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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Thank you for asking, yes, using your two best pitchers all year, even on short rest in Boyd's case, are perfectly fine choices compared to the alternatives. In the modern game there are basically no obvious decisions that managers don't make. So if you find yourself thinking that a manager has 'blown' a game by doing something incomprehensible, you should probably update your priors and consider that making a series of 50/50 or at best 60/40 decisions is not going to lead to excellent results in every case and therefore they aren't single handedly costing the team wins.
  2. With all the off days I don't mind an aggressive hook on Shota if he struggles, but in terms of what Plan A should be I really hope they're planning on more than one trip through the order from him. In both seasons he has been very successful the 2nd time through as he adapts to what he's seen in the first trip, the Brewers lineup does not have a particularly fearsome bat they need to worry about getting a leverage arm in to face in a specific spot, and we've just seen in the wild card there are very real costs borne by repeatedly going to the same leverage relievers. If he's given up 3 runs the first time through on 2 homers by all means, go get him. But I need to see some real damage being given up before I consider pulling Shota before 15-18 batters faced.
  3. The discussion of the Steele timeline reminds me so much of Hoerner's recovery last year. The team says basically nothing, and fans start with a logical/conservative estimate and then a million internet debate cycles happen in between and the estimate mutates into something that no longer matches previous examples or sometimes even common sense.
  4. No, they cannot! The idea that Boyd is an obviously bad decision implies there is one that is clearly and obviously better. When the alternatives are Rea(On 2 days rest from throwing 1.2 IP), Assad(injured most of the year and has 1 appearance in 2 weeks) or even Civale(no appearances in 10 days), thinking that they would definitely have been immune to the lack of sharpness Boyd had(a couple hard hit balls and a walk) is just wishful thinking.
  5. This is how all the people freaking out about the decision to start Boyd sound. There wasn't an obvious decision, and this one didn't work out because of reasons known(Boyd wasn't sharp in the 1st) and unknown(he got BABIP'd a little and let down by his defense a lot). The framing of it as an obvious unconscionable failure of a decision is a tell that people are venting more than they are thinking about the actual decision.
  6. He looked pretty frustrated for a precautionary sub, but especially for a muscle issue like that it's difficult to tell
  7. looks like he re-aggravated his hamstring injury
  8. Am I crazy or does that not sound like a very straight changeup instead of a splitter? Wonder what the spin rate looks like
  9. The Brewers also seem to be a relatively weaker team against fastballs, so adding another with velo to the pen could pay dividends
  10. I think if you replace someone mid-series they're out for the next one, so in that hypothetical you would use Castro in CF unless PCA was going to be out a week+
  11. The 2018 Brewers and 2019 Cardinals won the NLDS, but that appears to be it
  12. He posted it earlier in the thread, but Statcast has it in the zone It's a great example of the type of pitch people have warned is going to run counter to people's expectations under ABS. The nature of the flight of the ball means a pitch that just barely clips the bottom of the zone is going to appear way worse than basically any other pitch that is barely a strike.
  13. Cronenworth blocking the base and pushing PCA in the direction he comes off the base not mattering while the play at the plate stands is phenomenal stuff
  14. From watching Replay Rewind all year there is an epidemic of umps making poor calls at the plate because they don't have the courage to award a run when the ball beats the player even when they get tagged high. That better not make a difference.
  15. I keep getting hints of Mike Tirico and it's been distracting me all series
  16. Love that fully half of the old big 12 is on this list
  17. With that swing Nico passes Alejandro Kirk, Nolan Schanuel, Jackson Chourio, and Kyle Manzardo in wRC+
  18. Wiggins has barely pitched in recent weeks and hasn’t yet shown an ability to not walk the world at AAA, he’s not a serious option
  19. Listen, I respect that you're seeking out Cubs talk and may want to take in news/political talk in moderation, I have to do that a lot too to avoid consuming too much outrage in my life. But for one, talking about the situation as 'shooting off about a father,son,friend's death' is a laughable mischaracterization that normally means that you just don't want to hear negative talk about someone you have neutral/positive impressions of. And more importantly, the conversation is about Shaw missing a fairly important BASEBALL game(basically 2, because he was only PH the day of Kirk's death). There's no digging through the nooks and crannies of Shaw's life to find an association to cast judgment on, he stopped playing because of it! The idea that isn't worthy of conversation and potential judgment is beyond silly.
  20. Almost as positive a development as the challenge system itself
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