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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    It's not just that QB has not been the primary means of winning games, it's that it's been relatively insignificant in the whole process. They're close to the bottom of the league in moving the ball through the air and right in the middle of the pack scoring through the air. What they've done is overpay by a few million to lock up a limit to the offense. If either the defense or Charles regresses at all this year or next (both very possible), they can't turn to the QB to do more because there's a limit to Smith's ability. It's true that they've got stability, but that goes both ways - he's not likely to implode, but he can't do any more than be a support player. That's fine if all goes well, but it's not something I'm going to overpay for.
  2. dew1679666265
    Having one of the best RBs in the league and an insanely good defense meant a ton more than Smith. Especially since KC's passing offense ranked 24th in the league last year and their rushing offense was 10th (both based on yards). Based on TDs, their passing offense was 15th and their rushing offense was 5th.
  3. dew1679666265
    He was 16th in DYAR and 14th in DVOA with San Francisco in 2011, so they thought he was better but still no better than averagish then. Basically, the only real positive I'm seeing for him is that he doesn't screw up and that just doesn't cut it consistently in this offense-driven league today. It was a bad trade to bring him in and then they compounded that with overpaying him. It probably would have been better to just admit the original mistake, trust your scouts and take the best QB available this past year.
  4. dew1679666265
    For reference, Smith is ranked 20th in DYAR and 21st in DVOA by Football Outsiders. The only current starting QBs behind him: Cassel, Locker (ouch), Tannehill, Hoyer, RG3 (kinda surprising), Henne, Manuel, Flacco, Eli, Geno. Three of those QBs will no longer be starters this time next year I'd project (Locker for Mettenberger, Cassel for Bridgewater and Henne for Bortles) and 3 are very young with room for improvement (RG3, Manuel, Geno).
  5. dew1679666265
    You can win now with a rookie if need be, or they should have gone for a QB early last year (Garroppolo would have been a very good pick, for instance) and had a year to develop him. It may be a move they had to make because they've not addressed QB seriously, but it's not a good move.
  6. dew1679666265
    I have no problem resigning him, but guaranteeing him $45 million over 4 years is too much. They've had 2 years to find a contingency plan for him and (so far) failed, thus necessitating something like this that's probably going to bite them once Charles tails off and they have to put everything on Smith or make him a very expensive backup.
  7. dew1679666265
    Tim Tebow had 366 and 3 TDs. You can't evaluate a QB off postseason success because it's so limited. That's why the Ravens are having to deal with paying Joe Flacco way too much money to be mediocre.
  8. dew1679666265
    That was a very good game against a poor defense and in 46 attempts, but it was still just one game. He's also had playoff games where he's missed 60% completion and even 50% completion. He's a game manager who won't do anything particularly well except avoid mistakes (since 2011, prior to that he was a mistake machine). The problem is, you don't have to pay a guy $10+ per year to achieve that. Any way you slice it pretty much, he's now being paid like a top 10 QB and, like you said, he's nothing more than an above average starter and that's with an elite running game (gotta question how long Charles will keep this up). It's not some terrible, crippling contract, but there are better ways to spend that money than to lock up a QB who's really nothing special.
  9. dew1679666265
    The Chiefs paid Alex Smith more than $10 million per year to do what any number of cheaper QBs out there could do. Seems smart. Guaranteed amount: 4 years/$45 mil
  10. dew1679666265
    i saw your guys' schedule for the first time the other day. woof. Yeah, a young team changing out it's entire offensive and defensive lines with that schedule added on is absolutely brutal.
  11. dew1679666265
    Picked it back up in the second half and got a nice 38-7 win over a decent Utah State team. Arkansas State will be tougher next week and then we get to taking a thumping at Oklahoma. That and Georgia back to back will be a lot of fun. . . .
  12. dew1679666265
    Tennessee started off really well, but since the early emotion died down, so has the offense's ability to move the ball.
  13. dew1679666265
    I see what you're saying and you make a good point.
  14. dew1679666265
    It's how those games played out to me. South Carolina getting stomped by a (thought to be) very down A&M team, Alabama struggling against a WVU team coming off a 4-8 season and Auburn struggling against an Arkansas team that was 3-9 last season. Could those latter two teams be better than they were last year and A&M not be down like people expect? Sure. But first impressions are that this wasn't a good weekend for the SEC - especially since they very well may have lost a title contender in South Carolina.
  15. dew1679666265
    Yeah, that's going to be critical.
  16. dew1679666265
    People who hate the SEC do that every year whether it's accurate or not, but I think it's likely accurate this year. Unless it was just massive kinks that South Carolina and LSU need to work out. And it could be that the SEC isn't that great for the first half of the year and then blows up in the second half. There's a massive amount of fantastic young talent in the SEC this year.
  17. dew1679666265
    Yeah, UK looked really good . . . but it was UT-Martin. Tennessee looked great against Austin-Peay last year and ended up 5-7, so no analysis can come from games like that.
  18. dew1679666265
    Yeah, I knew the east would be down, but still thought South Carolina would be a national contender. Things could easily change, but they didn't look like one Thursday night. What really surprised me was Bama looking kinda pedestrian and LSU not looking good at all. And just one slight nitpick with your post, Tennessee has some great, young skill position players, but we're not going to be better than last year.
  19. dew1679666265
    Outside of Georgia, this hasn't been a good weekend for the SEC. LSU is losing, South Carolina looked dreadful and Vandy got squashed. I guess Alabama looked ok, but they had trouble with WVU. Auburn took a while to pull away from Arkansas too.
  20. dew1679666265
    Fournette He's going to have to prove it first. I can't put a true freshman on that pedestal before he's played a full game.
  21. dew1679666265
    Man, Clemson starting to really look bad now. Spurrier better fix his D or Georgia's 4 RBs are going to score 70 on them.
  22. dew1679666265
    No. He's the best college RB since AD. (I'm definitely not as impressed with Clemson's defense as you are, but it doesn't matter.) Didn't mean to imply that Clemson's defense is particularly good, just that this isn't some bunch of scrubs. They've recruited some athletes under Dabo.
  23. dew1679666265
    Clemson has some good athletes and Gurley is just blowing by them. Is there a RB close to as good as him in college?
  24. dew1679666265
    But Vandy could win the B1G every year. I've never heard that. There have been assorted years recently, though, where it's possible they could have contended. Not this year, though. Mason didn't look impressive at all last night and the talent is way down from the past couple of years.
  25. dew1679666265
    Man did Vandy look bad. I enjoyed it.
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