Dodgers: 1.5 GB division 2 GB WC (with the DBacks only 1 GB of them) 71% chance to MAKE LDS 32% chance to WIN LCS 15% chance to WIN WS Braves: 3 games up (2 team race) 76% chance to MAKE LDS 10% chance to WIN LCS 2% chance to WIN WS Cubs: 4.5 games up 96% chance to MAKE LDS 29% chance to WIN LCS 10% chance to WIN WS My first contention is that the Dodgers make LDS is too high, and my second contention is that the win LCS is waaaaaaay too high. The Braves percentages are all way too low. I actually think the Cubs are spot on, except the win WS should probably be closer to 15%. I think part of the reason they love the Dodgers is because despite struggling and finding themselves multiple games out of a playoff spot with 20 games to go, they have the best run differential in the NL. I don't know how their projections are calculated but they probably projected them to be the best team in the NL heading into the season, and based on one metric (RD) they have played like the best team in the NL this season so they should play 1.5 games better than the Rockies (who have a negative RD this year) over a 20 game sample and if they make the playoffs will play like the favorites. Or maybe I'm assuming that they are putting too much emphasis on RD.