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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    If we're claiming that the front office isn't going to make some big investment until Heyward's contract is off the books, since that's one season away the only logical reason would be that they can't afford both Heyward's contract and another large investment. Except despite having 25 million of AAV in dead money between Heyward and Bote, they're still a zillion dollars below previous spending levels. If you think that Jed is going to be gun shy about long term deals for whatever reason(Heyward PTSD, efficiency fetish, etc) that's fine, but the idea that they will do a big contract but only when Heyward's is off the books doesn't make any coherent sense.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    First I've seen of some media chatter that Trevor Rogers might be available, really like to see that
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'd be surprised if they cut Higgins. He performed well, the word of mouth about him via beat reporters is strong, and they probably are uneasy about Amaya being the 3rd catcher on the 40 man. That also points towards Rivas' fate being extra sealed(since Higgins can fake it at 1B for a few games) which is why I'd just non-tender him now. You have Young who was successfully outrighted if you need a bad AAA 1B, but more likely it's a place Wisdom can help too. As for Marquez, I think that dream has to die and you might as well cut him in case some more utilitarian need pops up. The window for a really positive outcome is just too narrow given how far he has to go and the option clock ticking against him.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    You can actually pick them in the poll. :) I went with Leiter, Marquez, Rivas and Ortega. I did! Not sure I understand the hurry to non-tender Leiter. He was excellent as a reliever and doesn't cost anything, worst case scenario you can try to sneak him through when you absolutely need the spot later in the offseason(and I'd at least consider Rucker and/or McKinstry first).
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Today, Rivas, Marquez, and maybe Ortega depending on the plans for the OF.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'd expect there to be a handful of moves over the next 2 weeks, then a flurry of moves the week of the winter meetings(starting 2 weeks from Sunday) and into the week after, then a dead period at Christmas, and finally a steady stream from January til ST. Tomorrow is the non-tender deadline which should be the last big roster domino that needs to fall before teams start getting particularly aggressive about moves.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    There was some similar chatter on Twitter when the betting odds for Correa came out, it only takes one but it's not really clear who is waiting to give him 9-10 years.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    I've long said that Weah could be a great fit at the 9 in this system, but why is this a thing being considered 6 days before the world cup starts
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Contract crowdsourcing had Rizzo getting 3/54 and Abreu getting 2/32. Feels like that 2/32 should still be possible, especially if Abreu does have a fondness for staying in Chicago.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    The most cost efficient option is antenna + subscribing to Peacock. That will get you all the big Fox games over the air, and any others will be on Telemundo (albeit in Spanish) on Peacock. Other considerations: - It looks like 21 group stage games are on big Fox with the other 27 on FS1, and all the US group games are on Fox. - The Cable games are slanted towards the weekends, presumably since Fox has football obligations that take precedence. - All of the knockout games are on big Fox except the 2 round of 16 games on Sunday December 4th(again, presumably because of NFL obligations) - Unfortunately, if the US wins their group, they'll be one of those December 4th games TL;DR if you have a way to watch Fox OTA you're gonna be able to watch a lot of these games. The cheapest option to fill in the cable gaps is Peacock, but it'll be in Spanish.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    He was getting torched in 3 inning starts at South Bend(where he couldn't throw strikes, didn't prevent HR, and didn't get GB), even if they had protected him he might've run out of option years before he was ready to be a bullpen piece, never mind a starter. Especially with the more restrictive roster rules around bullpens next year, if someone can make him work at the MLB level all year(and somehow not stunt his development further), you tip your cap and move on. I had a slight preference for Sanders v. Jansen because Sanders had made it to AAA and shown signs the RP conversion could be fruitful, but ultimately it's a marginal decision.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    I agree that the most likely thing this portends is that McKinstry didn't save himself with his decent September line, and he's getting outrighted the moment it becomes necessary(maybe today, maybe in 2 weeks, maybe in January). Other less likely possibilities include an increased likelihood of Madrigal/Morel getting traded, a lesser 40 man squeeze than assumed that can afford to carry Mastrobuoni(who still has options), or even the Cubs wanting to give him a look in CF in some form.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Bowden and Wittenmyer have prediction columns up that despite being unsourced, both have Correa going to the Cubs. Wittenmyer also has a non-tendered Bellinger signing, which is the only other Cubs mention of either piece.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah I think it's mostly about the 40 man space, aside from Glasnow and Margot(both of whom signed their current deals in the last 12 months), there's no one making more than a couple million, and they lost Kiermaier, Zunino, and Kluber's salaries which were like a third of their payroll. That said, I'm sure they'll be more willing to trade the arb guys than the pre-arb guys, but I'd be surprised if they took on current 40 man obligations.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    I almost included Cleavinger but didn't with his pre-arb salary and solid performance, but given what you say about his nomadic career and that TB might not see his 2022 BB% as his true talent, that's a distinct possibility.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Twitter is jumping on the idea of Glasnow being a target, I have no complaints with his ability but a 15M AAV plus significant trade cost is a lot to choke down for a guy who has never reached 15 MLB GS in a season. My 'I looked up a bunch of guys I had heard of once before' take is Beeks might be the guy? Arb eligible reliever whose peripherals don't match the performance justifies it for the Rays, but maybe some room for development given his TJS in 2021 and big LHP fastball to either be a late inning RP or LH Thompson? The other two off the wall ideas are best posed as questions. 1) How many starts do they think they could get out of Chirinos if they only wanted SP2 to be a Wesneski hedge instead of a bigger investment? 2) How much have the Rays soured on Patiño, and relatedly, how healthy is his arm?
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    The way the article described it, that program is less aiming to get Hendricks to gain new velocity, and more trying to get him back to previous highs(e.g. 88 mph on the fastball v. 86), plus possibly make his delivery more repeatable. Personally I don't see much to lose given how little we can count on Hendricks' 2023 baseline, but what is sticking in my head is how Kilian's command evaporated right when they were able to upgrade his stuff, so I'm gonna treat it as BSOHL level optimism for now.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    holy smokes the last 2 minutes of Bills/VIkings has had three different plays that made my jaw drop
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Aaronson being listed as a midfielder on the roster(for the first time I believe) on top of his great form looms large here.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah I can get on board with Smith essentially being the new Robertson pretty easily. Another one that is a little more speculative is Alex Colome. He's been Fastball/Cutter for a while(which probably explains at least some of his Rockies tenure) and he still has the same velo from when he was a strong closing option, which feels like a good foundation for this staff to work with.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Can someone be knighted and arrested for the same thing, because I think that's about what should happen to Jesse Marsch for what he's doing to the people of Leeds
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Not sure what you're getting at here. No one is saying 'well this is their one chance to get a star-level player so it better be great', but they also aren't going to make 3+ or even 2 investments of that caliber AAV *this year* so the difference in certainty/upside certainly matters. If he hits like last year then great! He's a good defender and a year younger than Bogaerts/Turner. But since he's only been above average hitter last year and the pandemic-shortened 2020, I'm extremely skeptical!
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm not a big Steamer fan, but I think it boils down the point pretty well. Correa 5.1 fWAR Bogaerts 4.5 Turner 4.7 Swanson 3.2 You can do a lot better for your star-level investment, especially when you do have Hoerner so SS defense(the one differentiator for Swanson) is not a gaping hole where you'd get disproportionate benefit. If someone wants to make the case that Swanson made some specific improvement that makes 2022 the new norm I'm open to it, but his candidacy to belong in this category hinges on stuff like his 2022 defensive value(a cartoonish 15 RAA beating a previous career high of 7), and him maintaining an offensive level that (to put it gently) he has not reached with consistency.
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