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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think the reasonable best case scenario for me at this point is if they have the headroom to sign King, Okamoto, and Finnegan(or your similarly priced RP of choice) while still having enough room for the ends of the roster and mid year. I’d rather trade for an SP than compromise on the bat addition, and I don’t love the idea of trading Shaw this offseason.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    I would be pretty surprised if a bunch of guys held out til January just because of Imai, this isn't a Sasaki or a Yamamoto situation.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6870545/2025/12/07/cubs-winter-meetings-tatsuya-imai-michael-king/
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Gallen has 5 career starts at Wrigley
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    All the protagonists are always normal at the *beginning* of a cult movie
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think the idea of Hernandez outstrips his reality. He’s been a slightly above average hitter with little platoon split 2 of the last 3 years, and he’s a DH defensively while entering his mid 30s. I could see him working out but there are many more options with more upside, lower cost, and/or simply less complexity
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Bregman feels like a contingency since Boras is gonna Boras and drag his FA as long as possible. So if they strike out on a FA target they had higher hopes for(King?) and trade prices are uncomfortably high, the option to use Shaw or Nico to get a SP and put the money towards Bregman will still be there. I don’t love this if it means trading Shaw and I’m skeptical that Nico can help you get a playoff SP, but it’s early in the offseason so we’ll have to see if that could play out
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    Thank you for asking, no he is not
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Colts started 7-1 and there's a non-trivial chance they end up 8-9. They just lost to the Texans at home and have to go to Houston, have both games against the Jags, plus @ Seattle and home for SF. None of those teams are world-beaters but there isn't an easy out in that group for a team on a slide.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Every team in playoff contention spends prospect capital at the deadline to acquire pen arms.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Relievers aren't random number generators, but they're close to being random number generators. 10 relievers got 10 million+ AAV last year, only half of them had ERA's under 4. Free Agents are less certain in their productivity than people think in general, but they are especially not as certain as people think when it comes to relievers.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    IMO it's less about the shape and more that he has very inconsistently put it where he wants to. In his 2024 cameo he had some fastball command, in 2025 he had very little.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    In practice unless we're fortunate enough to draw UEFA teams in Pot 2 and 3, it's worse than that. Because if we draw a CAF team(2 in Pot 2, 5 in Pot 3) then Cape Verde and Ghana go off the table(67% chance of UEFA playoff), and same with AFC(Jordan, 57%). So basically the best case, if narrow, scenario is to get Austria/Scotland so we can lock in a true minnow in Pot 4. On the other end of the spectrum you could end up with a nightmare like Morocco/Norway/Italy
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    Maton was 10th in whiff rate last year, min 200 PA faced
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    144 relievers had 50 IP last year, Maton was tied for 19th in K-BB%(23.4%). Not sure how optimistic I am that will continue when he'd sat just under 20 for several years, but hopefully they think the recipe is there.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    With the offseason getting underway I'm going to lock this thread. We can have new threads that are more generic than specific rumors/signings, but it will be easier to navigate and interact with if we avoid a single thousand page thread.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Just to play Devil's Avocado, Alcantara may be more of a corner OF than MLB-viable in CF, and was the 6th best hitter on his team at Iowa. Kepley looks like a clearly more valuable baserunner, possibly a more viable CF, and has yet to be slowed down offensively(low bar considering the level). I don't think it's unfair to have them on the same tier, though I'm admittedly a long-time Alcantara skeptic.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    I’m sure the lat injury he had a couple months after returning from shoulder surgery is probably nothing
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    Trading Peralta because you forced yourself into paying Woodruff 32 million would be an own goal of a magnitude rarely seen in MLB. Doubly so because I’m reasonably sure Woodruff is toast.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Burger is not a third baseman, he'd be a worse option there than Turner
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    It isn’t exactly this simple because Shota was very effective for ~1.8 years, but the FA market for pitchers who sit 90 is…not robust. Maybe his IVB makes up for a couple ticks of velo in some teams models, but with a QO attached I would not be surprised if his market craters. If his team anticipated that maybe he’ll accept a QO, though it would be a risk to turn down the player option in that case.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    The protagonist's group of travelers that stumble upon a cult are always normal at the *beginning* of the movie
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    There seems to be some odd disagreement about something that should be pretty factual re: Okamoto handling velocity: Also worth noting Longenhagen's report appears to be pre-2025.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Fun! My .02 is that less is more when it comes to the columns, there's no need to include how many triples or GIDP all these hitters had. PA, a couple more holistic offensive measures, the positional stuff, and maybe add their 2025 salary would make that a much more focused and imo useful resource.
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