Jason Ross
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Everything posted by Jason Ross
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Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
This should be about it for Brown. You can tell that he just doesn't have the control today and he's just been "putting it in there" the last inning or so. -
Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Yes. They called it a balk, the pitcher then aborted the pitch and that's what caused the wild pitch. But the balk is a dead ball. -
Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Umpire called it no catch. Arraez was thus out at second on the force. This, however, was a clear cut catch (not even a trap). End result was the same but it was such a bad call, too. -
Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Man, that's a blatantly bad call that also ended up, basically, neutral. Baseball is weird. -
Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Kelly crushed LHP last year. My guess it's a playing matches thing. Texas has a LHP going Tuesday as well so Kelly starts today and Tuesday against a lefty and then Amaya goes Monday/Wed. -
Padres (Hart) vs Cubs (Brown): 4/6/25, 1:20pm
Jason Ross replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Chased him in the first. He clearly didn't have it, but have to give some credit to the offense - they gave him zero help and created just enough havoc on their own. -
2025 MLB Draft Thread
Jason Ross replied to Outshined_One's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Oh damn. Well now I can't tell if by liking Aloy at #`17 I'm either pulling a "well yeah I'd love it if Ethan Holliday fell to the Cubs" kind of unrealistic thing or I'm getting in on the ground floor of a darling haha -
Matt Shaw's Stance Is Weird - But There's a Method Behind the Madness
Jason Ross posted an article in Cubs
Matt Shaw looks weird;. I said what I said, don't act like you weren't thinking it, too. That's not a personal attack against the Cubs rookie, either. I'm not making fun of his physical looks or anything else. It's just that when he hits, he looks weird. He has an incredibly odd setup where his front foot toes in. Frankly, that looks painful, but who am I to judge? But it doesn't end there, as once he initiates his swing, he uses a fairly large, sweeping leg kick to help generate torque and power. There isn't another hitter in the league who looks like that right now. But here's the rub... weird doesn't always mean bad. To highlight how bold his setup is, we only need to turn to Statcast's new ability to track where a player stands in relation to the batters' box. Using this, we can see how far or close to home plate a hitter stands, how open or closed his stance is, and how deep in the box he stands. We can also track where the point of contact is. When it comes to Shaw, Statcast agrees with your eye test - the third baseman is a bit of an oddball. Below is a chart of all MLB hitters in 2025, sorted by distance off of the plate. Shaw is among the leaders in this category. A few other names on this list may jump out to you; the leader in the clubhouse is former Cub farmhand Cam Smith, as well as names such as Elly De La Cruz, Lawrence Butler, Max Kepler, Willson Contreras, and most notably, superstar Aaron Judge. In and of itself, standing close or further from the plate may not necessarily matter. What makes Shaw unique on this list is that he's much shorter than the others I have listed. Judge is listed at 6'7", Elly is 6'5", and even Contreras is 6'1". Comparatively, Matt Shaw is generously listed at 5'10". One of these things is not like the other. One way that Shaw makes up for this is his stance. Remember how weird Shaw looks at the plate? With the awkward toe-in? The far end of that chart shows how open or closed off a hitter stands. The names listed above all clock in as "open" stances... Shaw is not. In terms of stance angle, Shaw has the 11th most closed-off stance in Major League Baseball. We also see another interesting relationship: hitters with closed stances generally hit further from the plate. This feels like it makes sense in theory. As a hitter angles his body towards the plate, they may become more susceptible to being jammed on inside pitches. To compensate, hitters seemingly stand further from the plate. This allows them to go from a closed stance to a more neutral one, allowing them to get inside the pitch better. Statcast has a visualization tool allows one to see the start position (in black) and the finishing position (in red). Below, you can see how Shaw uses his closed stance to open up a little more. Rememberthis, as I'll come back to it in a bit. While these pieces of information are interesting, attempting to figure out what it means for Matt Shaw is important. The first concern I think you could have is, "Can Matt Shaw, especially with his height disadvantage, get to the outside pitch?" We are currently in "small sample size extreme" territory, but as of Friday morning, it seems the answer is "mostly yes." Below are a few heat maps to visualize how Matt Shaw has been pitched early in the season (left), where Matt Shaw is swinging (center), and what his average is on pitches hit in those zones (right). Pitchers are attacking Matt Shaw up and in as well as low and away. Shaw is swinging, more so at the up-and-in pitch, but when he has to, at the low-and-away. He's also using the away pitch to his advantage when he does swing there - though a further look shows that Shaw knows this is not a favorable zone for damage. He can hit it when he must, but it's not a pitch he wants to swing at. On the left is Shaw's overall swing%, while on the right is his swing% when he is behind in the count. It's a swing choice out of necessity, not of pure want, but one he's still capable of using if he must. It reflects the beginning of a mature approach at the plate. Shaw is who he is. He will swing, but he's at least capable of knowing that when he's ahead in the count, he understands his pitch. It should be noted, however, that while the average on low and outside is good, he hasn't been making a ton of contact in that region. Again, it's not one that is likely to be a strong suit for him, but he's at least shown glimpses of competitiveness there. It's something to put in our back pocket as a potential issue or place for polish down the road. One thing that has been levied against Matt Shaw so far is that his exit velocities have been unimpressive - and I don't disagree. But it's likely because Shaw has a weird ability to take the outside pitch and hook it into left field. The Cubs rookie has yet to log a hit that would be classified "going the other way" despite the above swing decision chart showing he can make contact with that outside pitch. On Wednesday alone, he notched two hits, one to left field and another to center, with 82 mph and 74 mph exit velocities. However, the xBA on both were .880 and .940, respectively. It's yet to be seen if he can continue doing that, but being pitched away is probably why the EVs have remained low. I don't think we're at a place yet where we can say exactly what this all means, but I feel comfortable saying that Matt Shaw has a somewhat defined plan with his stand-and-swing decisions. He clearly would like to hit the ball on the inside portion of the plate (and using how he opens his body and front side up, it makes sense), and specifically, higher in the zone, likely to use his leg kick and momentum to generate extra power in a frame that does not help with leverage. He uses his 17-degree launch angle to help with this as well. He's shown, thus far, that while he's capable of guarding the outside of the zone, this isn't his zone. This is all probably fine - we know power comes from a player's pull side and that going the other way can be a helpful tool; it should not be your zone of power, either. It will be interesting to see how pitchers use the information and data presented here. So far, pitchers have not been afraid to throw him in the high middle of the plate but have also identified that low-and-away isn't where they should probably worry about damage being done. That's not a uniquely Matt Shaw thing, either, as it's just not a good place to generate power. If pitchers begin to avoid the high-middle and go more and more on the outside, how Shaw handles that new plan of attack will be something to monitor. But again, this is not an issue that should be considered unique to Shaw. Instead, it's the push and pull of a young player. As the rookie gets a foothold in the league, there will be a consistent back and forth of the league learning about Shaw and Shaw learning how to adjust to a new attack pattern. If there's a positive to remember, it's that Shaw showed an ability to hit home runs to the opposite field in Triple-A, though those pitches were more middle-high and not low-and-away. So, yeah, Matt Shaw is weird. He's among the furthest away from the plate, using one of the most closed stances in the league and having some of the shortest distance between his front and back foot. But so far, his weirdness doesn't seem to be an overall detriment. As such, while he looks weird, Shaw seems to have an internal understanding of his skills and how to use them, as evidenced by his swing decisions. That's usually a good sign for a hitter when we can visualize a plan of attack like this, which ultimately fills me with more hope than anything. It doesn't mean tweaks or changes may still not be on the table, but this initial setup doesn't appear to be a complete non-starter for MLB success. What do you think of Matt Shaw's stance and performance thus far? Is this sustainable? Let us know in the comment section below! -
Matt Shaw is a bit of a unicorn when it comes to his pre-swing setup. But is this set up to his detriment, or is there something under the surface that suggests there's a bit of a method to the madness? Image courtesy of © Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images Matt Shaw looks weird;. I said what I said, don't act like you weren't thinking it, too. That's not a personal attack against the Cubs rookie, either. I'm not making fun of his physical looks or anything else. It's just that when he hits, he looks weird. He has an incredibly odd setup where his front foot toes in. Frankly, that looks painful, but who am I to judge? But it doesn't end there, as once he initiates his swing, he uses a fairly large, sweeping leg kick to help generate torque and power. There isn't another hitter in the league who looks like that right now. But here's the rub... weird doesn't always mean bad. To highlight how bold his setup is, we only need to turn to Statcast's new ability to track where a player stands in relation to the batters' box. Using this, we can see how far or close to home plate a hitter stands, how open or closed his stance is, and how deep in the box he stands. We can also track where the point of contact is. When it comes to Shaw, Statcast agrees with your eye test - the third baseman is a bit of an oddball. Below is a chart of all MLB hitters in 2025, sorted by distance off of the plate. Shaw is among the leaders in this category. A few other names on this list may jump out to you; the leader in the clubhouse is former Cub farmhand Cam Smith, as well as names such as Elly De La Cruz, Lawrence Butler, Max Kepler, Willson Contreras, and most notably, superstar Aaron Judge. In and of itself, standing close or further from the plate may not necessarily matter. What makes Shaw unique on this list is that he's much shorter than the others I have listed. Judge is listed at 6'7", Elly is 6'5", and even Contreras is 6'1". Comparatively, Matt Shaw is generously listed at 5'10". One of these things is not like the other. One way that Shaw makes up for this is his stance. Remember how weird Shaw looks at the plate? With the awkward toe-in? The far end of that chart shows how open or closed off a hitter stands. The names listed above all clock in as "open" stances... Shaw is not. In terms of stance angle, Shaw has the 11th most closed-off stance in Major League Baseball. We also see another interesting relationship: hitters with closed stances generally hit further from the plate. This feels like it makes sense in theory. As a hitter angles his body towards the plate, they may become more susceptible to being jammed on inside pitches. To compensate, hitters seemingly stand further from the plate. This allows them to go from a closed stance to a more neutral one, allowing them to get inside the pitch better. Statcast has a visualization tool allows one to see the start position (in black) and the finishing position (in red). Below, you can see how Shaw uses his closed stance to open up a little more. Rememberthis, as I'll come back to it in a bit. While these pieces of information are interesting, attempting to figure out what it means for Matt Shaw is important. The first concern I think you could have is, "Can Matt Shaw, especially with his height disadvantage, get to the outside pitch?" We are currently in "small sample size extreme" territory, but as of Friday morning, it seems the answer is "mostly yes." Below are a few heat maps to visualize how Matt Shaw has been pitched early in the season (left), where Matt Shaw is swinging (center), and what his average is on pitches hit in those zones (right). Pitchers are attacking Matt Shaw up and in as well as low and away. Shaw is swinging, more so at the up-and-in pitch, but when he has to, at the low-and-away. He's also using the away pitch to his advantage when he does swing there - though a further look shows that Shaw knows this is not a favorable zone for damage. He can hit it when he must, but it's not a pitch he wants to swing at. On the left is Shaw's overall swing%, while on the right is his swing% when he is behind in the count. It's a swing choice out of necessity, not of pure want, but one he's still capable of using if he must. It reflects the beginning of a mature approach at the plate. Shaw is who he is. He will swing, but he's at least capable of knowing that when he's ahead in the count, he understands his pitch. It should be noted, however, that while the average on low and outside is good, he hasn't been making a ton of contact in that region. Again, it's not one that is likely to be a strong suit for him, but he's at least shown glimpses of competitiveness there. It's something to put in our back pocket as a potential issue or place for polish down the road. One thing that has been levied against Matt Shaw so far is that his exit velocities have been unimpressive - and I don't disagree. But it's likely because Shaw has a weird ability to take the outside pitch and hook it into left field. The Cubs rookie has yet to log a hit that would be classified "going the other way" despite the above swing decision chart showing he can make contact with that outside pitch. On Wednesday alone, he notched two hits, one to left field and another to center, with 82 mph and 74 mph exit velocities. However, the xBA on both were .880 and .940, respectively. It's yet to be seen if he can continue doing that, but being pitched away is probably why the EVs have remained low. I don't think we're at a place yet where we can say exactly what this all means, but I feel comfortable saying that Matt Shaw has a somewhat defined plan with his stand-and-swing decisions. He clearly would like to hit the ball on the inside portion of the plate (and using how he opens his body and front side up, it makes sense), and specifically, higher in the zone, likely to use his leg kick and momentum to generate extra power in a frame that does not help with leverage. He uses his 17-degree launch angle to help with this as well. He's shown, thus far, that while he's capable of guarding the outside of the zone, this isn't his zone. This is all probably fine - we know power comes from a player's pull side and that going the other way can be a helpful tool; it should not be your zone of power, either. It will be interesting to see how pitchers use the information and data presented here. So far, pitchers have not been afraid to throw him in the high middle of the plate but have also identified that low-and-away isn't where they should probably worry about damage being done. That's not a uniquely Matt Shaw thing, either, as it's just not a good place to generate power. If pitchers begin to avoid the high-middle and go more and more on the outside, how Shaw handles that new plan of attack will be something to monitor. But again, this is not an issue that should be considered unique to Shaw. Instead, it's the push and pull of a young player. As the rookie gets a foothold in the league, there will be a consistent back and forth of the league learning about Shaw and Shaw learning how to adjust to a new attack pattern. If there's a positive to remember, it's that Shaw showed an ability to hit home runs to the opposite field in Triple-A, though those pitches were more middle-high and not low-and-away. So, yeah, Matt Shaw is weird. He's among the furthest away from the plate, using one of the most closed stances in the league and having some of the shortest distance between his front and back foot. But so far, his weirdness doesn't seem to be an overall detriment. As such, while he looks weird, Shaw seems to have an internal understanding of his skills and how to use them, as evidenced by his swing decisions. That's usually a good sign for a hitter when we can visualize a plan of attack like this, which ultimately fills me with more hope than anything. It doesn't mean tweaks or changes may still not be on the table, but this initial setup doesn't appear to be a complete non-starter for MLB success. What do you think of Matt Shaw's stance and performance thus far? Is this sustainable? Let us know in the comment section below! View full article
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I suspect there will be a dip. It's baseball. 162 game schedules create dips for all. A few years ago when the Dodgers lost to the Astros in the WS they won 20 in a row and lost 10 in a row the same year. It's a weird sport. But they look quality. So despite a dip later I'm feeling better and better about this team being there at the end of the season into the playoffs.
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Lets talk positives: - Shota at home is still Shota at home - Cubs dealt with bad Babip luck. Still won. - Hodge looks like real deal - Sneaky good game for Shaw. All three PAs could have been legit hits, then a hard fought (maybe a little luck) walk. Nice defensive play in the 9th too. - Despite his best efforts at times, Pressely eventually got the job done. - 1st loss for SD on the year. - Looks pretty likely we take 1st in the Central
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1. The Athletics aren't good mind you, but they're not some historically bad fodder like they were two years ago. They're your standard "not great" teams. They're much better than standard Triple-A teams, and yet he had a very good series. He also saw their two best SP's in Springs and Severino. Discounting them like this is...silly. C'mon. 2. His two hits on Wednesday had an expected BA of .940 and .880. They were not "lucky to fall in", it would have been very unlucky for them to be outs. He probably doesn't look comfortable. He's played nine major league baseball games. He's seeing each pitcher for the first time, and has faced Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Roki Sasaki, Jeremy Springs, L:uis Severino, Zac Gallen, Merril Kelly, Mason Miller...he's facing some guys who have ridiculous stuff. He's not going to look comfortable against these guys by going and facing "Random Triple-A pitcher #9" for three more weeks, either. The way you gain comfort against those guys is seeing those guys. This is what rookies look like. He's running a 126 wRC+,, a 23% K-ate, a 16% BB-rate, and a .240/..367/.400 line since coming back Stateside, where he's presumably fully healthy now and past an oblique injury. How much more comfortable should he look? We don't need to litigate whether or not he belongs because he had a good series against just the A's, or every other series. There will be ups and downs. He is a rookie. But he doesn't look like he's getting crunched by MLB pitching, and while he's certainly not fully comfortable yet, he's held his own.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 4-3-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Control felt like it was rust combined with rain. Outside of that, that's excellent stuff. Much better fastball shape, better velo than Iowa last year, and a 109 Stuff+ will play Good horsefeathers.

