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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. What's the disconnect on those numbers from his -0.1 defensive rating that's going into his WAR calculation? For catchers with at least 190 PAs (to get his 196), only Flowers, Gattis, and Montero are worse (32 total). That is largely a result of his 164 innings that have graded out poorly at a non-premium position (LF, where he has a -19.6 UZR/150). Bad grade at bad position = poor defensive WAR number. Further, I don't believe FG is incorporating any sort of pitch framing gain into WAR as of yet. Also, the numbers in that article are from Baseball Prospectus's catcher defense stuff, so none of that is making up part of his fWAR.
  2. [tweet]https://twitter.com/carriemuskat/status/766679000613842944[/tweet] [tweet]https://twitter.com/carriemuskat/status/766679423772823552[/tweet] [tweet]https://twitter.com/carriemuskat/status/766680973228531713[/tweet]
  3. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/kris-bryant-might-be-the-best-all-around-player-in-the-nl/ this is only a footnote in the article but yes I am here for the favorable Bryant/Trout comparisons please and thank you
  4. If it was Rondon going to the DL instead of Lackey, I don't think that Zastryzny would be the guy getting called up. Zastryzny is the clear answer to 'if you have to call up a starting pitcher from the current Iowa roster, who would it be?' I suppose Rondon and Lackey could both be hurt, but more likely Maddon cares more about keeping Hector from getting hurt again than he does winning any game in the next 6 weeks, so letting Grimm get 1 out in a meaningless game against the Brewers isn't much of an indicator.
  5. The FA options for SP this offseason *at the top of the market* are guys like Cashner, Hellickson, and Brett Anderson's arm fragments. Also there may not be a ton of cash to float around, Lester/Heyward style. That said, I bet you could get some teams pretty interested in trading a good SP, with something like Soler/Baez, Lackey/Hammel to backfill their rotation(if a contender), a prospect like Candelario, etc.
  6. OPS against us is about 1.400, which means against everyone else it's probably closer to .600 than .700.
  7. I would be comfortable trading away a maximum of one player from the 'glut' in terms of that not hurting depth to the point of opening a hole. There's definitely roster spots for all of them too so I think it's far less of a problem than we'd like to think, we all grew up on a relatively static 8 man lineup going out most days(maybe with a platoon or two thrown in), and that's not really the reality or ideal any longer. With that in mind, I'd simplify the problem to the idea that Soler, Schwarber, and Heyward are probably not all going to get every day starter at bats in the same outfield. It's possible, especially with Almora as a likely platoon bat and defensive replacement, but I don't think that's the defensive outfield the front office wants to be leading with. So if Soler continues to hit, my hunch is that he gets dealt in the offseason. If he doesn't hit he might yet be traded, but it's easier to justify him as a platoon/bench bat.
  8. Candelario's repeated ability to be terrible for months, get promoted, and then wreck shop at a higher level is...perplexing.
  9. I'm pretty bummed the Dodgers won so I couldn't post that the Mets were as close to the Phillies as they were to the wild card lead.
  10. why do i see such different numbers on baseball reference? do you have playoffs added in? Yes, playoff numbers are added in for both. Although both were incredible in the playoffs so the closeness of their numbers wouldn't deviate too much if you discarded the playoffs.
  11. Soler's last calendar year: 260 PA, .261/.361/.518/.879, 23% K%, 13% BB% Schwarber's MLB career: 309 PA, .251/.359/.521/.880, 28% K%, 13% BB%
  12. Giants load the bases with no outs in the 9th, down 2 to the Pirates, with Posey and Crawford due up 6-4-3 FO-8 Giants lose
  13. Elsewhere in 'probably not DL-worthy injuries that make it simpler for us to manipulate the 25 man roster', Coghlan is DLed with a rib contusion and Patton is up to replace him, presumably until La Stella(who I'm told looks like a seal, iirc) is in game shape.
  14. Once you're past 30 you'll realize hooker and blow fiestas can involve many, many people. Right, I was saying more 'isn't the easy answer to if Lochte is caught lying in verifying with the other guys' and not 'he couldn't have been doing cocaine, there were other people!'
  15. The 3 and 4 order doesn't really matter, but man what does Hendricks gotta do to get that #3 spot
  16. Seems relevant here. [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet] Congrats on your recent run of success Montgomery, here's a start in Coors as a reward.
  17. Weren't there like 6 swimmers there for the incident? Not that other swimmers can't be into [thing that would be hilarious if Lochte was doing], but I thought Lochte got most of the press because of his name, and not because he was the only one there.
  18. Smith to the DL with a hamstring strain so Cahill can stay on the roster. Or better stated, "Joe, you're a FA after the year, how about you sit down for a few weeks with a non-arm injury so you can be a part of the 15 man September pen and not have the stench of being DFA'd on you when you try to find a job next year?"
  19. Sure, Hedges kept his walk rate below 2 this year and throws a sinker. Beyond that they really have nothing in common. Hendricks was still better all around in the minors with a plus pitch to go with it. To me it's shoehorning in a name and selling Hendricks short, and I'm not even the biggest Hendricks fan. There's pleeeeenty of other RHs in pro ball that could work Don't do this semantical hand-wringing about the surgical accuracy of a comp, it's uninteresting and ultimately pointless because no one was aiming for that level of precision. Kyle Hendricks is great, and he succeeds in an uncommon way. Zach Hedges is not someone who is projected to succeed at the MLB level, but if he does it would be in a similar way as Hendricks, by combining elite control with an ability to prevent hard contact. Hedges also is a bit unique, there's only a handful of SP in MiLB who do those three things as well as he does(BB%, HR rate, BABIP). Hedges is ultimately unlikely to make it happen(hence the 'homeless man's' comparison), but in the absence of a better comparison that people would be as familiar with, it makes the point.
  20. Hedges bears more in common with Hendricks than 'doesn't throw hard but does well'. He's the homeless man's version of Hendricks, but if you're already properly couching him as a depth/org arm, then Hendricks is the archetype that Hedges fits.
  21. Glad to see that Bloomquist wasn't lost in the shuffle at South Bend, I'm still intrigued by him.
  22. Yes, I turn 30 in a few months.
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