Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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hahahaha Carroll knows he didn't catch it and then realizes he should cover his mouth when he tells his teammate so -
Someone smarter than me should take team rankings in IP/GS, convert the values to a 1-10 scale, and rename it like the 'Manager Confidence Index'. In other news, the Cubs are dead last in IP/GS.
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We are getting real-time confirmation that every manager will do things on a near-daily basis that you don't understand or agree with, and in response we are apparently getting pissed about bad decisions hypothetical David Ross would have made.
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They need to get 14 outs from the pen(maybe more like last night!) and Neris, Thompson, and Smyly are all probably down. The best case scenario was leaving this inning with a 1 run lead, so pending an offensive explosion there's bound to be higher leverage situations later. Gotta be able to use the whole pen.
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This is why the quick innings weren't a big concern, it was always gonna be results more than pitch count that was gonna be the end of Henry's outing. 6 balls of 100+ EV in 4+ IP
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One of the things I worried about when his option was picked up was that his shoulder injury in 2022 may have been a blessing in disguise for 2023. He had months of extra rest and a shorter season in 2023 that let him stay sharp on a starter's schedule better than in 2022. In that vein I'm a little curious if they go to a 6 man rotation when Taillon returns and if that makes any difference for him.
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Both had 8 starts entering today's game
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114 off the bat from Happ, yowza
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Walker may try to strangle Porter with his bare hands pretty soon after his last 2 plate appearances
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-16-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Rivera with a very nice night, the HR, a 2B that would've been a HR in most parks(hit the top of a high LF wall), and a BB -
Busch does get the nod
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Keegan threw a first pitch strike to 3 of 7 hitters last night(1/4 in the 10th and 2/3 in the 11th) so while he wasn't literally in a position to throw chase pitches more often, I do think there's something to the situational thinking. He entered with the winning run on 2nd and no outs, so while he didn't exactly have pinpoint command, I suspect the plan was that if he missed, he missed off the plate until he absolutely had to challenge in the zone. Maybe not a coincidence he was in the zone more often in the 11th when he had some margin for error.
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Xavi sent off for dissent, Joao Cancelo with an insane slide tackle to give away a penalty and break the deadlock, Xavi's replacement gets sent off for dissent, and Gundogan got a yellow for dissent when his obvious dive was not rewarded. All of this happened in roughly 10 mins I think.
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-16-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Just to harsh everyone's buzz a little, also his 6th error in 9 games. -
Barcelona in the midst of one of the great team-wide meltdowns we've ever seen.
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With Seiya's injury, Mastrobuoni is the only LHH on the bench most days. In that light I think it's a tough sell to have all 3 of Canario, Cooper, and Wisdom on the roster, so Wisdom needs something else to give. Maybe that's just comfort with his health and confidence he can fake it in RF, maybe it's belief in him that makes them okay DFA'ing Cooper(owner of a 213 wRC+ right now), or confidence he can hit enough RHRP to replace Mastrobuoni. Since he has the option in the worst case, and I don't think any of those scenarios feel particularly likely, my guess is he's in limbo unless the MLB roster circumstances change, or he hits the rehab clock and they're forced to formally burn the option.
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White Sox Season in Jeopardy
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in General Baseball Talk
I would summarize the current White Sox situation as basically being the Pirates, but with bottom of the barrel player development and at least some ownership pressure to not completely crater(or at least, more ownership pressure than Pittsburgh has had). They've also been at least a little unlucky with e.g. position player injuries, but yeah things are pretty dire. -
I don't have a strong yes/no opinion on Morel being pulled, but feel it's worth pointing out that he's 0 for his last 20 w/ 7 K, though he was a little BABIP unlucky last night. So I figure the thinking is 1) maximize defense since they're using lesser relievers in late innings 2) the power downgrade matters a bit less when you know you are likely playing for 1 run/not a big inning and 3) Morel isn't in form and may not be a great matchup anyway, especially if the goal continues to be playing for 1 run where contact has greater value.
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I mean, none of these things are true! And they're especially not true based on a singular week in April where they are in fact getting it done.
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They're averaging a hair under 4 runs per game in that 7 game stretch, league average so far is 4.5. I just can't see danger in that small sample when they have about as difficult a set of external circumstances as you can(very strong opposing SP, on the road against competitive teams, in pitcher's parks), and they went 4-3 while being one swing or two from being league average offensively during the span.
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What do you think the average 7 game stretch looks like? Ignore the sample size of 2024, it is rare to have to face that caliber of SP so continuously, never mind entirely on the road and in pitcher-friendly stadiums. And we can extend back to the Dodgers series, in the last 10 games they've faced 6 of the Top 45 SP by ZiPS, plus Miller and Kelly.
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Henry doesn't throw hard and has gotten hit pretty hard by LHH in his time in MLB, so probably given Busch's heater? It's basically at Madrigal's expense if no one else is getting an off day, Canario to RF, Cooper to DH, Morel stays at 3B.
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I might have missed one in my looking through baseball reference, but that appears to be the first Cubs extra inning win since 1992
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And about a 40% chance he K's. Also Madrigal wasn't a pinch hitter, unless you want to burn the DH(who was in the hole) and move Busch/Nico to 3B, Madrigal has to hit.
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not now, human element
