soccer10k

They'll somehow be ranked above Cincy and Michigan again Michigan probably didn’t deserve to be ranked above them but I wouldn’t be surprised if they jump Bama. Beating OSU was a better win than what Bama had and their loss is better. Cincy is fine at 4. I’ve said it before but the Bama thing will work itself out. Either they beat Georgia and they deserve to be in or they lose and they drop behind Cincy. Same goes for Michigan if they’re still behind Bama this week.

Throw the records out the window! But yeah, can usually bank on it at least being a good game.

Alternative scenario for when Bama wins this game: Georgia beats Bama Michigan loses the Big 10 title game The winner of OU/OSU loses next week Then you’ve got undefeated Georgia, 1 loss Notre Dame, undefeated Cincy and a shitload of 2 loss teams. Or Bama wins but Cincy loses so you basically have the same scenario since Bama would be in but Cincy would be out.

So for maximum chaos… Bama beats Georgia Michigan loses the Big 10 title game The winner of OU/OSU loses next week Then you’ve got 1 loss Georgia, 1 loss Notre Dame, undefeated Cincy and a shitload of 2 loss teams. Could even have Cincy lose also.

I said it last week. This is not the same BAMA team, especially at WR. Georgia should be favored by 6 or 7 next week. Their Oline seems shaky also. Auburn has been getting plenty of pressure on Young.

Those four teams work for me. Something different in the playoff. Alabama is losing the iron bowl currently. We may see a CFP without Bama, OSU and Clemson. I think at least 2 of those teams have been in every CFP except 1 Yep. Clemson missed only the first one and Bama missed in the 2019 season. You could also throw Oklahoma in there since they’ve made it four times also, same as OSU.

Nah, odds are better it'd be Michigan vs Oklahoma State, and Georgia vs Cincinnati. Those four teams work for me. Something different in the playoff.

That was an awful throw. Even if the dude who intercepted the ball wasn’t there, that pass probably wasn’t going to be completed.

Some big time Trump vibes with this one. Dude can go fuck himself. [tweet] [/tweet]

Guessing Bayern won’t be playing their first team though, especially since they play at Dortmund the Saturday before. Final game of the group in 2018-19, Spurs were tied with Inter and held the tiebreaker. Spurs played at Barcelona who had already locked up the group while Inter hosted PSV, who had nothing to play for. Spurs managed a draw while Inter couldn’t beat PSV and Spurs advanced. That’s not to say Barcelona is going to win or Benfica won’t win of course. Just that it’s not as tough for Barcelona as it seems.

Huge help for Cincinnati, Notre Dame and 2 loss Alabama. Keeps Oklahoma State/Oklahoma winner alive too but would need chaos. But screw it lets have chaos: -Alabama loses to Auburn and Georgia -Cincinnati loses to Houston -Michigan beats OSU (lol) and then loses to Wisconsin -OK State beats OU and then loses to them next week in B12 championship game Who the heck besides Georgia and Notre Dame get in? Ohio State and Houston? Lol The winner of the Big 12 probably gets in depending on the scores (like if Oklahoma gets hammered next week and wins by 3 the week after, they might not get in). Then Ohio State I guess. Or Michigan still since they beat OSU.

Well cross the Pac 12 out of the playoff picture.

As if the table wasn't enough to show the gap between the top 4 and bottom 4. [tweet] [/tweet]

Speaking of this, Canada is basically the opposite, they still have 4 road games and they're all against central american teams. If they struggle like the US has they could slip fairly quickly. Here's the next window for the contenders: Canada: @ Honduras, v. USMNT, @ El Salvador USMNT: v. El Salvador, @ Canada, v. Honduras Mexico: @ Jamaica, v. Costa Rica, v. Panama Panama: @ Costa Rica, v. Jamaica, @ Mexico yeah the US really needs to be comfortably clear of the playoff after this window. Go Costa Rica and go Mexico. I feel dirty just typing that.

The concerning thing is that their 3 toughest road games are left, and their last cycle includes 2 of them and a home game v Panama, so it'd be nice to have some clearance on qualification going into that. Yep. That’s why the next cycle in January is huge. Don’t want to have to go into the last couple matches needing a win to finish third.

Blah result but at least we got a point. Now go get 7 or 9 in the January window.

The Rams are a great team? Clearly not, though they came in with a 7-2 record. Clearly there are NO great teams in the NFL anymore. Congrats, NFL, your desire for parity has lead to league wide mediocrity Yep, we'll never have a team finish the regular season with 3 or fewer losses again. Just like after the 2014 season when five teams tied for the best record at 12-4. Haven't had a great team since!

Just get rid of some bowls then.

If Netherlands loses tomorrow there’s a decent chance they’re not even in the playoff. Turkey plays Montenegro and if Turkey/Norway both win, they’re each at 21 with Netherlands at 20.

I still think a 2-loss Bama would have to win the SEC title game to have any sort of a shot. The committee has prioritized conference champs assuming they have as many losses as a non-conference champ. So if Bama loses to Georgia to finish 11-2 and you have 13-0 Georgia, 1 loss Big 10 champ, 1 loss Big 12 champ and 1 loss Oregon, Bama isn't getting in. I don't think a 2-loss Bama that wins the SEC gets a spot in that scenario either though. A 2-loss SEC champ Bama absolutely gets in and there's already precedent for it. 2-loss Auburn was sitting at #2 in the CFP going into the 2017 SEC title game (they had beaten Georgia and Alabama that year), so they were clearly going to get in if they had won the conference. The Tide wouldn't have quite the same resume - Ole Miss is the only really good team they've beaten - but I think any team anywhere near contention that beats Georgia has to be in given the way the Bulldogs have looked since week 1. (The Clemson win looks oddly quite unimpressive right now given the Tigers' season, but they've destroyed everybody else.) "The Tide wouldn't have quite the same resume" is a massive understatement. Going into the SEC title game, Auburn had beaten No. 6 Georgia (11-1) by 23, No. 5 Alabama (11-1) by 12 and No. 24 Miss St (8-4) by 39. Plus their two losses were at No. 1 Clemson (11-1) by 8 and at No. 16 LSU (9-3) by 4. Meanwhile, Bama has beaten No. 10 Ole Miss by 21. If we assume they beat Arkansas but lose to Auburn to get to 10-2, Arkansas might be ranked in the 23-25 range if they beat Missouri. Meanwhile their two losses would be at a No. 10-15 Texas A&M (9-3 assuming they beat LSU) by 3 and at Auburn (8-4 if they beat South Carolina) who might be ranked in the 23-25 range if they beat Bama. So 2017 Auburn had two wins that were way better than anything than 2021 Alabama has, a loss way better than Alabama has and a second loss that would be way better than Alabama's second loss. Auburn was already ranked No. 2 with two losses. Alabama is No. 2 with only one loss. If they lose to an unranked Auburn, they're going to drop. They'll be behind whatever 1-loss team emerges from the Big 10 East and a 1-loss Oregon for sure. They'd be behind a 1-loss Oklahoma State if they beat OU, though they'd probably be might be ahead of OU. And of course Georgia. Because all of those teams (except Georgia) would also be winning big games while Alabama is losing to an unranked Auburn team. I do agree that Alabama has a chance of getting in with 2 losses if they beat Georgia. But I don't think it's a lock that they can just lose to a mediocre Auburn team and make up for it by beating Georgia to get in, especially with their resume this year.

I still think a 2-loss Bama would have to win the SEC title game to have any sort of a shot. The committee has prioritized conference champs assuming they have as many losses as a non-conference champ. So if Bama loses to Georgia to finish 11-2 and you have 13-0 Georgia, 1 loss Big 10 champ, 1 loss Big 12 champ and 1 loss Oregon, Bama isn't getting in. I don't think a 2-loss Bama that wins the SEC gets a spot in that scenario either though. That being said, this year certainly seems like it's set up for a 2-loss team to get in, especially if the committee just refuses to put Cincy in. -The only conference with an undefeated team is the SEC with Georgia. -The ACC is kind of a disaster and it seems pretty unlikely Wake goes 12-1. -In the Big 12, OU and OSU still have to play, which means one of them gets a second loss. OU also still plays Iowa State next week. Plus the winner of OU-OSU is going to have to face OU/OSU/Baylor in the Big 12 title game. Easily could have every Big 12 team with 2 losses. -In the Big 10, OSU still plays both MSU and UM. MSU also plays Penn St. Likely only one 1-loss team there barring MSU and UM both beating OSU. -In the Pac-12, Oregon will have to beat Utah twice, including next week in Utah, plus a 6-4 Oregon St team. -Notre Dame seems to have no chance to make the playoff because they lost at home to Cincinnati. Of course we do stuff like this every year and whatever scenario we're discussing as a possibility doesn't usually happen. But a 2-loss playoff team is definitely in play this year.

LOL Texas.

Win the three remaining home games and we’re probably at least third. Per UMFan’s chart, 23 points puts us at 92.3 percent for third or better.

Not gonna lie, I don’t mind at all we missed that chance in the 93rd minute. Reminds me of when Dempsey missed that super late PK 8 years ago to keep it 2-0.

BOOM! DOS A CERO!