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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Half hour to tip off. Spur of the moment prediction: 76-69 MSU Villanova up 10 in Louisville with 13:48 left.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    40 of 90? wouldn't that be 44% and 41 of 76 be 54%? I'm not the biggest math guy in the world but even at first glance 30 of 90 would be 1/3 or 33%. His percentages are right if you think of those numbers as 40/130, 41/117, and 34/164. Confusing language to be sure.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Is that Barrett's fault or the pitchers? Molina on defense is largely going on defensive reputation of a couple of years ago rather than his upcoming production, he's not as good as he was in his late 20s. Molina peaked offensively last year and will likely not produce the same numbers as he did last year. To give him a multi-year deal partially based on his offensive production last year and his defensive reputation of the past is a finanical mistake. You don't know that. Very presumptuous on your part. Now, if you had said that catchers over 30 typically decline, then yes, that's factual. But your statement had nothing factual about it. It's all your assumption. He had by far the best offensive year of his career at age 30 at a position that isn't kind to players leaving or past their prime. You can't ignore the likelihood of it because it's not an absolute certainty.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    You haven't been around here long then.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Who was it that got all those picks from Ditka so that he could draft Williams? Washington?
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    How was the Texas INT a bad call? They got it right. The other one, right after the "Young's knee" call. Kelso(sp? #4) picked off a pass and his landing on the ground jarred out the ball. It was ruled incomplete and wasn't reviewed, even though replay's showed it was a pretty clear interception.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Again, doesn't Rothschild call the pitches? How can Barrett be faulted if that's the case?
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    Doesn't Rothschild call the game? Do we know that Bud Black doesn't call pitches for Anaheim?
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't think it was clear at all. It said 2004, but it was not clear if it carried over, and it makes perfect sense that it would carry over. I don't understand why people are freaking out about this. We've been aware there was a chance it would happen for years, and it became clear it most likely would happen quite a while ago. It said 2004, and expressly mentioned he needed to be a super-two to exercise the option. There's a reason everyone thought Prior's contract was guaranteed until those newspaper reports. But whatever, it is what it is now I guess.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    I really haven't looked into momentum much, but if I had to guess I'd say it's similar to clutch hitting. Player's have the momentum sometimes, and sometimes they don't. Much like performances in clutch situations, it will level out over time with respect to how often you have or don't have it. Also, I think momentum plays much less of a role as it does in other sports, given the methodical nature of the game.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    As I understand it, James is saying that due to the small sample size of 'clutch' at-bats per year and the high amount of luck involved in every at-bat, it is impossible to compare yearly 'clutch' numbers - there is too much luck involved. Exactly, there's way too much variation for performance in 'clutch' situations to be predictive or more than an afterthought in player evaluation. That's not what he's saying at all. He's saying that all studies to date have failed to prove "clutch" AND have failed to disprove it. James believes the methods used to determine if clutch exists were flawed. He seems open to the idea that someday there may be a study that proves clutch, but the right metric has yet to be discovered. Sorry, I was referring to noisesquared's comment below the quote, I had already read the article previously.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    There were less than 20 seconds left when Young scored. There's a pretty good chance the extra 25+ yards is going to take near that amount of time, plus it's extra yardage to stop UT, force a turnover, etc. Given that they'd already been shut down on a 4th and short, and that this one wasn't even under a yard, I would've kicked it away.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    That's not true... I've known about Prior's opt-out clause for quite some time. There was a lot of discussion about it last year as to whether he qualified as a Super Two or not, etc. I've been saying all offseason that Prior is arbitration eligible and will almost certainly elect it. This has definitely been documented. From what we as fans had available, the language was pretty clear it referred to 2004, and there was no indication that there was another option for this year or that it carried over to '05.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    Are you sure your brain doesn't just register all proper nouns as "Notre Dame" LOL, you may be right. Cpatt: Just because I am a Cubs fan does not mean it makes any more sense to me. I still find it baffling, just as I always have. Should've said you should be used to it, not that you understand it. Inferiority complexes work in mysterious ways.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    You're a Cubs fan, you probably should.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    As I recall, Hawkins was pretty bad with 1 run leads, and he dealt with an abnormally large amount of them too. Bad combo.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Me neither. The multiple colors threw me off, I always thought it looked like elb, but that doesn't make any sense.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    As I understand it, James is saying that due to the small sample size of 'clutch' at-bats per year and the high amount of luck involved in every at-bat, it is impossible to compare yearly 'clutch' numbers - there is too much luck involved. Exactly, there's way too much variation for performance in 'clutch' situations to be predictive or more than an afterthought in player evaluation.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    As someone who likes to track contract info, it's very frustrating that with all the details we know about his deal that we didn't know about this option until last month.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    i'm sure it was mentioned earlier in the thread (don't want to go back 15 or so pages) but why in the heck did he call for a timeout on the 2 point conversion? He pretty much set himself up for Texas to win after that seeing they couldn't stop the clock at all on their final drive. Carroll definitely did not have his greatest game ever coaching. I don't think Carroll called the last timeout, I saw a USC DB call it. All 3 of the USC timeouts in the second half were avoidable. Delay of game, Carroll sprinting up the sidelines on a third down for the second, and that one.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    I know he's an aggressive guy, but I really would've made Texas go the extra 30+ yards by punting that last 4th down. Clock would've been a much bigger enemy for UT then.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    I've tossed around the idea in my head of having two of those in the backfield. 2 QB's at the same time may be the next frontier.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    WTG Big 12 Why are you dancing on the podium Young, take your trophy already.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Did you watch the Orange Bowl? Penn St. took 3 overtimes to beat a team ranked 22nd. Ohio State convincingly beat a top 10 team. I have Ohio State ahead of Penn State, even after Penn State beat them. I mean, Penn State nearly lost to Northwestern. And Penn State was nearly undefeated but Lloyd Carr got some seconds falsely added to the clock. I don't think margin of victory in bowl game is enough justification to put OSU over Penn St when they lost to Penn St and lost more games total than Penn St.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    That last number has a pretty small sample size. Manny has pretty consistent numbers with RISP, 2 outs over the last 5 years, though. His scoring position numbers are in twice the size of the last one, and that's worse than his numbers for the season. For his career, Manny's numbers in different situations aren't significantly different from his career totals, which is exactly the point. The vast majority of the time, situational numbers revert towards the player's career numbers.
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