It's going to be fun as a 3rd party observer to see it all play out. Alabama is already in (would have to lose twice to fall out and LOL SEC East) but every other spot is up for grabs. We could definitely see the first playoff that isn't just 4 conference champs this year. The Big 10 will get really interesting if OSU beats Michigan and PSU wins the Big 10 title game. We'd have -a 2-loss Penn State as the champion with a win over OSU -a 1-loss OSU with a win over Michigan -a 2-loss Michigan that hammered Penn State I'd guess OSU would get in because you can't put PSU in over Michigan because of how badly Michigan beat PSU, but the committee has shown they prioritize conference champions and H2H. Of course, we didn't have a conference champ with a worse record than another team in the same conference either of the last two years. Like you said, Bama's in if they win one of the next two. I actually think Louisville is in if they win their last two regardless of what Clemson does. If Clemson goes down then it's easy to put Louisville in but if Clemson wins out, Louisville's only loss will be by 6 on the road to another playoff team. So barring any major upsets I'll say it's Bama, Clemson, Louisville and OSU/Michigan winner.