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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Welcome Maclowery! Good to see you here.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Because he's got the tools that impress scouts but not the production that impresses numbers people? BP has him as a 5-Star Prospect.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think you've got to keep Guzman. Odds are they'll be similar performance-wise, and if you don't have either(Guzman hurt, Wuertz traded), it's not difficult to find someone like Ascanio or Stevens to put up similar numbers. Plus Guzman gives you the best likelihood to be significantly better than projected. Maybe if we're deciding between them for the 8th or 9th inning role, but for the 3rd/4th righty in the pen, it's worth that small gamble.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    That was most definitely a worst case scenario. All things told, the Cubs took a half step back this offseason. Partially due to crummy decisions, and partially due to circumstance(Wood being a no-win situation, payroll restrictions). The thing is, the rest of the division(that we won by 8 games last year, 11 in Pythagorean) either treaded water or got worse. The Cubs are still in great position to win the division and the NL. It's fine to be upset with how the offseason has gone, it wasn't a very good one, but to extrapolate that to think the Cubs have significantly damaged their playoff chances because of it is not looking at things in perspective.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    I won't believe it until I see Ramgod with an LSU hat on.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    We already did that by depending on a injury prone pitchers like rich harden, Carlos Zambrano and Ted Lilly and trading for Kevin Gregg and Aaron Heilman. Meanwhile the Cards traded for the greatest SS ever. You don't know how close to true you are. Things could go very bad very quickly for the Cubs Harden pulls a Prior Z is a shell of himself after all the Dusty innings pile up Dempster becomes Dempster Lilly stays the same Kevin Gregg couldn't throw strikes last year and Lou hates relief pitchers who cannot throw strikes Marmol had a terrible winter in the Caribbean If Bradley goes down Fukudome moves back to RF and we have The Car Hopper and Facial Hair manning CF It's a worst case but it's not that far outside of the realm of possiblility Now do that for other teams too.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Holy karma.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    You didn't go? That was a lot of fun, big crowd too. I like to think that Mizzou won as karma for Scott Drew wearing black tennis shoes so you couldn't tell he was wearing them. Mizzou looks really good at home. Now they get to go to Austin and play a pissed off Texas team. Super.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    Pomeroy has them 13. They're 9-2 against the Top 100(Pomeroy) and their SOS isn't particularly weak either.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    If these announcers in the ISU-OU game say the phrase "Hilton magic" one more time, I'm going to break this TV.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Comparing their projections for this year, less than 3 runs. From '08 Blanco to projected '09 Bako, it's about 6 runs. In that instance it's hard to complain about it, but at the same time I wish they had gotten someone who either had the potential to be really productive(even flukishly) over those at bats(like Valentin, or even Toby Hall), or someone younger with a strong defensive reputation(Hall again?). Or they could've just let Hill do it. wait toby hall has a good defensive reputation? I don't know, he sure came out looking good in that link I posted earlier.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm pretty sure that's what it is. I found a link to a yahoo article talking about what WHIFF was, but the link was dead.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Comparing their projections for this year, less than 3 runs. From '08 Blanco to projected '09 Bako, it's about 6 runs. In that instance it's hard to complain about it, but at the same time I wish they had gotten someone who either had the potential to be really productive(even flukishly) over those at bats(like Valentin, or even Toby Hall), or someone younger with a strong defensive reputation(Hall again?). Or they could've just let Hill do it.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    Bako's last 5 years, OPS: 2004: .571 2005: .662 2006: .490 2007: .533 2008: .627 Career: .622 On the defensive side, here is an article trying to put some type of quantification on a catcher's arm. Bako came out 6 runs below average last year, and 0.6 runs above average for the last 5 years(for reference, Soto was 1.9 runs below average in 2008). Not that this should be taken as gospel or even close to it, but it's something. A look at some remaining backup catchers. Toby Hall: .671 OPS career, .635 in 2008 (24.6 Runs above average with arm, 5 years) Chad Moeller: .631 career, .641 in 2008 (-0.6 runs above average with arm, 5 years) Sal Fasano: .687 career, .688 in 2008 Doug Mirabelli: .724 career, .638 in 2008 Vance Wilson: .679 career, .745 in 2008 Javier Valentin: .712 career, .737 in 2008 (-4.7 Runs above average with arm, 5 years) There's also guys like Pudge and LoDuca available as well.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    This is probably the best place for this tidbit. MLB has lifted the restrictions on how many Type A free agents you can sign because of a "flooded market". http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090130&content_id=3785640&vkey=news_nyy&fext;=.jsp&c_id=nyy&partnerId=rss_nyy
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    What? I just watched it and what could he have possibly been saying to upset the ref so much to kick a mascot out of a game? He headbutted the official.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    UZR and PMR suggest Dunn is a run or two better defensively in LF.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Sammie the Owl gets ejected
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Saw this quoted today and thought it was interesting.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    Check Transactions.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Hill can't throw the ball in the ocean right now, using him on an irregular reliever's schedule sure isn't going to fix things, and the one thing we're not short on is 5th starter candidates with upside and question marks. If you think he's just going to humiliate himself more in Mesa, then trade him now. And remember that the further ST progresses, the less you get for Hill as the clock ticks toward the time they have to make a decision. In the end, what I'm trying to say is that it doesn't matter.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    FWIW, Marshall threw 148.1 IP in 2006 and 134 in 2007. Essentially, we need a combined 400 IP out of Harden, Marshall, Heilman, Samardzija, and Gaudin. I think that's pretty easily done, and as long as there isn't a combination of multiple guys getting hurt plus multiple guys falling on their face performance-wise, I think it'll be more than okay from a production standpoint.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Miles stands a very good chance of being as good as 2008 Cedeno. Johnson is Johnson, although I guess he's projected to be a touch worse at the plate this year. We don't know who's replacing Ward, but he wasn't any good last year(Miles is projected to be about as valuable offensively). Bako and Gathright are pretty clear downgrades from Blanco and Fontenot. I like Ping's idea of seeing if Crede would join the bench. That'd be an improvement on Ward, although we wouldn't have much from the left side. Matt Craig would be pop from both sides, but he's not allowed start the season anywhere but Tennessee.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    That's it? That's the requirement? The Cub Reporter pointed out that Gordon Wittenmeyer reported it as a multi-layered set of clauses, so it may not be that simple.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah, Catch Me If You Can is my only experience with the line, and I had it right.
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