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Tim

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Everything posted by Tim

  1. In case it wasn't obvious, Javy for the sheer joy of watching him play. Morel was my favorite from the current team. 😞
  2. Every time I look at the stats, I have to remind myself that Alcantara started 0-29. Coming into today, he had a .378 wOBA since that time. Obviously even higher now. Another guy that's ready for AAA
  3. And some people think us fans are prospect-clutchers.
  4. I would LOVE to have Erceg
  5. ??? - he played in A+ last year.
  6. That depends on his throwing motion.
  7. Did you miss the posts where people are showing that he's already making significant adjustments? Or the ones about him providing positive value already even with his (to date) anemic offense?
  8. Since June 30th, he's running a 16.7 k% and has a .193 IsoP during that time. He's making adjustments. It's still just a 70 wRC+, due to a .200 babip. Given his speed, I would expect him to run a much higher babip over time. he's getting there.
  9. Fun fact: over a recent sample of games, PCA has a 1.667 OPS and 372 wRC+. (fine, it's only two games)
  10. Overrated is pretty nebulous, but "barely above average" is both meaningful and specific.
  11. I'm sorry you don't like how language works.
  12. I don't have receipts, but I've heard the Sox are asking for a fortune for him. We have people on here suggesting that getting a guy with a below average wRC+ (after today's game) would "fix all our offensive problems". He's overrated. He's at 0.2 defensive value in 52 games. That's pretty close to definition of "barely above average".
  13. He's averaging fewer games per year recently than Eloy. He won't contribute if he's not on the field He was phenomenal back in 2021 (for less than 1/2 of a season). He was really good last year. He was meh in 2022 and he's been very meh this year His expected stats are even worse this year than his tepid performance His k% has gone from 19.2% -> 28.9% -> 36.8% over the past three years He's been barely above average in CF this year These are things that may all point to injuries catching up with him He's going to be overvalued based on his 2021 and 2023. But he's not showing he's still capable of producing like that in 2024. I'll leave alone you trying to figure out why I'm saying what I'm saying.
  14. meh Robert is pretty overrated. He's really overrated if his 36.6 k% is his new normal.
  15. This makes me feel better about things. Paredes doesn't seem like he fits into a general profile with those guys, but if he can maintain that profile it is certainly a good sign.
  16. Perhaps. But... If you think the underlying performance is random, you'd still have 6% of players overperform 4 years in a row It's only three years in a row, which would be a 12.5% chance In Detroit, he underperformed his expected values. It was only in Tampa where they were exceeded So...maybe? Probably? But there's real risk there.
  17. Which one is the smart organization? I guess we'll find out
  18. Maybe it's just a bias from my limited sample in watching, but it seems like he makes more errors when he has extra time, not when he has to rush and make plays from odd angles.
  19. My concerns about Paredes in one chart:
  20. Bigge was my favorite relief prospect. Ty Johnson was going to start getting ranked after this year. He's got really good stuff and has gotten results across two levels this year. He's rapidly overcoming the 15th round selection bias.
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