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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Canada continuing their trend of being weirdly bad in tournament play, especially since their play style and strengths should be well suited.
  2. Unless Japan beats Spain, right? Then Spain and Germany would be on 4 and Spain probably has the GD. Unlikely but with the way this Cup is going, I'm not ruling anything out. A Japan/Spain draw would also make it come down to GD/tiebreakers in that situation.
  3. I swear every day I wake up and the early game was either a scoreless draw or a shock upset by a team that was supposed to lose by 3
  4. They can technically advance with any result in the Argentina/Poland game, but both a draw and an Argentina win require some difficult goal differential magic to get there. Plus Saudi Arabia is through with a win or maybe a draw themselves, and Mexico hasn't created anything offensively so far, so they are in deep trouble.
  5. this is a very dangerous few minutes for Mexico, 3-0 would make advancement a really tough proposition
  6. As weird as it would be to start 3 strikers in 3 games, I kinda think this is a game for Ferreira. He's good at connecting play and excellent at counter pressing, against CONCACAF bunkers he regularly created turnovers in dangerous areas. For similar reasons I'd think about Aaronson coming in for Musah, if not at the start then as a semi-early sub, which also helps manage Musah's workload.
  7. Looked it up earlier, and when Kante was Adams' age, he was in his last season at Caen before he got the move to Leicester for their title season(and then immediately moved to Chelsea). If Musah gets enough reps to start racking up key passes and a few goals, he's gonna get a 9 figure move before 2026.
  8. I don't think there's an objectively wrong answer, it's a matter of how you want to balance it. If you can include 2023 you're going to drag down the total AAV and get that benefit for 2024, 2025, 2026, etc. That seems worth doing if you can pull it off. But 2023 should also represent the lowest payroll for a while so you don't want to hamstring next year too much in the process, especially for someone like Happ whose AAV is gonna be 8 figures regardless.
  9. Right, they're gonna play sufferball whether they need a draw or a 3 goal win. Like maybe they'll open up a little more in the final 15-20 minutes if they need a win, but their entire existence is based around burning the clock with a low block. I have no idea what that last part means lol :hello: Their manager Quieroz famously has had the same approach with multiple national teams, and it's bunker hard and don't really change anything even if game state changes. Obviously the England game shows that at a certain amount of adversity they have to try to play a little, but fundamentally they are not doing anything different up 1 or down 1 until after the 75th minute.
  10. I think it just allows them to bunker down a bit and make sure they don’t lose They'll bunker either way though right? Right, they're gonna play sufferball whether they need a draw or a 3 goal win. Like maybe they'll open up a little more in the final 15-20 minutes if they need a win, but their entire existence is based around burning the clock with a low block.
  11. NOT NOW TURNER
  12. Mason Mount belongs in jail
  13. lol that's an orange card that didn't even draw a whistle
  14. I knew the muppet committing cynical fouls every 2 minutes looked familiar
  15. give them the yellows they are earning please
  16. I don't really rate Haji, but him starting is the opposite of being dogmatic to Berhalter's preferred tactical setup.
  17. Catcher, 1B/DH, at least one rotation spot, and the back end of the bullpen. Basically every addition they want to make aside from SS, which as we know is more about the availability of stars than a gaping hole to be addressed. Catcher has Gomes, Higgins, Amaya…1B/DH has Wisdom, Rivas on the 40…They’ve got Stroman/Steele/Hendricks/Wesneski/Thompson as a nominal 5 plus prospects at every level down to the 2022 DSL…How are these worse than what’s in CF for 2023? I dunno man, if an external acquisition doesn't work out, which outcome would I rather have spent more to avoid? Davis/Canario/PCA in CF, Gomes/Higgins at C, Wesneski/Thompson at 5 starter, Mervis at 1B/DH, or Estrada/Rodriguez/Leiter as late inning relievers? If CF isn't at the bottom of that list it's awfully close.
  18. Another way to look at it is they don’t have any ML centerfielders. Where are the contingencies worse as far as a 2023 team? Catcher, 1B/DH, at least one rotation spot, and the back end of the bullpen. Basically every addition they want to make aside from SS, which as we know is more about the availability of stars than a gaping hole to be addressed.
  19. I think the idea is more 'we have a lot of holes and three top 100 caliber prospects who could potentially play CF at AAA, AAA, and A+/AA, so we're not going to use a bunch of resources to get a long term solution when other positions have far worse contingencies'.
  20. This uses a lot of words from Sharma/Mooney to not say a ton of new things about the team's plans given the headline, but this paragraph feels noteworthy: https://theathletic.com/3930059/2022/11/25/cubs-offseason-kodai-senga-seiya-suzuki/ There's nothing super new in there, but it implies 1) they will be adding an external catcher, so going cheap with Higgins doesn't seem to be in the cards and 2) the short term approach to CF means that Nimmo and any trade targets that take significant trade assets are probably not happening. It also mentions that Senga is on the list of SP they're monitoring but Rodon/DeGrom/Verlander are not happening.
  21. Also of note, Iran's right midfielder will be out with yellow card accumulation and apparently 3 others had some type of injury leaving the field today, so there's a chance they'll be not at full strength.
  22. The discourse is extremely similar to the convo before the last qualifying window. In hindsight, playing for keeps @ Mexico made things easier, and the quotes from Berhalter on the topic this week are that he's not thinking hard about rotation, so outside of maybe being a little quicker with a Dest/McKennie sub(who may need it for fitness anyway), I don't expect much rotation. Maybe one exception might be Ream? It's weird to say after he was borderline MOTM against Wales, but England are gonna have a ton of the ball and will be able to isolate him far better, and Ream's passing will be much higher leverage against Iran's bunker.
  23. This is why you don't let a below average MLS ref go to the world cup
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