dew1679666265
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Everything posted by dew1679666265
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The Titans and Chris Johnson have reportedly reached a compromise to get him into camp. Fantastic news.
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New song JR is writing? The sequel to Go Cubs Go perhaps?
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His OBP isn't really high, but it's solid at .350 and his IsoD is .056, pretty good for a 20-year-old. A .767 OPS in his first 240 PAs at 20 years old is so much better than I could have ever expected from him. Yeah, I thought at this point he'd be struggling just to be near .700. I agree and I would have been perfectly happy if he was hovering right around the high .600s, low .700s right now. It'll be interesting to see how he closes out the season.
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Why would you not take it seriously. Mono really sucks. It should always be taken seriously.
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His OBP isn't really high, but it's solid at .350 and his IsoD is .056, pretty good for a 20-year-old. A .767 OPS in his first 240 PAs at 20 years old is so much better than I could have ever expected from him.
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Just out of curiosity, if not bad luck, why do you think he has fewer fly balls leaving the park than in the past? Injury or mechanical issue? He's actually hitting a few more flyballs than his career average and his LD% is right in line with his career, so he's not really hitting pitches softer.
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Re: Five best and worst MLB broadcasting teams
dew1679666265 replied to Formerly Snayke's topic in General Baseball Talk
I don't know if he does TV for ESPN either, but he's the Sunday Night Baseball PBP guy on ESPN Radio along with Dave Campbell. He had a great line about Lou constantly getting Marshall warmed up. When Campbell (who is just so god awful and obsessed with the Yankees) was talking about the Cubs bullpen struggling and forcing Lou to go to another reliever, the PBP guy said, "but nothing says it has to be Marshall every time." I didn't listen to the whole broadcast, but that's a pretty good line. -
Re: Five best and worst MLB broadcasting teams
dew1679666265 replied to Formerly Snayke's topic in General Baseball Talk
I don't know if he does TV for ESPN either, but he's the Sunday Night Baseball PBP guy on ESPN Radio along with Dave Campbell. -
Exactly which salaries are you expecting to be "dumped" besides possible Fukudome's? The only other two significant names making significant money that have cropped up in trade talk are Lilly and Lee, and they're gone after this year anywhere. Sure, they could move Byrd, too, but it's hardly like he has a contract that's hindering the team. I still think Silva might be a possibility to move, but that'd be about it as far as moving salaries. I think passing on trading Lilly because we might have an outside shot would be a mistake too, I think.
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Just out of curiosity, if not bad luck, why do you think he has fewer fly balls leaving the park than in the past?
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If his fly balls were going out as often as they have throughout his career, he'd have 10 home runs right now (roughly) and would be on pace for around 20 homers. As long as he continues to improve, I could see 25-30 homers a year.
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For what it's worth, Markakis' HR/FB ratio is at a career low 5.7%. His career average is 10.2%. With his LD% and BABIP hovering around normal (BABIP's a tad high), I think some of the power outage this year is due to some bad luck. Markakis definitely dropped off a bit last year, but his peripherals show he's bouncing back again this year. I think buying on him now would be a good idea.
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That's the only benefit Beltre has over Cantu, though. It's a pretty big one, but I'm not comfortable with the idea of paying a 32 year old Beltre $10+ million over multiple years.
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Cantu will be cheaper, younger and actually has a better career OPS. I'd rather have Cantu myself.
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Red Sox have $100 million in 15 players for 2011 according to Cot's.
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But I don't really see taking off half of his 2010 salary and half of his 2011 salary really matters. I doubt any team would think of his contract as a hindrance, so lessening it doesn't really matter. It depends on the team. If the Yankees have interest in him, then no, that $5 million difference and one less year doesn't mean anything. However, if the Twins have an interest in him or the Marlins (next year), then that could be pretty significant.
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My concern is that it wouldn't take a cliff dive for his value to fall a lot. A $3m CF with a 118 OPS+ is great. He's got a career 101 OPS+, and was 106 last year. He could revert quite easily, still be okay, but have significantly lower trade value. Take 20 points off his OBP and 50 off his SLG and you are at his career average. Even if you aren't worried about him pulling a Ramirez next year (which you really shouldn't be), his trade value could still suffer quite a bit. By next trade deadline, however, he'll have almost $4.5 million off his contract and one less season. The acquiring team would only be on the hook for a little over $8 million over a year and a half instead of around $13 million over 2 and a half years. That would help offset any decline he might suffer in the next year. And too, keep in mind I'm not saying keep him no matter what. I'm just saying if we don't get a deal that can be considered "selling high" for him, then we should keep him. If somebody wants to pay for his peak value, let him go.
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I may have worded that poorly. The only way I trade Byrd at the deadline is if the offer is more than his normal value would be. Basically, I'm either selling high or not at all. His value likely won't be higher a year from now, but he's been very healthy most of his career, doesn't have any nagging injuries now that I know of and has become a fairly patient hitter with a solid to good OBP. While it's conceivable he could, he's not likely to fall off a cliff in the next year and should remain productive.
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He's got the 6th highest OPS among ML CFs this year, 8th highest in 2009 and 9th best in 2008. He's been pretty well above average for a center fielder for three years now. For most of his career he hasn't walked enough, but his OBP was .380 in 2008 and is .368 so far this year. He's getting better there. He is 33 and isn't likely to improve – and may decline within a year or two – but I'd want a pretty solid offer for him this year. You can do better in center, but it's very hard to at the price he is ($5.5 in 2011 and $6.5 in 2012). I'm not advocating keeping him no matter what. I'm just saying don't trade him because he might decline – that's akin to selling low. Instead, float his name around and see if some team will overpay fairly significantly for him. If so, make the deal. If not, his value is likely to still be high next year.
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With Wood there was a significant chance he wouldn't pitch at all in a season. With DLee there's a chance, but it's nowhere near the level it was for Wood. The injuries and the price tag on Wood make the two not very comparable. I think there's a very good chance DLee won't pitch at all in a season. :) He's nearly hitting like a pitcher at this point, so maybe we should give him a try. :wink:
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He'd have to rebound pretty significantly to do it. Cot's has him projected as a Type B with a score of 68. The lowest Type A 1B/OF on the list is Hunter Pence with a score of 72.56... I have no idea how much it would take for DLee to move from a 68 to a 72...
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He turns 33 soon, and will be 35 before his contract is up. I wouldn't be upset if they traded him, and I hope they do it before 2012. I'd want a really good return this year for him since he's really cheap again next year, but I'd try hard to trade him at next year's deadline.
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You can't say it's clear cut they won't offer, but the fact that they have not offered risky players in the past indicates they may not be willing to offer Lee. They may not be willing, but using Wood as an example of why they wouldn't isn't very useful. He and Harden were both significant injury risks and that likely played huge roles in not offering arbitration. DLee is not that big of an injury risk (other than he's in his mid-30s).
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It's a risk, sure. But for a team not likely to be competitive next year, it's worth taking the risk to try to get better prospects.
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With Wood there was a significant chance he wouldn't pitch at all in a season. With DLee there's a chance, but it's nowhere near the level it was for Wood. The injuries and the price tag on Wood make the two not very comparable. They are not very comparable, other than in the discussion about the Cubs willingness to risk arbitration with a player who might take it. Like I said, the injuries and, thus, the price tag on Wood ($10 million for a closer is a whole lot more than $10 million for a first baseman) likely kept them from offering arbitration. And I really think Hendry would have interest in bringing DLee back, so he might offer arbitration with the idea that he'd be perfectly willing to bring him back.