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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Hmm, the new account that created it had a follow up spam post so in flagging them as a spammer it might've eaten the thread. EDIT: Yep, that's what it was, got it restored.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Maybe the most useful article I've ever seen from Jon Greenberg: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5673025/2024/08/01/chicago-cubs-motorola-patch-sponsorship-deal/?source=user_shared_article Based on quotes from the Cubs (which still lacked specifics) and some known comparisons to other clubs, we can probably estimate this brings the team ~15 million/year Motorola also has a patch on the Padres and Bulls The Cubs insisted any patch mirror the jersey colors There will also now be permanent Motorola signage behind home plate
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Thus far this season the team has had an off day about every 10 games, or slightly less to be precise. The rest of the season that's about every 7 games, and in September they'll have an extra pen arm. Plus there will be SP options returning to health to be eased in, with any luck. All that to say that I think there will be plenty of rest to go around among the stretched out arms, even if it's not formally a 6 man rotation. I did want to highlight this though: I understand the logic here, but I think this misses the forest for the trees. The most impactful thing the Cubs can do to bounce back from a frustrating 2024 is not optimize to get marginally more draft capital, it's to have the players on the roster make improvements and play well the rest of the year. Those two are fundamentally at odds, especially on this roster which has so few potential departing FA of consequence, and the organization is much healthier if Busch doesn't slump, Paredes shows his 2023-24 are repeatable, young pitchers don't hit a wall, etc. You should root for as few questions to answer in the offseason as possible, and while I love min-maxing within the rules as much as anyone and believe the draft capital is underrated in its consequence in general, it still pales compared to the MLB roster being the best versions of themselves heading into next season.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    He got 3/80 with multiple opt outs last year while having the QO attached. He doesn't have to come particularly close to repeating last year to get offers that would exceed that, though he might value the ability to have opt outs again that drive it down a bit. There are probably more than a dozen teams that would give Cody 4/80 today if they could, which means that the actual contract would be higher than that.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'd add that there's almost always shuffling at the end of the RP depth chart too. Brewer and Thompson stand out for being out of options after this year and not having seized enough of a role to get the benefit of the doubt.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    He's still 29 and would no longer be burdened by the QO, I have to think that even if he stayed healthy and his line stayed static the rest of the year that somebody is likely to give him a more lucrative deal than what he's on. Whether he has the appetite to go through FA again for marginal reward or if he wants to aim to crush it next year and get 9 figures after 2025 is harder to say.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    that's a home run
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    what are you talking about
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Neris since May 1: 27.2 IP, 3.58 ERA, 3.99 FIP, 29/13 K/BB, 3 HR He got off to a slow start with all the walks, but since then he's been fine. If the worst case scenario is you are required to pay him 9 million dollars there are many worse things.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    The countdown lasted less than 5 months
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    I saw a tweet in the last day or two say he was throwing in Arizona, per the club.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Someone has to take Leiter's spot.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Spite
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    More discussion here!
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm slightly underwhelmed, or at least I'm underwhelmed by the fit. I'm intrigued by the possibility Cowles has turned himself into a potential starting MIF, but that doesn't help short term the way that Leiter does. Neely seems like a decent relief prospect to backfill the 40 man when offseason shuffling happens.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Preseason FG commentary on Neely
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    Leiter convo here
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Getting under the luxury tax is only meaningful if you intend to be way over the tax in the third year, and even that is only means so much when you consider that it happens when payroll is over 240 million. Scenario A Year 1: Under Year 2: 15 million over Year 3: 20 million over Total tax: 7 million, 2.3 million/year Scenario B Year 1: 5 million over Year 2: 15 million over Year 3: 20 million over Total tax: 15.5 million, 5.1 million/year Scenario C Year 1: 5 million over Year 2: 20 million over Year 3: 35 million over Total tax: 28.7 million, 9.6 million/year
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Welcome!
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Quite the opposite, IMO. The Cubs filled one of their holes with a very good player that didn't touch their prospect capital or add significant AAV to the future to compromise their ability to spend in free agency. In the process they very much signaled their intent to be competitive in 2025. The conclusion is not 'well now they have to trade a very valuable infielder to hope against hope that a prospect that hasn't reached AAA will be better offensively', it's that they will more aggressively use those untouched resources to fill the other couple holes in the roster. I mean, are we really gonna functionally say 'finding catchers is hard so we better trade our 4 win 2B on sub-FA wages because that'll be easier to replace?' It's tying ourselves in knots with arbitrary limitations on what players can be a part of a very good offense.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Not sure why so many people are thinking the Cardinals made out like bandits in their deal, they probably gave up the best player of anyone. At a minimum Edman is similar value to Fedde and more likely provides a fair amount more value over the next 1.5 years. Pham doesn't really move the needle either as he's a league average bat and world class lunatic at this stage in his career.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Passan made the point well in the aftermath of the trade yesterday
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