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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Even setting aside this tie game, there's 5 games left. 5 days ago we had just completed a road sweep and had won 7 of 8. Momentum changes in a hurry.
  2. squally1313
    I don't know how to phrase the opposite of this, but Counsell famously doesn't chase wins, he has a good grasp of winning probability and won't waste top arms trying to mount comebacks. A 6-1 game had us at roughly 90% to win, knowing he wanted to limit Horton's pitches and trying to avoid an injury, recurring blister, etc. he might have figured it was the right gamble to take it home with the pen. Obviously it maybe didn't work (game is far from over). Or he's hurt and we're screwed.
  3. squally1313
    Again, the venn diagram of 'people who use the smallest horsefeathers mistake or slump to trash them and the team in general' and 'people who bend over backwards to defend a guy who missed two September baseball games to attend a stadium funeral/rally' is a circle. Like, setting aside the Charlie Kirk-ness of it all, the idea that the 25 other players on the team didn't have a single death more meaningful occur in their lives over the last six months is laughable, and I don't remember anyone missing multiple games for this type of thing. It's an insane overreaction and should be criticized accordingly, especially by the people who criticize horsefeathers everything else.
  4. squally1313
    They should have sent like 15 guys to go mourn Charlie Kirk for two weeks maybe
  5. squally1313
    No he shouldn’t start over Suzuki.
  6. squally1313
    I think the plan is the former, and the almost-worst case scenario* plan where Sunday matters is the latter. *Worst case scenario is by the time we get to Sunday we've already lost HFA
  7. squally1313
    You're not breaking horsefeathers dude, we're all very aware, it doesn't mean it doesn't suck. All these horsefeathers meatheads who scream about how pathetic these guys are because they have to gall to hit an occasional popup are all also weirdly fine with the starting third baseman missing two separate September baseball games over this. Weird.
  8. squally1313
    This series starts tomorrow, for anyone else who might be confused.
  9. squally1313
    In the last 18 games, the cubs are second in runs allowed with 65. The Guardians are first…with 28. Just outrageous baseball being played there.
  10. squally1313
    This should have been taillon going today but they’re pushing everyone back to give them additional rest, even though they have Monday (and next Monday) off, which should tell you how much the team cares about these games. And that’s before considering the opponent playing for their playoff lives every night. it’s fine.
  11. squally1313
    Second half Kyle Tucker has a .375 OBP, what's your proposal to do better than in right field?
  12. squally1313
    Elbow soreness for Megill during a bullpen session two days ago. So doesn't look good there. They've slowed down on Uribe pretty significantly, only pitched twice since 9/5, but you need all the arms you can get.
  13. squally1313
    Do they trust Ballesteros to play any first base at all? Padres are all RHP in their rotation, so it'll be Busch at first in all the games. But they have (right now, with expanded rosters) 4 LHPs in their bullpen. Do they trust Ballesteros to come in for Turner if they go to Turner in like, the 5th inning? If not....what's the scenario where Ballesteros comes in for a righty hitter? Not Suzuki, probably not Kelly, almost certainly not Hoerner, I would say no for Dansby....Shaw I guess?
  14. squally1313
    lol spot on
  15. squally1313
    There's too many teams involved, playing poorly, to say for sure. There are four teams within two games of that last spot (NYM, Arizona, Cincy, SF), and they are a combined 16-24 in their last 40 games. They all keep playing the way they've been playing, and a Reds split would probably put them all into a four way tie. Mets have one more against SD which is theoretically still playing for HFA/the division, then the Nats and home, then they come to Wrigley. As mentioned above, it's really great that the Cubs stayed above the fray because they're going to be tangentially involved in a race that could get pretty interesting here.
  16. squally1313
    Alcantara, McGuire, Ballesteros (try him at first?) for sure. Probably Castro in the middle infield somewhere. Another shot for Santana?
  17. squally1313
    This is a pretty dumb double standard, but you know what....sure, go Cubs. Stay healthy for another week, maybe even do something dumb like get super hot and scare Milwaukee a little bit. Then let's go flip some coins.
  18. squally1313
    I don't know guys....the team is 9-5 in September, we have the fourth best record in baseball, I've been watching videos of Happ crying in happiness and everyone else soaking themselves in champagne, but then I remembered that we went 5-8 that one time and it's like....do we even want to make the playoffs?
  19. squally1313
    Hahaha I mean, if I spent the last month making fun of people for freaking out about our make the playoff percentage dropping to 97%, I probably can't turn around and start eyeing the 98.4% chance of the Brewers winning the division.
  20. squally1313
    If we bank 9 or 10 of them they might give us 2?
  21. squally1313
    Magic Number: 13
  22. squally1313
    My bad!
  23. squally1313
    In 7 years with the Cubs Heyward put up 7.2 fWAR. In three years with the Cubs, Dansby has put up 12.5 fWAR.
  24. squally1313
    I've got .463 currently. .452 going into today (28/62) and then another 3/5 on top of that.
  25. squally1313
    I don't really buy into the streaky thing normally, guys aren't going to 1/4 every day, but even I'll admit that Happ has his ups and downs, which makes it even more hilarious that he's essentially a metronome when it comes to full year production. 2022: .271/.342/.440, .339 wOBA, 122 wRC 2023: .248/.360/.431, .345 wOBA, 119 wRC 2024: .243/.341/.441, .341 wOBA, 121 wRC 2025: .243/.346/..426, .337 wOBA, 118 wRC
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