Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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"we'll never forget you....clap your hands guy" is low-key one of the funniest things JD has ever said -
I don't think so, he needs to get to a full year of service time and he spent more than a month in Iowa so I don't think he can accrue the necessary days
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 5-30-25
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Also 'change the launch angle but hold EVs constant' has some pretty load bearing assumptions about how Long generates those EVs that may not hold true. -
Maybe there is another factor common to those games besides the bad opponent. One that might've played a part in the Rockies only scoring 5 runs in 3 games too.
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Not worth its own thread, but this weekend is NCAA regionals and one of the most underrated sports TV events, ESPN's whiparound show Squeeze Play. It'll be on ESPN+ basically all weekend, and maybe simulcast to a broadcast ESPN at various points. There's so many games going on combined with college baseball's penchant for chaos that there's almost always something compelling, especially once we get to Saturday and elimination games start happening.
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the Cubs have won 4 in a row, 7 of 8, and 10 of 12
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Longenhagen put a 50 grade on Bremner in his preseason rankings(#2-6 overall)
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and then they lost 1-0 to the ASEAN all star team
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Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Trevor Bauer is a serial abuser who can't get a sniff of interest from any MLB team despite every organization being desperate for pitching. This is a good thing. Separately, Trevor Bauer is 34 years old and putting up pedestrian numbers in Japan, whatever mental image you have of his potential that you'd be willing to put up with his odious off-field stuff, is long gone. -
Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Don't want to diminish your fine work/procrastination, but one of the trends we've seen since the new wild card is a blurring of buy/sell lines, so if we're including the likes of Trevor Williams as a possibility, it opens up a lot of options for a more developmental target and/or a target from a cash-poor team that may be willing to make the right trade even if they aren't out of the race. We've seen Jed make a couple of these in recent years, Wesneski/Effross, Morel/Paredes, even Pearson might technically qualify. -
Starting rotation options available now
Transmogrified Tiger replied to mul21's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Strasburg is one of the most successful pre-FA pitchers in recent memory. His arm fell off at age 31. That said, I can't imagine there's an actually good deal for Skenes to be had given the appropriate discounting you'd need to bake in for injury risk, arb salaries, etc. -
I suspect especially in the LCS and WS we'll see some reversion on this(especially at the top of the rotation), but otherwise yeah. There's a short term need and a long term need at play. Short term they need a playoff caliber starter, long term they need that guy for multiple years. That doesn't have to be a guy with 37 years of control who throws 104. They may not be able to get both in a perfect package, especially since the most likely appealing options have big enough contracts to make you flinch about what it does to 2026 spending(Sale, Gausman, DeGrom, etc). The other option is to optimize more for the long term and make the bet that you can fix a controlled starter midseason. I'm a little more optimistic about that path given how good the developmental results have been this year with Zombro on board, but it's still a big risk for your biggest need.
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2 out sends are almost always a good idea, but that one is why you use the word almost
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shoutout Fangraphs' roster resource, the real MVP
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The Marlins only have one LHRP and he threw 33 pitches last night, so I'm guessing that Counsell is betting he's unavailable and there's no platoon matchups they need to plan around.
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I'm sensitive to the idea that the status quo can't go on indefinitely, even before the injuries I thought the biggest offseason issue was the investment in the rotation(though Boyd's put some of that at ease). But I also think that if the team sees a workload cliff to steer away from the way you're describing, they would not have taken some of the steps they did this year. They didn't have to start with Brown in the rotation over Rea, or have Horton go deeper in games than he has as a professional, or call up Horton over Wicks, etc. That they made those moves still could mean they believe they're borrowing from September to do so, but I think it does mean they aren't borrowing from June.
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There are 48 games til the All-Star break, at which point you can say that's 'trade season' and all teams are ready to make moves(though their direction may be uncertain). So that's 9-10 times through the rotation, ~30% of the season. The gap between a very strong starter and a 1+ WAR starter that we'd likely be replacing(at least on expectations) over that period is basically 1 win exactly. Well before then we'll get Shota back, and I also suspect that there isn't really an internal worry about Boyd starting through the season despite his 2024 workload. Unless there's a new injury I don't really see much urgency to try to make trades that almost certainly aren't available in May/June.
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what a slide from Dansby
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Bellozo, from the Italian meaning beautiful clown
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They had 3 people reach base the entire game, and one of them was eliminated with a GIDP
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Dansby is on pace to hit 35 HR
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Me all off-season: Wrigley being an outlier pitcher's park is so annoying, I can't wait for it to be more neutral next year Me the first time the wind blows out on consecutive days: Well this is stupid
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PCA has a 143 wRC in nearly 200 PA, in no universe did I even consider that was a possibility this year
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gonna leave this here as a reminder for all of us schemers
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Charlie Hustlin' to the Hall?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in General Baseball Talk
