Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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See, the problem with us being really good lately is that suddenly I've had this thought in my mind that we might be able to put out a win there, which we all know is probably close to impossible. It's probably not that implausible. Maybe I'm remembering it wrong, but I thought our last two games at AFH have been closer than the ones at Paige Arena. I think one came down to the wire. Still, I'm expecting the place to be a frenzy. And hopefully Marcus morris won't bump a ref this time and have to sit out the last 10 minutes of the game. I think it was 2 years ago Matt Lawrence missed a 3 at the buzzer that would've tied it, although last year you guys won by nearly 20. It's definitely a game I don't have any expectations of winning though, the only way it happens if some combination of great Mizzou shooting and Aldrich or Collins missing a bunch of time with foul trouble goes down.
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That's a whole lot more success for other teams than when they play fast (3 of their 4 losses, vs. 13-1 with >70). I wasn't saying that if you slow them down you win, but that a team that can do that successfully, like Illinois did earlier this season, is more likely to cause them problems than a team like Duke who wants to run up and down the court all night. Yeah, you don't want to try to go at Mizzou's pace(their one loss above 70 possessions was a 71 possession game where they missed a bunch of FTs at the end). What I was saying is that in light of Mizzou's other slow games, the Illinois game looks more of an off night shooting rather than compared to Nebraska(turnovers, killed them in a return game that was also slow), K-State(opponent refusing to miss 3's), and all the games they've won against good competition.
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Mizzou is ranked 8th by Pomeroy and 14th in the RPI(with a SOS of 46, Illinois is 40 to compare). 10/11 doesn't seem too out of place by human poll standards. With regards to slowing the game down, Mizzou's last 4 games have all been under 75 possessions, with only the Kansas game breaking 70. In that span they've won the two toughest games they've had this year(Kansas at home, Texas on the road), led every second of a 14 point win at Iowa State, and blew out Nebraska by 23 at home. Mizzou is 9-3 when the game is played at 70 or fewer possessions with an average margin of +11.5, with wins against Kansas, Texas, and USC.
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boom, roasted
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Who the deuce is Richie Robnett?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
What's the severe downside for Robnett being short? That he's not as capable of hitting the ball hard and far? Because that's not true. Height inhibits him in the same way that it inhibited Jason Dubois. It doesn't, they just can't hit the ball with the bat enough. I mean, Mike Fontenot is about 4 foot 3, and he hit well enough for a LF last year. -
Cubs Fifth Starter Discussion
Transmogrified Tiger replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
What's the best case scenario for Guzman in the rotation? He's thrown 60 IP the last two years combined, there's no way you get a starter's workload out of him. So you use him up in the rotation and maybe get 100 IP out of him but then he's done for the year and you're back where you started by June. Or you can use him in the pen, monitor his workload, and have him available for the whole year, where he'll be just as valuable with 60 leveraged innings. Plus, the best of Marshall, Heilman, Samardzija is pretty good anyway, so there's not a steep dropoff in the 5th spot -
I can't figure out who the upper right is.
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Mizzou's going to be ranked in the Top 15 and has a 3 game lead on keeping a bye in the B12 tourney with 5 games to play, holy crap
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It appears Harden's shoulder feels great because he's actually Liev Schreiber's character in Defiance.
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Zambrano WILL NOT pitch in the WBC
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Schwarber Fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Innings thrown in the WBC are simply not the same as bullpen sessions or even spring training games. Going straight to high level competition after the offseason when you're used to 6 weeks of training and exhibitions is going to make a difference for some. -
Open Positive Cubs Memories Images Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Of all the images you still have from that, it's this one? Do you have sleeping hendry? -
http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=24000 12th round pick, never made it past Daytona.
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I don't think so, although my comparison would only be to the Big 12. In the Big 12 they only seem to screw you with questionable foul calls (block v. charge, call v. no call).
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I think Northwestern might try to draw a charge next time they have the ball. Those were some beyond-Duke level flops.
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I waited a second for him to finish that sentence and laughed when he didn't. I'm also very glad the capital letters are back. I felt cheated on my game day experience without them.
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How is a guy with that crappy looking a jumper playing in a BCS conference? I mean it's Northwestern, but still.
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This got called on Monday too. I don't think you're allowed to use both arms to pin a defender in place. At least, that's what it seemed to be in both instances.
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Last year has nothing to do with it, that's why I told you his cumulative two year OPS was .865. I was using '06 and '07 because he combined to play 2 half seasons, was a full time outfielder, and that wasn't his career year in a hitters park playing DH like last year was. i don't know how much i like a system that says a half season of an .865 ops from a corner outfielder in worth 10 million dollars. i mean, that's what we're paying him this year. if he hits 285/365/500 in 81 games, are we breaking even? of course not. It also was bullish on his defense, but like I said, going forward you expect him to be more offensive heavy even if he doesn't OPS 1000 again or profile as a plus defender.
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Last year has nothing to do with it, that's why I told you his cumulative two year OPS was .865. I was using '06 and '07 because he combined to play 2 half seasons, was a full time outfielder, and that wasn't his career year in a hitters park playing DH like last year was.
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That completely depends on how healthy he is. If he plays half of each season' date=' is that still a great deal?[/quote'] In 2006 and 2007 combined, Bradley played 157 games and was worth about $19.9 million dollars. Link Are we still using that? This is the same formula that said Willie Harris was worth 14.6 mil last year. Not to mention he's almost certainly not going to have a .999 OPS here. Bradley had an .865 OPS in '06 and '07. Also, his value is tied to offense much, much, much more than Willie Harris, and there's much, much, much less room for debate with how accurate the offensive metrics are in measuring value.
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That completely depends on how healthy he is. If he plays half of each season, is that still a great deal? In 2006 and 2007 combined, Bradley played 157 games and was worth about $19.9 million dollars. Link EDIT: 153 of those games were played in the outfield.
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Marty Brennaman hates Adam Dunn
Transmogrified Tiger replied to 17 Seconds's topic in General Baseball Talk
I think this showed up somewhere earlier this offseason too, but it's great enough to make fun of again. My favorite part is "Home runs are incidental" then in his next breath he says "Adam Dunn is paid to hit home runs". -
I think you'd be better off addressing the topics that are present rather than trying to discredit the people who have opinions on those topics that you find irrational.
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All I've read is that Bradley's option is tied to his health, and that he could still miss a significant amount of time(i.e. nothing about 2010 impacts the 2011 option) and still vest his 2011 money. I think it's Cubs option if he plays less than 250 games in the first two years. I'll try to find the exact number. But seriously, aren't these constant complaints about every late signings pat the point of ridiculous already? 250 games over '09-'10 sounds a lot better than what I heard, which is what Dexter said. If you can find a link that'd be a great help. And like it or not, there is a logic to being upset with Hendry for not holding out a little bit until the market was less saturated to see if a better deal could be had(especially with the payroll restrictions he had). Personally I wouldn't be comfortable waiting until a week before ST to do something as major as get my starting RF in order, but if others are they have a right to think Hendry should have done so.
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All I've read is that Bradley's option is tied to his health, and that he could still miss a significant amount of time(i.e. nothing about 2010 impacts the 2011 option) and still vest his 2011 money.
