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Jason Ross
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Everything posted by Jason Ross
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Matt Shaw is gong to get the game winning hit, and I'm going to look real smart for my praise. Or he'll strikeout and I'll look real dumb.
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More fun with Austin Hedges. Over his last 500 PA's he has a 39 wRC+. This is dating back to 2019. Somehow, he's so good defensively, that he's still been worth 3.5 fWAR over that span. I have a new favorite Fangraphs page.
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Somehow, Austin Hedges and his 31 wRC+ this year is an improvement on his 20 wRC+ last year. Fun fact of the night.
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It's a weird baseball game when Matt Shaw (x2) and Nico Hoerner have three of the four longest hit baseballs in a game.
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Pete never touched 1st.
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Pete Crow-Allstar. Great play. Edit: He missed first, Bummer.
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Dude. That wasn't even borderline. Stop whining, Nolan.
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In his defense, he's been very unlucky. He's running a wOBA .23 points below his xwOBA and a BABIP that would be the lowest of his career despite having strong batted ball data. He's been better than a .233 batting average suggests.
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Yeah, it's been a fun chess match today.
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We should talk more about Ryan Braiser and how good he's been.
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To be fair to the Cubs, they have the 20th best hitter against LHP in baseball as well as Suzuki. It's just that it's a lefty, in Kyle Tucker.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-3-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I love hearing that. You are the king, CR. Thanks for confirming. I assumed that's what it was (he really looked tired his last go, I think that's what lead to the walks). A good break in the heat of summer is good for everyone. -
Shaws EV's tonight: 90,94, 102 (last one had an xBA of .750)
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Goddamnit, Shaw cannot buy a hit right now!
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Beautiful start for Cade. I'd assume he's done after that (you can usually tell he's done when the fastball drops to the 94mph range). But great game. The changeup is becoming a legitimate plus pitch before our eyes. That's how you become a rotational anchor.
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It's been coming along. He was really strong with it against Washington as well. Not the first time we've seen it good, but with how left-handed this lineup is, we have never seen him rely on it this much. This is big big development from him. Fastball-slider struggled against opposite side (i.e. see Wesneski and Alzolay). Changeup plays so strong against LHH as a righty.
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Okay, Reese. Do your thing.
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With Shaw's progress on process, I'm actually not sure they will. Shaw's within reach of league wRC+ for 3b. And defensively he's been good. There's ceiling there, even in 2025. I think they'll sell out for a controlled SP and go with a Urias or Castro at 3b as a backup type who hits LHP for Busch.
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100%. I like Counsell, but I think he msiread this. Cantillo has been used exclusively as a RP in the majors but has started plenty in the MiLB. This lineup screams "opener" with PCA in the 4 spot and Busch hitting 6th (what you'd see against a RHP not a LHP). They got caught out, though, as Cantillo went 4 and then they went lefty behind him.
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My guess is they were literally trying to "steal" a base. Moreso than a "stolen base" applies. Rocchio is a groundball merchant, hitting them nearly 50% of the time. Cade Horton gets 47% ground balls so far. So you have groundball merchant+groundball merchant, but a SP who has a tendency to sometimes spike a slider. So you hope in a 1-2 count (after he went high-fastball) that he goes back to the slider and you can stay out of a double play.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-3-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
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Even funnier considering how the PA started. "I'd love to ask Cade if he thinks Naylor was going to go there" says Boog. Cubs seemed to have known.
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What a tag by Dansby.
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Cade, give me the four-seam on the hands and low right here. He gets that, he gets the double play.
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Yep. xBA of .270 and .220. Bad luck. Maybe you get one of those, but both getting through is annoying.
