squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Hey, we can tout wins and hard hit rates at the same time!
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I'm not going argue about 12 innings, but he's been fine in the bullpen and was about 3 inches from being fine tonight.
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12 innings with a 3.75 ERA as a reliever going into tonight
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Back of the envelope map says Miley has gotten 18 outs without a double play and only one strikeout. And we have 4 hits, two that left the yard. So I believe our BABIP is 2/19 on the day. Not going to comment on the contact quality, but there's a fair amount of bad luck (and good defense) baked in there regardless.
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6 IP, 4 ERs....probably need to aim a little higher next time.
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The errors were for the extra bases, not for them reaching base in the first place.
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Is this good
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Yeah I’d kinda be fine letting wesneski see if he can catch lightning in a bottle or else just wear this one.
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Lol
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Yelich putting that fastball on the inside corner at the knees comfortably over the LCF wall was A very impressive and B probably due to him just picking a pitch/spot, which you can do when taillon misses badly the first two pitches
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Yeah absolutely. A month ago everyone was trying to figure out how many playoff games we'd get out of being buyers. Which completely overlooks how fun it is to watch a competitive team in the thick of a race for weeks on end. Not saying that Jeimer and Cuas brought us here themselves, but trading Cody, Gomes, Hendricks, etc might have taken us out of getting this.
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Yeah, a bad series here for me is more problematic in the sense that we'd be struggling going into a road series against Cincinnati and potentially letting them back in the door for the wild card.
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There haven't been many runs more impressive than the one the Brewers are on. Having said that, they need to end eventually, and more importantly, Wade Miley sucks. Take care of this one, enjoy Steele v Burns, and then hopefully Kyle can steal one on getaway day.
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After this series, the Cubs have 23 consecutive games against teams with a negative run differential, before finishing up with 6 against Atlanta and Milwaukee.
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Cubs have 20 runs in their last 2 games.
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3 runs in 4 innings, 13 runs in the last 13 innings from this pathetic, no good offense
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Alright there may be something to Belli beating his metrics.
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That’s a whole lot of experience packed into one inning against the pirates
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Welp
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Definitely fair on taking that into account. I think, to come full circle, splitting the difference between his wOBA and his xwOBA puts him kinda just on like, the second tier of first basemen? First basemen by fWAR, and then their wOBA this year: Freeman .412 Olson .403 Walker .369 Y Diaz .398 Goldy .356 Alonso .358 Lowe .356 Naylor .379 Noda .363 Wade Jr .354 I'm not saying it's easy to find one of those guys, obviously. I'm just saying his numbers look way better in an outfield spot.
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I've already hijacked this conversation enough, but while we're here, can we talk about Bellinger's numbers vs his expected numbers/Savant numbers? Dude is out wOBAing his xwOBA by 58 points, and his xwOBA would put him 185th in the majors this year. Savant batted ball numbers aren't that better. His results this year have been great, and obviously he has a stretch of being genuinely elite in his past, but kinda feel like we'd be avoiding this guy if he hadn't delivered so much for our team this year.
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My scenario was an obvious over exaggeration to try to illustrate that paying top dollar to create a glut of good hitters comes with a lot more complications than the glut developing naturally through the system. We've got one and a half good starters under contract for next year. Of course we could use a bat like 2023 Bellinger, but it's A. far from a guarantee, and B. a lot easier/cheaper (either in dollars or prospects) to find that kind of production out of the first base position than it is from center fielders. Trying to avoid turning this into a Ricketts conversation, pick whatever number you want for your fake salary cap number, adding Bellinger to the 2024 and beyond mix takes up a big chunk of it. If we sign Bellinger and explore trading PCA, I would hope to god it's not for some other prospect. The window would officially be declared open (you'd argue it already is), go get someone who can play at Wrigley for the next 4 years.
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None of this is wrong, I don't think, but when you're talking about paying top of market prices for these guys, the 'you can't have too many good hitters' conversation is different than like, the conversation around the glut of players in the minors. If you can't have too many good hitters, go get Cody and Ohtani, sign Chapman too, make a trade for Alonso and sign him too, we'll figure out where they go down the road. You can make plenty of arguments for signing Cody, and I get most of them. But if you go that route, I think you need to be open to things like trading PCA, or figuring out how to get value for Happ/Seiya, before you just move him down to first sometime in early 2024 if PCA continues his current path.
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I don't think, in an intelligent market, it's wise to try and outbid teams who are valuing him as a centerfielder. To make a more extreme hypothetical, Adley Rutschman's bat plays everywhere, but he absolutely gets more money if he went on the open market tomorrow because he can catch. The Dodgers probably shouldn't go offer him the biggest contract to play first base/DH. To TTs point, I know you don't want to be locked in to a rigid set of players, though I think there's a difference in having a bunch of shortstops locked up, under team control rather than this situation of having to pay top dollar for that flexibility. But also, if he's available for a price they think is attractive for someone to mostly play center, go do it, and no one says we need to be anchored to PCA? Go turn him into a cost controlled pitcher or whatever.
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That's fine, regarding PCA. You said 'if and when' he is ready. I'm more saying that I don't have really any interest in a long term Bellinger deal if he winds up spending the vast majority of it at first base. Pete Alonso is a much better hitter than Clay Bellinger.
