Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Transmogrified Tiger

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    38,761

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    70

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Which he actually did a good job of last night, which made it odd that you ignored that when you posted his AAA numbers. I did so because the argument was that Wuertz replacing Howry is a move that should've been made long ago.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Guess who else was lights out in May and June? Bob Howry. Ill give you May, but if you consider 10IP 12hits 5 runs 5 ER's ERA 4.5 Whip of 1.3 and a batting average against of .300 as lights out in June, Id have to say thats ridiculous. I was taking it as a whole. If we're doing monthly breakdowns, Wuertz's June is worse. WHIP over 2.00, 5 walks in 8.2 IP, BAA of .361 and OPS against of .929.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Those numbers are absolutely atrocious given that you've removed his worst 5 outings. If you take all of the other relievers in the league that have 30+ outings this year, and you remove their 5 worst appearances, those numbers would probably rank in the bottom 20% of the league. Many mediocre relievers would have an ERA in the low 2s if you removed their 5 worst appearances. If you removed Wuertz's 5 worst outings this year, his line is: 35.2IP, 4 ER, 1.01 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 23/12 K/BB, far superior to Howry's, other than he's walking a few more people. Even if you only removed two of his outings instead of five, his numbers are: 36.2 IP, 8 ER, 1.99 ERA, 24/14 K/BB. We already applied that to Wuertz when we ignored the fact that he can't get out AAA hitters since his demotion. That was the point.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Changing the likelihood that you win the games doesn't really change the standard deviation. A team with a 105 win talent level will still have a standard deviation of 6 games. The problem isn't the math, it is the assumption that math is based on. The odds of winning or losing a game are not 50/50 unless "talent" is equally distributed across the two teams. That almost never is the case. It's kind of like in vegas. The roulette wheel is set up so that no matter what happens, in the long run the house wins. Yes, that's what I was just saying. Every team still has that same standard deviation regardless of their talent level. I don't see how that invalidates his conclusion.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't remember, is DeJesus a plus defender? I wonder what Moore wants in return for him. That contract is nice for his production. I get confused - the new CBA did away with a player's right to demand a trade the following season after having been traded in the middle of a long term contract, but some contracts are grandfathered in. Would DeJesus have that right or not? If he would, I'd say there's virtually zero chance of acquiring him. He'd have far, far, far more value to the Royals than he would to the Cubs. I don't see how that would substantially change his value. Especially to the point where the Royals would value him far more. Are you kidding? The Royals have him for the next three years at $14.05 total. With the Cubs, he'd effectively opt out and you'd have to either trade him with zero leverage or else sign him to a market-price deal. I wasn't thinking for a second. For some reason I thought he could ask for a trade from the Royals too. What happens if he asks for the trade and the Cubs don't do it? Does it wipe out the contract? DeJesus won't have the service time for free agency until after 2010.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Changing the likelihood that you win the games doesn't really change the standard deviation. A team with a 105 win talent level will still have a standard deviation of 6 games.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't remember, is DeJesus a plus defender? I wonder what Moore wants in return for him. That contract is nice for his production. I get confused - the new CBA did away with a player's right to demand a trade the following season after having been traded in the middle of a long term contract, but some contracts are grandfathered in. Would DeJesus have that right or not? If he would, I'd say there's virtually zero chance of acquiring him. He'd have far, far, far more value to the Royals than he would to the Cubs. I don't see how that would substantially change his value. Especially to the point where the Royals would value him far more.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm pretty sure that stat isn't correct. It is. .269/.331/.414/.745 line against for Weurtz this year.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't remember, is DeJesus a plus defender? I wonder what Moore wants in return for him. That contract is nice for his production.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Guess who else was lights out in May and June? Bob Howry.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    You know who else had a proven track record of "not being terrible"? Bob Howry. Exept for 2008 of course. Furthurmore, Weurtz wasn't even terrible when he was demoted, our manager just has ADD. Howry minus 5 outings this year: 47.1 IP, 3.58 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 35/7 K/BB
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    Wuertz is also terrible Sadly, statisics would suggest otherwise. Prior to last night Wuertz had a 5.40 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP in 5 appearances since his demotion. Yeah, that is a great sample size there. Weurtz had a proven track record of "not being terrible". There is no point debating this. Weurtz is not terrible. Seriously. You know who else had a proven track record of "not being terrible"? Bob Howry.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Wuertz is also terrible Sadly, statisics would suggest otherwise. Prior to last night Wuertz had a 5.40 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP in 5 appearances since his demotion.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    He picked the wrong day to do that. Harden has no platoon split, and he strikes out righties and lefties indiscriminately. He'll be going after Fielder regardless of who's behind him. Also, Cubs right handers have humiliated Braun in this series.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Beinfest is off by a year, he shouldn't be doing this to try to win a title until '09 to stick with the pattern.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Hermida is a 24 year old with no platoon split and a .288/.357/.517/.874 line away from Pro Player. I think there's plenty of reason to still believe he can be a good corner OF.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    It makes them worse. Wise is a better hitter against RHP, Anderson a better hitter against LHP, and both are much better defenders.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Yankee playoff rotation is pretty underwhelming to me.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    I hope not Ward is one of the top PHers out there. While he's having a down year with the bat, he's really patient which gets him into good counts or at the least gets him on base with a walk. They might be able to DL Edmonds to extend Ward's stay, but otherwise it comes down to a choice between Edmonds and Ward, and Edmonds is the better choice 10 times out of 10. Even if he gets hurt and is unable to even pinch hit, then he can be DL'ed and Hoffpauir comes in with the exact same skillset as Ward. I wonder what Ward would fetch in trade, even in August?
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    Agreed. The audacity of these Cubs fans, responding on a Cubs message board to comments from Cards fans designed to stir up trouble, the unmitigated gall.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    So are the Pirates if any of the prospects they're supposed to get are any good.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Well that sucks for me, I'd have taken him 5 picks ago.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Outshined took him last round.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Line? 3.0 IP 5 H 5 ER 3 BB 1 K You forgot the 3 HBP
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    That lineup is working him pretty good too. 7 baserunners and 56 pitches in 3 innings.
×
×
  • Create New...