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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. To be fair the Cubs and Mike Soroka, he had an MRI just before the TDL. -The Athletic So while the Cubs may not have had a second MRI after this one, I guarantee they saw the data and had it made available to them. It seems like there was nothing popping on medical scans.
  2. They did get pinch hits in, but that was never the optimal lineup. The team lost their best defensive 3b, got stuck with Castro (who is an alright hitter against RHP but far excells against LHP) and then tanked their bench the rest of the way which nuked any flexibility the Cubs had. Im sure Counsell would have used those players regardless but I doubt the plan was to entirely reshuffle their lineup come the fifth inning. The Cubs were forced into a sub optimal lineup. Was it *the* factor? No! Was it *a* factor, one of many that lead to the loss? Pretty unquestionably. When we diagnose a loss, many times there is not a critical failure point but many small leaks and cracks. Last night had many small paper cuts that lead to a frustrating 3-2.
  3. So, first, there is no reason to compare Lodolo with Skubal. Lodolo is a good pitcher, Skubal is the *best* pitcher. It doesn’t help your point, it does the opposite. Secondly, I have about four other posts here in which I said that while there was certainly bad luck and things that went against their way, thay you cannot expect to win scoring twice. I think it's very clear I understand they also struggled in their own right. What I was doing was pointing out a reality that the Cubs lineup was not maximized to face RHP but a lefty and that also is a factor. People here become so emotional and ride the second by second roller coaster that they miss details and context. People completely ignore lots when it comes to splits and agency from the pitcher. Had the Cubs known theyd have faced a RHP for seven innings their lineup would have looked very different. Yes, that matters. I never said it was an excuse, I pointed out a reality. Do you think they would have rolled out this lineup had they known they would face a RHP in seven innings tonight? Bummer they lost. There are like 50 more to go. There is no reason to ignore context because they had a frustrating outcome tonight. Guess what? Probably a few more of those to come regardless of how well the next 50 go. It's baseball.
  4. Well, can't use his flyball tendances against him if you strike out. Ugh.
  5. The Cubs won't get a spark from a guy striking out every PA. I cannot stress enough, I like Owen Caissie he is not ready to help a scuffling offense capture a division right now.
  6. Pagan is an extreme flyball pitcher. Suzuki, Kelly and Castro due up. Wind isn't blowing so bad it's impossible to get them out today.
  7. In a way, the Reds got a bit of a break with Lodolo going down with a blister. Don't get me wrong, great pitcher, but the Cubs lineup was geared to hit against a LHP not a barrage of RHP. It's just one of those nights where all of the little things have worked against the Cubs.
  8. No one is saying to hide him in the minors forever. But do you think two weeks when the Cubs offense is scuffling is that time to introduce a strikeout machine to the lineup? To answer my own question; now is not the time for it.
  9. Yes it would. Owen Caissie is likely going to have a really hard introduction to MLB pitching. I say this as a big fan of Owen Caissie, but I would expect a strikeout rate above 35% for the initial few hundred PAs. Think like...the same type of overall offense value as Matt Shaw during his struggles, but also adding no baserunning or defense. I would be very prepared for him to be a subreplacement level player for about half a season or so. I think he will settle in eventually. But these last two months are no where near enough time for him to settle. Ballesteros has much better hit tools and those translate much quicker.
  10. Yeah I noticed that too. My first thought was that he got beat by the ball. Little did I know it wasn't so simple...
  11. Strange that Kittredge and Rogers both immediately faced their former teams.
  12. Cubs cannot count on scoring two runs to a baseball game. That said, that inning was bad luck beat after bad luck beat. Braiser struck out Hayes on three pitches, a swinging bunt with a 38.6,mph ev set up Friedl who hit a well placed pitch. Offense needs to pick 'em up. Everyone will get at least one more shot at it.
  13. Yep. He had four strikes in the zone (CB called #1 a ball) and then Hayes swung and hit #6 at 38.6mph. Mind you, he watched #2 and #3, which were both worse pitches than #1. There is no justification for #1 to be a ball. #3 was lower than that pitch and it's in the middle, so it couldn't have missed anywhere but "down".
  14. Get the horsefeathers out of here with these swinging bunts. Jeeze. Braiser did everything right in that PA and Hayes did everything wrong.
  15. "Add ons" barely move the needle in better and bigger deals. These two prospects did not have much juice. We gotta stop pretending that other organizations are dying to get our 19 year old with a 91 wRC+ in the lowest level of professional baseball he could be in Stateside and be with an MLB organization.
  16. 100% this. Two things can be true: what we gave up for Soroka was totally fine and the Cubs still didn't do enough. I would even take Soroka as the starter had the team went big on the pen! I thought it would be a bad deadline if the Cubs didn't trade for any player who required one of their six best prospects go back, and the Cubs top-10 is essentially untouched (depending on where you had Franklin).
  17. We gave up two prospects. Neither were particularly "good". One is a backup OF'er at the MLB level and the other is 19 and is a developmental prospects who is about to turn 19 and has a 91 wRC+ in the ACL. Franklin will have a good shot at a career and could be a nice guy to have on a roster, but shouldn't be hard to replace. And Cruz is a lottery ticket. I liked following Cruz, but he's probably going to flame out.
  18. The Cubs and the Marlins both didn't like the medicals on the Miami trade, so the Cubs do look at these things. Matt Trueblood wrote an article explaining how the velocity drop had a mechanical and a pitch shape change to go with it as well as using the fastball differently. That suggests intention. One thing I mentioned a few times; he raised his arm slot and raising an arm slot brings more load into the shoulder area. Mike Soroka has shoulder discomfort. We can believe a few things here. It's possible that the Cubs, the day before the trade deadline, basically ignored all of the velocity drop, didn't perform a decent physical and bought a pitcher who was clearly hurt. I'll be honest with you and say that I don't buy that. He may have gambled a little on the medicals, but I think with as much time as he had left on Thursday, feel like he probably felt good enough with everything. I know that the velo drop seems like it has to be tied to this, but I'm not as sure as others. Jed didn't just ignore it. I think it's very, very, very likely that if you and I can pull this up on a Savant page, Jed probably can too. We'll see what comes of this. We may never know exactly what happened and when. But Hoyer isn't so incompetent to have entirely ignored this.
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