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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. UK1679666180
    I'd be for it too, this team needs a #5 hitter badly. Of course, getting rid of Walker would open up a spot for the 2nd hitter. But, right now the Cubs have a much better option for the 2nd hitter in Murton than they do currently for the 5th hitter (Jones).
  2. UK1679666180
    I wonder how much having 2/5ths of the rotations as FAs next year impacts a potential signing. Maddux definitely won't be back and they'll need to see something from Wood, that they haven't seen since '03.
  3. UK1679666180
    (If healthy) I'd rather see him given a chance over Rusch, but if it came down to him or Williams, he better be pretty damn healthy to take a spot over Williams.
  4. UK1679666180
    I wasn't trying to be funny, a body can't handle massive amounts of weight loss in a short period of time. To do that, either you're starving yourself or you're using a weight-loss substance. Steve Bechler is a tragic example of this.
  5. UK1679666180
    I have my doubts of someone who has been getting DUIs for the last 9 years as far as well battling weight problems his entire career that quickly. His body just doesn't has the ability to produce with those restrictions of having no work ethic as well as being baseball dumb. Losing 15-20 pounds isn't likely to do much. If he loses any more than that this off-season, he's probably on something that he shouldn't be, especially coming from the O's.
  6. UK1679666180
    Based on expected production, he's #5 in the rotation. I expect Z, Prior, Wood, and Williams to do better than him. When he was brought here, they had Clement as the #4 starter. To spend that amount of money on who'll likely provide the 5th highest production out of 5 starters, while being paid as much as he is, is dumb. If he had not pitched for the Cubs early in his career and left in the manner that he did (I blame Himes) leaving Cubs fans angry, sad, and disappointed, I doubt we would've seen him back. Great reunion tour bringing back old memories and wondering what could've been, just spent too much for the tickets.
  7. UK1679666180
    Good enough to complete for 1st in every other division but the AL East. Best 3rd place team in MLB.
  8. UK1679666180
    It's only a million dollars is a horrible justification for the signing. Macias made less than 1 mil. last year, can I justify Hendry making the dumb as "oh well, it's only 1mil". There can't be anything like a weight clause, but they do have conduct clauses as Neagle had. Hell, this money could be allocated towards Byrnes or someone useful.
  9. UK1679666180
    Well, they're not separate from other. Some are better equiped to handle extra weight (Wells) and some are not (Quevado/Ponson). Wells would have a better pitcher throughout his career if he was overweight, but he has the talent to overcome it. The same can't be said for Ponson. He's sucked the last few years for no apparent reason than not wanting to work. You know when his first DUI was? 1996'. His recent DUI problems aren't just some recnt event about a player gone astray. He's battled weight problems, drinking too much, no work ethic, and a poor mental approach his entire career. His arm was able to overcome it, but as he gets older that luxury disappears. The concept of trying to spin it into a recent problem is amusing. It wasn't fine what they did to Haren, he should've been starting the entire season, STL would've rec'd more value out of Haren if they had started him the entire season.
  10. UK1679666180
    Good for him, he shows a plus curve and the ability to locate a 90 MPH FB at his own will, something that escaped Ponson. The ability to pitch while obese is separate than being fat and not being able to pitch, see Ponson. Zambrano has too much weight for my liking, but he still performs at a very high level. He was also hurt in '04 and had one good year in AZ. If you expect him to perform at league avg. for a 2B, I fail to see how that is high reward. That's league avg. for a 2B. Sorry, I watched a player eat and drink himself to crap and all of a sudden he's a changed man? Sorry, I'll believe when I see it. Call me ignorant, that all the reports surrounding him besides friends and family is that he is obese and has no work ethic. How are they going to find out? ST isn't enough time to get an accurate gauge on Reyes and definitely Ponson, who needs a major overhaul. Few teams makes trade right before the season starts for obvious reasons.
  11. UK1679666180
    He's about the size of several mobile home communities and has a limited work ethic, the odds of him coming close to his best numbers are slim. The odds of a player returning to form in his case are slim, you get a dumb and lazy player who has lost his edge, it is doubtful for him to regain it. Spivey hasn't been good in a couple of years, cost isn't the only area that lack of production is factored, it also factors into expectations. I expect both to be well below avg. and if each are starting, they will be blocking players that are better than them (Reyes and Luna).
  12. UK1679666180
    http://forums.espn.go.com/espn/thread?forumID=104&threadID=2902547&lastPostID=17530211
  13. UK1679666180
    So why can I question Hendry about the Jones signing, but you won't question Jocketty about the Encarnacion signing? What signing in MLB doesn't have reasonable upside? A team can trade for Patterson and mention reasonable upside. Pierre, Jones, Eyre, and Howry have reasonable upsides, doesn't equate to being a successful off-season. Personally, I think the chances of the Cards capitalizing on the moves are slim. High reward from them would be producing at league avg based on their ability. That's not a high reward, IMO.
  14. UK1679666180
    I don't think that Carpenter will match his 2005. In fact, I know he won't. 2004 is reasonable, though. I already stated what I thought Lee did. In case you didn't read it the first time (which I don't think you did), I predicted he'd be well above-average. I read it. Like I said, I think the amount of regression from both will be about the same. Honestly, I think Carpenter will regress more. His Opp. OPS was .622 last year, if you set the avg. OPS at .750, his OPS was 17% better than the avg. OPS. If you were to say he was only 15% better, it would put his OPS at .638. Lee's OPS was at 1.060 as his OPS was 30% than the avg. OPS, cut that improvement down to 15% and his OPS is down to .883. Personally, I think it more likely that Carpenter reaches that 15% while Lee will likely have it higher than the 15%.
  15. UK1679666180
    If you want to make a fictional bet with Encarnacion or Sanders, as to who'll have the higher VORP or WS, I'm all ears. There's no way that Sanders will decline b/c of age or injury down to the level of Encarnacion. His signings have sucked this off-season, any performace above expectation, is just that performance above expectation. They don't have some magic crystal ball over there, any move that nets getting some player that exceeds expectations is simply luck and/or solid coaching or an improvement in work ethic. The Cubs got Dempster on the cheap, Borowski, Barrett, Rusch etc. am I supposed to not question Hendry? They were all acq'd at a cost well below the production the brought.
  16. UK1679666180
    A prediction of regression is nothing special. Especially, when it dwarfed any season he had ever had before. Some are probably questioning your intentions on making that post, personally, I don't care either way.
  17. UK1679666180
    http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2005/12/pass_the_trash_1.php
  18. UK1679666180
    Having Jones as your #5 hitter, shows that this team needs another middle of the order hitter.
  19. UK1679666180
    What is your grade for Moose this year? Personally, I'd give him a "C", which isn't good enough for what he was brought in to do. I could put the blame on Orton and Turner, but he has done his fair share to contribute to that low rating.
  20. UK1679666180
    Exactly, there's a fundamental base to pitching that runs parallel throughout the various teaching techniques.
  21. UK1679666180
    The only one I voted yes on was Blyleven.
  22. UK1679666180
    His father did.
  23. UK1679666180
    Tom House is very well respected by almost everyone in MLB, while Marshall's methods are way more extreme than House or anyone currently involved in MLB, his experience and work would be looked at more seriously. Mike Marshall has advocated teaching 13 yo. his version of a screwball by taking the end of a FB and throwing it using various pressure points of the index finger, middle finger, and thumb. Now, he's way more advanced than me in any of aspect of understanding pitching, but I would not advise a 13yo. to throw a screwball (or even a curve). I think a better monitoring of pitcher's fatigue as well as improvements in bio-mechanics as well as "prehab" is the future of trying to reduce pitcher injuries.
  24. UK1679666180
    Troll.... :P
  25. UK1679666180
    Will Carroll is a writer for Baseball Prospectus so he's definitely towards that realm as well as writing "Saving the Pitcher". He's done a great job as far as researching various aspects within MLB w/BP as well as his blog. I've spoken to him on several occasions and he's good at what he does with regrads to research and presentation. If Marshall has the same presentation skills as Carroll, he would be taken more seriously.
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