Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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I get the bunker mentality from Costa Rica, but they just had a 5 v 4 or at worst 5 v 5 in transition and they approached it with zero urgency and couldn't even get the ball into the attacking third. They know they need to at least score one, right?
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beginning to think Costa Rica won't end the day on -6 GD
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2022-23 Offseason Thread (non-Cubs)
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
For me it's more the continued accumulation of signed deals. Like maybe there's an early-offseason premium being paid to get guys to put pen to paper, but Clevinger, Boyd, Martin Perez getting a QO, even Nick Martinez are not leaving much room to think the floor is all that low for players who have any room for optimism in their performance. -
2022-23 Offseason Thread (non-Cubs)
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Most people I've seen agree that deal would be a slight stretch, but Kelenic has 550 PA of sub-replacement play since that prospect ranking, and Madrigal is a pre-arb former top 50 prospect(as high as 12 by BP) himself that has at least shown some ability to hit MLB pitching. I think the value is in the ballpark even if it's most likely Madrigal plus something. The biggest problem, that you did point out, is finding a team where Madrigal fills a need. That's why I came back to the A's, because they're one of the few teams with a bad middle infield situation at both the MLB and high minors that would be more willing to overlook Madrigal's lack of positional flexibility. -
This was basically identical to the ball Pulisic scored on against Iran, except Lukaku stopped and tried to chest the ball down to himself and a bad touch instead just bounced it sideways back to the keeper. I don't think he was trying to chest that down, I think he didn't see it until late or got caught flat footed when Lovren whiffed the header. I didn't really want Belgium to go through, but seeing Lukaku after the game was still a bit heartbreaking.
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2022-23 Offseason Thread (non-Cubs)
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm gonna have to come back to the Madrigal for Kaprielian deal I floated earlier in the offseason. I don't love him as a player, but there's enough to like that if any FA SP worth considering is getting 12-15M+, getting him for a surplus infielder to be the secondary SP addition makes the offseason a lot easier. -
2022-23 Offseason Thread (Cubs)
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Similarly a stretch but you could maybe include Tatis in with Machado. He doesn't have age or opt-outs working for his trade candidacy(and therefore the competition would be intense), but they're already talking about how they don't exactly have a position they really want him playing to start the year so the logical leap to trading him to fill other holes/get LT relief/move on from his off-field nonsense is at least within the realm of possibility. -
2022-23 Offseason Thread (Cubs)
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm pretty skeptical the Cubs are gonna want to mess with a Rule 5 pick for several reasons, but the one path that could make sense to me is a CF like Misner. The timing of finding out if he's a guy or not lines up so if he fails you can dump him and summon Davis/Canario later in the year for the same spot. Maybe the CF options seem unpalatable and/or prices for everything are higher than expected so they find a cheaper solution there to ensure they get different targets elsewhere. It would be a bit at odds with the spirit of Jed's CF comments though. -
So what could happen tomorrow: - Spain wins v. Japan because they're a force of nature - Costa Rica Concacafs their way into a draw(or victory) against the Germans - Morocco beats a Canada team playing a dead rubber - Belgium gets a result in a must-win game against Croatia That would add up to round of 16 matchups of Spain v. Croatia/Belgium, and....Morocco v. Costa Rica.
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Australia is in AFC now No, they're still in Oceania, they just play Asian teams because playing Oceania qualifying was like playing Aruba six times in a qualifying cycle. I think you're confusing Australia and New Zealand, Australia is definitely in AFC and went through their qualifying.
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that's a shame Liga MX also didn't win CCL for the first time this season as well.
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So we probably know enough to figure the most likely path for the US. It's simple really, just beat the Netherlands, then Argentina, then Brazil, then France, and you win the world cup.
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The amount of xG that has not been converted in the last 20 minutes in either of these games that would've swapped Mexico and Poland is insane
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oh man a Saudi defender just stuffed a shot headed towards an empty net because the keeper committed to the first ball
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Poland have a multiple card lead on Mexico in fair play points, so Mexico does need that 3rd goal even if Argentina scores again to even up GD. It also means that Mexico needs 2 if Poland and Argentina trade goals.
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if we can't get the Poland/Australia knockout game, can we at least not have Mexico fluke their way into the knockouts for a second straight WC
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lol ball don't lie Messi, that never should've been a pen to begin with
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Lifelong Poland fan logging on here
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Paul Tenorio and Sam Stejskal at The Athletic do great stuff, Sam's series about several players through the lens of their hometowns(Adams, Aaronson, Dest, Weah, Berhalter) is especially good. For stuff that isn't pre-world cup profiles, Paul's blow by blow of stoppage time today is pretty good.
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love that we're now playing with house money so the banter can really level up
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Coming back to this, my guess it's a combo of: - Gio is not 100%, and he's a teenager* who's played 800 club minutes in the last 18 months so he's being kept on a strict leash - Gio is not a vertical threat(especially given the injury risk), so he doesn't help the team as much in certain game states - Gregg doesn't rate Gio's defensive work as highly as others, which means he doesn't rank as highly as other options in certain other game states - Gio is not a clean fit at any position in the US formation, he's not a pure winger in the way that Pulisic, Weah, or Morris are(and Aaronson can be), and he's not enough of an engine room guy to be one of the 8s(which Aaronson only gets away with due to his 80 grade work rate) *he turned 20 two weeks ago
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What does this mean? The numbers in parentheses are the expected goals totals, or xG. You can think of it similarly to the statcast stuff you might see about expected batting average, it's measuring how likely a goal was when a shot was taken. It's not super definitive for a couple reasons(similar to why no one would look at single game FIP for proof a pitcher was awesome), but it can help you understand who had the better chances.
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2022-2023 Offseason Top Prospects List
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Does anyone else sometimes casually forget the #7 overall pick from this summer being among our top prospects, because I definitely lack object permanence with these pitching prospects before they debut.
