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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't know if this is the plan for certain, but the repeater penalties only become a concern if you continue to raise payroll and live well above the tax line. Take two hypotheticals of a 3 year sample: A: under LT, 10 million over, 18 million over; 7.4 million in total penalties B: 5 million over, 10 million over, 15 million over; 13 million in total penalties In neither outcome are there draft penalties, and you're saving less than 6 million in penalties across a 3 year span by ducking under this first year. Plus in the Cubs case, after year 3 (2026) they have an easy opportunity to reset(Bellinger, Happ, Seiya, Taillon, and Hoerner all FA), so there's less of a slippery slope. Not to mention a new CBA starts in 2027.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Palencia has about 90 innings above High A and a 13.3% BB% in those innings. You can be an MLB reliever with that many walks but it also requires doing things that Palencia hasn't done, namely being very hard to barrel/hit HR off of. I don't see an urgency to get rid of him, and Estrada is an example that adjustments are possible, but I also think there needs to be *something* that results in a step change for Palencia. He's not on a path that ends with productive MLB RP, so whether that's something mechanical to improve command, a pitch mix change, or something else, he needs to do something to get there.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Last year Atlanta had a really big outlier in HR/FB, it was 19.1% and no team since the pandemic had cleared 16%. That was probably bound to regress and then you have the ball or whatever is suppressing offense this year probably impacting them further if they're that reliant on HR for offense. Acuna getting hurt doesn't help either, and I'm guessing there's some feedback loop effects where they benefitted from everyone hitting well simultaneously so the broken chain brings everyone down a bit(hitting with men on base less often, etc).
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Be the change you wish to see in the world, etc
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Viera has cachet with players thanks to his playing career, speaks excellent English, has familiarity and success coaching US players, and otherwise for club has not been actively bad(which is the maximum you can hope for). Hard to do much better than him, IMO.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    he went to an off-brand Westworld, I will consider no other theories about this
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    I actually missed the 3rd series the first 2 times I scanned because it's in small print, so I thought it was only 2 in Japan and 3 in LA. 2/3/2 is fine since 4/3 would've been a perfectly normal outcome otherwise, complaint withdrawn.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Tokyo series taking home games from us and not the Dodgers is kinda dumb.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    I agree that Morel doesn't make much sense to trade at the deadline, he can do more for his value by keeping him and having progression to the batted ball mean, despite losing marginal value with service time. I don't think you can reasonably go into 2025 with him on the roster though, unless you've done other more dramatic things with the OFs. Yes there aren't a bunch of terrific options for 3B in FA, but at the same time you can't consider Morel playable there if you have competitive aspirations, so his value as a 3B contingency is pretty much nil. Make a trade or do something more creative/aggressive to ensure you feel okay with 3B, personally as a longtime Moncada truther maybe giving him a pillow contract with Shaw nipping at his heels feels preferable.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    The announcement I saw was that he was on a minor league deal, so I wonder if it's a coincidence and Merryweather will get Palencia's spot out of the break?
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    He's had enough MLB PAs that he might just not be good enough, but Baty is the one comes to mind. Top 50 prospect, hit well without major red flags at all minor league levels, plays an okay 3rd defensively, and blocked on the current roster.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    11 IP, 15/2 K/BB in *this year's* Cape? That'll work in the 15th round.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    His brother transferred there for this season after 3 years at Mizzou. So yes but unless I misunderstood the eligibility rules(possible!) they wouldn't overlap even if Eli went to school.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    Cubs Rankings Prospect July 2024
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    This would be one of the funnier real life 'not like that' instances in recent memory
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    I require one (1) small school college draftee with video game numbers. It's not a proper draft until they take the JuCo kid with 20 K/9 or the guy from EastWestern State Tech who has a 1.500 OPS.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    James Russell being a Home Run Derby pitcher is multiple traumas I was not prepared for
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Halbach seems like more fun than your average 10th round college pick. Hit really well in the Cape but missed most of the college season (I'm assuming due to injury). Also he makes 3 Big West signings in 10 picks with the UCSB guys.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Also they didn't have a comp or 2nd rounder, so the magnitude of savings beyond potentially Wetherholt(who has decently strong leverage at 7) only adds up to so much.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    gotta hang dong to hit dongs
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    It's pick 120, the best all-time pick at that spot was Mickey Morandini
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    That 2030 infield of Smith/Cruz/Southisene/Mathis is going to be the something
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    For sure, that's why it's good for him that he's currently hitting .400 instead of .300 like the Almoras of the world.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    I guess here's what I'm driving at, and this is a hobby horse of mine so I get that I'm being at least a little pedantic. FB and GB rate have a denominator of batted balls, so if Wilson's GB are higher simply because he's impossible to strike out, is that necessarily a negative thing. Making the denominator PA is illustrative, Wilson has 19 FB in 90 AAA PA(21%), last year in AAA Michael Busch(who has pretty consistently been heralded for his swing path/FB tendencies) was 113/469, or 24%, making the difference in Wilson's AAA performance 1-2 FB.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Looks like he was invited to the combine, and according to some AI Slime/Sports Illustrated blogger he's clocked 107 exit velos.
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