Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Madrigal has 9 plate appearances in the last 2 weeks, including 5 today. -
Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-20-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
PCA continues to make me sad with the bat. In happier news, today he recorded his 4th OF assist in 15 games, guess AAA scouting reports do not extend to outfield arms. -
I don't have an issue with Amaya swinging away, mostly because I think trusting him to get the bunt down is a significant risk. But he made a great play, and set up only needing a fly ball to tie and a single to win. As for pinch hitting for Canario, you aren't making yourself better by putting a LHH in there, even Bellinger. Scott not only K's them at a Canario-esque rate, but they have a much lower batting average when you need a hit. If you want to pinch hit Gomes I wouldn't have been upset with that either, but I suspect Gomes v. 95+ velo has a pretty shocking K rate too(I can't see where to pull that up to confirm), so it's more a coin flip for me and not a decision I'm gonna lose any sleep over. More generally, not all bad things that happen are avoidable failures. The other team has talented players and sometimes the right decision doesn't work out.
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Also that Scott turns all LHH into Canario, and Gomes has been overpowered by velocity several times in the young season already. I'm the driver of the 'Canario is not special' bandwagon, but there isn't a good option to avoid a K in that situation. Sometimes the batting order is in the wrong spot and the other guy is very good.
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Happ is hurt, so your options are lefties(Bellinger, Busch) against Scott or Gomes. Giving guys a full game without playing in a DH probably is part of it too.
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He's also slow and GB prone so far this year, plus you then have 2 shots at only needing a single to win
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that is a tremendous bunt from Amaya under the circumstances
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Vazquez feels unlikely to be with the MLB team unless there's a significant change like a long-term injury. His ability to play SS would help his odds on most rosters, but not one with Swanson and Hoerner as middle infield starters. He doesn't profile well enough with the bat to be a reasonable 3B option, and he hits RH which there are numerous other options in front of him. As for Shaw, his performance will dictate that, but 1) he's likely to have adjustments to make at Iowa 2) there's no need to throw Morel to the curb or create roster scarcity that doesn't need to exist. Maybe things go well and he knocks down the door, but from a MLB-focused lens it's easier to pretend Shaw doesn't exist until after the trade deadline.
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The Cubs lead 2-1 heading into the bottom of the 6th
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can't take a second look for Canario while you're yelling 'mine' on a ball like that
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Statcast says 5.
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lol at this guy hitting at the end of the *Marlins* lineup talking back to the ump about a pitch that was fully over the plate
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Counsell is oddly worked up about that considering Madrigal missed the base by a yard
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Did someone tint Canario's glasses, he didn't look very comfortable on the pop up even before that acrobatic over-run
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The most PA anyone on the team has against LHP right now is 20, it's fine.
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To echo others, there's lots of room between "playing against LHP *some time*" and "starting against Jesus Luzardo, when the entire bench is short side platoon hitters, and it's a double header with a righty starting game 2". I'm a little curious of the thinking in going with Assad in Game 1, I would've guessed you want Imanaga to try to lead with the guy most likely to eat innings and pitch well so you can bank game 1 with as little bullpen involvement as possible. Given the commentary from Counsell about Brown's use this weekend, I wonder if the plan is to piggyback Assad and Brown in Game 1 to see if you can get 7-9 innings from that pair and let the back of the pen be maximally available for Game 2.
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They'll get the extra arm tomorrow, presumably Wesneski. That means even with Brewer and Thompson down you have 4 guys you can count on for 1 inning(Alzolay, Leiter, Neris, Almonte), and three more you could get 2 or even 3 from(Smyly, Brown, Wesneski), and everyone has 3 days rest except for Smyly who has 2. That's 10 pen innings for a Shota and Assad start, plus they could potentially double dip or use Thompson in a more dire situation. Given they can't bring back any of the other reasonable options, I'm guessing Brewer is safe for now.
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If you had to guess Garrett Cooper's job, and you couldn't see how far he hit a ball, how many guesses would it take you before you got to baseball player? Is it less than 1000? I'm not sure.
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Probably Keegan for one more given the DH tomorrow, I'm guessing?
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Fangraphs' stuff like service time or options is generally the before the season value and they update once a year.
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-19-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Maybe, but even without the ball Horton has basically been just as dominant so far. -
This year so far 9 players at Iowa have had at least 35 PA, Canario is 7th of 9 in OPS. He was 7th of 13 among Iowa players w/ 100 PA last year. He clearly has some talent but his pedigree and performance do not justify anyone thinking he is more than a *potential* 4th OF or short sided platoon bat, which is what we have seen players like Wisdom have *proven* they can be. It's fun to dream on the 5-10% chance that Canario flips a switch and becomes Marcell Ozuna lite or something, but for the purposes of a competitive team winning games, he should not be playing more than he has. His MLB success is *because* of the shielding he has received and not in spite of it.
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Wisdom is better than Canario. Maybe if you're really bearish on Wisdom the defensive RF that gap closes enough to make it a coin flip, but especially in small doses like injury replacement short sided platoons, it's a pretty easy decision.
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-19-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I think Brown's progression last year is a good barometer for when Horton might see Iowa. Brown made 4 starts in Tennessee and was moved to Iowa at the start of May, which feels like the path that Horton is on. Once in Iowa though I think all bets are off depending on MLB team needs and how quickly he starts excelling at that level.
