe the consensus was that the injury occurred on a slide on June 1, but happy to retract if I have that wrong.
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It did for June.
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Cosgrove up, Little and Hollowell down, assume the last piece there is Taillon activated.
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Found this link on reddit on a Tucker discussion (spoilers because it's massive). This is since July 3rd, guessing you could probably make it look better or worse by playing with the starting point. For me, it shows a few things are true. This is a results based business and his results have been absolutely terrible, and the time off is probably the best move for his own sanity (and everyone else's, seemingly). He is simultaneously not performing anywhere near what expectations for him are, and also getting very, very unlucky. To the extent you buy into xwOBA (your mileage may vary), Kyle Tucker in the (likely) worst slump of his career has expected batted ball metrics that are basically on par with what you'd expect Ian Happ or PCA (or a 2025 Cody Bellinger) to do (understanding those are different paths to the same overall, .335/.340ish wOBA outcome), and that's before his 30 SB pace and his passable corner outfield defense. Throw in a likely injury, and if this is the floor....it's a pretty appealing overall package.
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I actually appreciate the feedback. I don't think of what I'm doing as being a cop in that I don't intend to come off as being like 'no, shut up, stop offering your opinions'. People come on and give their opinions, and I assume they do it on a message board and not twitter because they want interaction. I'm probably not nearly as good as some of the other analytics guys (someone like 1908, as an example) in terms of getting my message across of like 'actually if you look at it this way, maybe you'd see it differently'. Can probably get better at that. But I'm totally fine with people disagreeing with my (increasingly dumb looking) optimistic takes and saying so, either by directly replying or by implicitly ('I was told...') or explicitly calling me out. It's all part of the experience. There's, to my knowledge, a lot more 'meatball'-y places to go and I always liked how this has been the 'least bad' Cubs message board on the internet. Now, someone using their Philly background to justify booing a Cubs player and then immediately going to comments like 'what are you their mother, let the adults talk' should be called out, in my opinion.
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What sort of interaction do you prefer on a message board, especially in a game where we are lost 7-0.
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I'm well aware it's the definition of insanity to keep doing this, especially at this exact moment, so, apologies, but in that 37 game stretch you're citing, the Cubs offense is 21st in wRC and 15th in overall fWAR. (edit: can't help it, and 28th in BABIP)
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I mean, the Cubs will end the day either tied or alone in the first wild card spot and haven't lost more than 3 games in a row all year. Rapid and complete probably aren't the words I would use to describe it.
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'Where I'm from, Philly, which has famously good and well respected and not problematic fans'
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- cade horton
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Can we reassign Willi Castro down to 'CF against LHP and backup infielder' from 'Super-Sub/Pseudo Starter'?
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I mean....sure. Ownership should do things that keep the fans happy so that they give the owners money. You might find it hard to believe, but I have heard that phrase before. Anyways, what does that have to do with the fan/consumer booing someone on their own team? alternative/too online response: "Sir, the question was, is this your handwriting"
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Fans are the consumers, in this bad, tortured analogy. If I buy a cheeseburger at McDonalds, do I have the right to boo or yell at the kid working the register for not hustling? I mean, my money pays his salary right? Or would that just make me an a bad person, hypothetically.
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yeah that's the exact same thing good analogy
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pinch hit Happ? (kidding)
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He got pulled in the third, issue started in the second. Kept looking at his hand, couldn't control his breaking pitch.
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Hollowell and Little are both not long relief guys and they knew that Brown would be down for a couple days. Not sure why didn't go with someone that could offer a little more length.
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A 10-15 day IL stint for a blister is probably about the best you could hope for in terms of managing his innings. Pulling him in the third inning of game one of a DH is less than ideal obviously.
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The second inning was a little Ben Brown-ish. Couple very nasty pitches, couple points where he looked effectively wild, but the two hits and the lineout were all hit very hard. Hopefully it's just a grip issue and he can figure out a fix going forward, and we get a little BABIP luck to buy him a couple quick innings.
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starlin.gif good play by the rookie
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Unless/until things get drastically tighter in the standings, my dumb optimist brain is really just focused on continued health and effectiveness from the starting pitching. I keep waiting for it to explode, either on the Boyd/Horton health side or Rea/Taillon/a little bit Shota on the effectiveness side, but it's been looking really impressive lately and every day without bad health news is another day closer to October with what looks to be a really effective top three starters. Can't really do much about the hitters besides hope they come around and luck finds us at the right time. This group was elite as recently as like 3 months ago, clearly they can do it, and help isn't coming anyways. It's not going to keep me up at night when they struggle in August, it just doesn't matter yet. But going into October with like....Taillon and Rea/Assad as your #2 and #3 is effectively a death sentence.
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I suck at those rolling graphs things that all the smart people post here, but tried playing around with them a little bit and seemed like Tucker was at least hitting the ball harder lately. GB rate is spiking along with it, which is bad, but he through a pretty clear dip in his Hard Hit% that seems to have mostly gone back to the earlier season levels. It sucks we might not see April/May Tucker, but even 80% of it is still better than the alternatives.
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I was wondering why it was Little over Hodge but seems like Hodge has had some control issues the last two times out (5 walks in 3 total innings). Cumulative for August, with those appearances, is 7.1 scoreless, 5 hits, 6 walks, 11 Ks.
