Transmogrified Tiger
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Cubs 2025 Trade Deadline Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
AJ Preller is so close to inventing a pyramid scheme about prospect futures. Just hard selling GMs on 60 grade tranches or something -
Cubs 2025 Trade Deadline Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The defensive concerns are more than just framing, he's only throwing out 13% of baserunners and has 14 passed balls in about 100 AAA games. -
The equivalent might be something like Wicks, Franklin, Tyson Miller?
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If the Brewers continue to have the best offense in the NL by a significant margin, as they have since that May 22 mark, they're very likely to win the division. The performances carrying that offense, especially if you compare to the Cubs in that timeframe, would not fill me with a ton of optimism of that continuing over the final 55 games if I were a Brewers fan.
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ah my bad I forgot runs only count when they meet narrative approval
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The Cubs have 3 runs in 5 innings
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There's no reason to think Soriano is available in trade, and Ward cannot play third base at the MLB level. Jansen fits the Iglesias mold of pricey rental reliever that shouldn't cost much, including the hot streak as the weather has warmed up.
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Assad threw 3 innings on rehab assignment 4 days ago. He's not a week away or anything, but he's very much a candidate to get bulk innings at the big league level from mid-late August onward.
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Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I don’t know if you’ll find much agreement on this, I suspect if you asked GMs they’d pretty much universally prefer 2025 Gore to 2017 Quintana. Also, Top 100 is a big range and not a homogeneous value. Jimenez and Cease at the time are likely 1-2 in the Cubs system today, maybe 1 & 3. Plus, the way teams value good early arb players has simply changed in the last 8 years, there’s fewer of those deals because they value them higher. -
Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I was not saying what I think the Cubs will end up doing, but what it would take to actually get a deal done for that respective profile of player. -
Welcome!
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Welcome! Fedde had gotten DFA'd earlier this week, so I'm guessing Atlanta was fine taking him for basically free to sustain their rotation given all the injuries they have.
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Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I think a good rule of thumb would be that at least at the moment: The highest end of controlled SP being floated in rumors(e.g. Gore, Ryan) would require at least one of Shaw/Horton along with one or both of Caissie/Wiggins. The controlled SP with good performance and potentially another level(e.g. Cabrera, Bubic, Keller) are at least asking for Caissie + Wiggins to lead a package until the deadline arrives and they potentially take less. So the game of chicken continues until those teams need to make a decision or some other team(e.g. the Rays) finds a middle ground in their willingness to accept less than those offers for their SP. Sandy is also a wild card because of the broad variance in all directions of his situation. -
Both the days off have been against sinker-heavy starters, I suspect there's a certain repertoire-based weakness they feel he has that they're shielding him from
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Welcome!
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Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The problem with Sandy is that his increased performance risk since the start of the season has almost certainly risen higher than the actual cost to acquire him has fallen. Pairing him with another SP is fine and all but that's a lot of resources used even before addressing the bullpen or more luxurious additions(a hitter). -
Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I don't think that's true, he had a less invasive elbow surgery than TJS and had it in April -
wonder what the payout for 'Justin Turner Steals 3rd' props were tonight
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Not worth it's own thread, but worth noting. Since May 1, Justin Turner is hitting .319/.340/.511 for a 136 wRC+ against LHP
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Boy is this really overwrought. I understand Brown skepticism and don't have strong opinions if they decided on a different starter, but this is pretty conveniently ignoring Brown's MLB proof of concept last season along with his pedigree as reason for optimism. Also trying to contrast the Cubs' pitching approach as at odds with the Brewers going and getting Quinn Priester is pretty absurd given the bang average output Priester is providing while the Cubs have similarly gotten that from less with the Reas and Flexens of the world this year. Not to mention that the urgency of the rotation need requiring Brown happened so recently and is likely so short lived that we're talking about a surface area of 2 outings. And then the whole team 'scrambling' and 'position of weakness' nonsense? The Cubs have the 2nd best record in the NL this month, if the Brewers decide to play at a 162 win pace for the rest of the season there's very little they can do about that. More likely, they're hitting a local maximum, and while it obviously cuts down on margin for error and makes their upcoming H2H games more important, it doesn't change anything about the team's roster build approach for the deadline and beyond.
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The predictability of unhinged doomerism every time the Cubs commit the atrocity of not winning for 48 consecutive hours is hilarious. Even the best team in baseball will lose 60 games this year, two full months of nothing but blowouts, blown leads, getting shut down by mediocre starters, the whole lot. It's gonna happen, and yet every time it surprises some folks like a stranger smacked them in the face.
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Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Is Castro not one of the top handful of rentals? Especially on the position player side? In any case I generally agree. I think there's going to be some clear aggression, but Jed has made comments on multiple occasions about not being beholden to recency bias(Iglesias and Finnegan would be good examples), as well as valuing more than just this season. Because of the complications involving Shaw and the variability of RP, that means that I especially expect the main SP addition to have team control beyond this year. -
Since the start of June Pressly has a 21% K%, 2.72 FIP, and 18% K-BB%. He is not a perfect reliever but he's being used as roughly the 4th or 5th in the pecking order, which is fine. People are letting early impressions where he truly was not striking people out color their opinions way more than his actual performance in recent months(or his years of past excellence)
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Keller is down, Palencia is saved to close, and Pomeranz is a better fit(theoretically apparently) for all the lefties at the top of the order. That means your alternatives are Flexen, Kriske, Roberts, and Brasier. The only one you can remotely say are preferable to Pressly is Brasier, who pitched yesterday and might not be as sharp.
