They have a declining Matsui, Damon, Pettitte, & Rivera, you mentioned FAs leaving although losing Mussina will be a positive. Then, there will be that point when Jeter and Rodriguez start to decline, Jeter will be 35 at the start of '09. While they'll still be good, any regression combined with those losses is going to lead to a drop in runs. How much better are Cano and Cabrera going to be? Shelley Duncan is a below avg. 1B/DH type of guy. FA just isn't as strong of an option as it used to be to retool a team. While '09 is still a long ways away and NY definitely has the advantage to get better quicker thru spending money and more willing to add pieces thru top prospects, at this point, they will likely score a similar amount of runs in '09, TB's rotation will likely be better, IMO, and both pens will be below avg.