cwood218

NDOC & CDCR ( Nevada Department of Corrections & California Department of Corrections ) put a pause on the inmate weekend furlough program. This action has led to a majority of Raider fans being unable to attend. Which of course leaves a bunch of seats up for grab.

Yes, yes they are. You definitely didn't think this part through. My scenario looks at the next ten picks in general as "these are considered the top of the draft talents" what would have happened if they had just choose differently. In your redraft scenario we now have 7 seasons of results. There is no guess work or projection. First, we know that Barkley has an outstanding first year, Followed by good second year. However, years 3 and 4 he misses a lot of games and the production he has is trash. Year 5 is back to good but now he is costing more since it's his option year. Year 6 eats even more of the salary cap and he is below average. That's all the Giants got out of the pick. Second, and more important, we have the entire draft to look through since it is a redraft. Also, we can be a lot more loose with positional value and upside because we know who hits and who busts. #2 Is obviously Allen or Lamar whichever one Cleveland passes on. In some order all of the following would have been more productive first round picks from pick #3 on. Denzel Ward - Derwin James - Minkah Fitzpatrick Frank Ragnow - Quenton Nelson Fred Warner - Vita Vea - Mark Andrews - NIck Chubb That's just a quick look through, defiantly not an exhaustive list.

I believe your confusing Ward ( Cleveland ) with Jeff Okudah the #3 pick in 2020 ( Lions )

Free agents signings are a different discussion then draft pick usage. The production of Barkley and Jacobs during their rookie contracts dosen't really tell the story your claiming. The Chiefs, to name one, seem to have had success "cycling" through. In fact the last time they wasted a first round pick on a running back was ... 2020 R1 pick 32 Clyde Edwards Helaire The next two picks ... R2 33 - Tee Higgins WR R2 34 - Michael Pittman Jr. Imagine one of those two on that team. Your best case, McCaffrey, only had two out of five years that you could even point to. One of course being exceptional. However, that pick cost them the opportunity cost of possibly taking Mahomes, who went two picks later, among others. Also, Who did the Patroits have as running backs?

Barkley, Jacobs and McCaffrey weren't drafted by their current teams. Henry, Cook and Taylor were 2nd round picks. Kamara and Conner were 3rd round picks. Willams and Jones were 5th round picks.

Addressed in the annoying long post above.

While I disagree, there are some who argue that a mid or late first round pick is still acceptable. As far as a high R1 ... absolutely not. "Their difference" is just to infrequent.

Sample size is irrelevant because the question is not if or how good Jeanty is or will be. It's about proper use of limited resources. Imagine you have a limited repair budget and your house needs a new roof, new pluming, new electrical and massive foundation repair. Going full Trump and buying a solid gold refrigerator isn't a wise decision.

No, the correct comparison is what excess value would you get by taking one of those positions ( K-P-LS ) in the first round versus later in the draft. Obviously, it would not be worthy of the first round draft capital. The same can be said of running backs. False, teams routinely overdraft QB's because the payoff, if you hit, it is so dramatic that it quite literally changes the course of the franchise. No, your totally missing the point. I made no argument about who they should have taken. It is however generally accepted that QB, CB, WR, OT, DE are the optimal higher picks due to the upside if you hit. Barkley was #2 the next 10 were #3 Darnold - QB #4 Ward - CB ** #5 Chubb - DE * #6 Nelson - OG ** #7 Allen - QB ** #8 Smith - OLB ** #9 McGlinchey - OT * #10 Rosen - QB #11 Fitzpatrick - S ** #12 Vea - DT ** I think you need to go back and review the production Barkley gave the Giants during his 6 seasons. Factoring in both his multiple years of crap production along with the higher cost in his 5th and 6th season. It comes nowhere close to the value of the draft capital they used on him. 6 of the 10 ( ** ) above would have been flat out better picks. 2 of the 10 ( * ) would have been essentially a wash, although considering they were at positions of higher value they would have been wiser picks given the possible excess value had they worked out. Of course Darnold and Rosen didn't work out. Many however would argue that picking a quarterback at #2 would have been wiser. Essentially viewing the 33% chance you end up with Allen as being worth the risk due to the astronomical value if you hit on QB.

It has nothing to do with whether Jeanty is a bust, replacement level or better. Even in the best case scenario a running back is still so dependent on his O-line that his production, what he himself is solely responsible for, will not justify the use of such a high draft pick. It's the same reason why you shouldn't draft kickers, punters or long snappers in the first round.

Why wait ... One good game this season, ( I wouldn't be surprised if he had a couple this year ) will not change the fact that it was a bad pick. A flat out bad use of draft capital. His O-line sucks and it only highlights how overly dependent running backs are on the front five. It's really not that hard to understand.

Ashton Jeanty 3 games 3.1 YPC

1/17 of the way to 1.1

JFC ... if those rankings end up being even remotely close by the end of the year ...

Jeanty 19 Carries 38 Yards There's no such thing as a first round running back.

Always a beautiful day when ND goes down.

Not worried at all. #Braxton 🤥

Bills have 37 yards passing and 10 rushing. Preseason, no Allen, but still.

1.6 With the sixth pick in the 2025 NFL Draft the Las Vegas Raiders select ... 3 Carries -1 Yard -0.3YPC

Bears picked up a 2026 4th ( Rams ) to drop from 5.10 to 6.19.

Such a relief that they didn't do something so obviously stupid.

Awesome, Raiders being Raiders.

Very smart trade by Cleveland.

My heart stopped for a moment thinking they were about to say Bears as they announced the Jags trade.

Can't believe Poles would be that stupid.