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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. UMFan83
    I'm getting 2023 vibes but thats just my pessimistic side trying to take over.
  2. UMFan83
    Meanwhile Tucker with a terrible AB
  3. UMFan83
    this is a horsefeathers Murphys law game
  4. UMFan83
    Can't be a 40/40 guy if you stop stealing bases and hitting HRs (also 1 HR since July 20)
  5. UMFan83
    I knew it looked odd when he crossed first, seemed like something weird happened
  6. UMFan83
    He respected 89.95
  7. UMFan83
    He's out lmao
  8. UMFan83
    Can't get any luck with our soft bouncers.
  9. UMFan83
    At least the Brewers trailed today and only won by 2. That's like a loss
  10. UMFan83
    Remember when we all were hopeful to face the Reds below average pen for 7+ innings? 2 perfectly sequenced baserunners so far
  11. UMFan83
    Rough season with SP injuries Steele - basically all season Imanaga - 5 weeks Taillon - 6 weeks Assad - all season up until now Soroka - probably rest of season after pitching 2 innings
  12. UMFan83
    People on twitter are saying he was having arm issues before getting traded. No idea if that’s true but if so wtf are you doing Jed?
  13. UMFan83
    Taillon is our trade deadline acquisition
  14. UMFan83
    Yes, my brain defaults to pessimism but that looked gone off the bat. Maybe 5% doubt remembering the wind but it looked pretty solid as soon as he hit it. Speaking of, I still haven't see Statcast details on that homer. Broke Savant.
  15. UMFan83
    I was just addressing the idea that this particular lineup leaves us vulnerable to strong RH relievers later in the game.
  16. UMFan83
    True but Turner can be subbed with Busch at any point and PCA can hit for Kelly or Shaw (subbing in McGuire or Berti afterwards)
  17. UMFan83
    A little funny because as someone pointed out, Lodolo is slightly worse against lefties this year, but the Cubs are running out their most RH lineup possible (unless you subbed Berti for Tucker).
  18. UMFan83
    Is there a meteorological reason for the 2 straight years for the high number of wind blowing in games? From what I've read, historically it's about 33/33/33 between in, out and cross-wind. But last year it was like 46/16/38 in favor of blowing in and this year doesn't have easy to compile data that I can find but its gotta be something similar. We're not in an El Niño or La Niña so it's not that. Could just be random luck and the wind happens to be blowing out heavily when the Cubs are out of town. But it's very strange....one year is a blip, 2 years seems like the beginnings of a trend if it continues.
  19. UMFan83
    Wow I'm just hoping they get at least 1 from the 1927 Yankees.
  20. UMFan83
    Don Draper voice (via ChatGPT): You can tell any story you want about a baseball player. All it takes is choosing the right starting point. Pick a 15-game hot streak and he's a future Hall of Famer. Highlight a cold stretch and suddenly he's a bust. That’s not analysis, it’s authorship. You’re not uncovering truth, you’re shaping perception. People want numbers to confirm what they already believe. They want to feel smart, justified, certain. So we slice the data to fit the narrative. A slump sells panic, a streak sells hope. The illusion is that it’s objective, because there’s a stat behind it. But it’s still a sales job. Baseball is full of streaks, full of noise. The truth is always messier than the story we tell. But the story is what sticks.
  21. UMFan83
    fair
  22. UMFan83
    I’ve been doing this for years. It’s just a way to show the length and depth of recent slumps. I'm not making grand claims about the players or the team, and I’m fully aware the endpoints are arbitrary. Baseball is full of streaks, good and bad, and eventually most guys hit again. This is just a snapshot of how rough it’s been lately, not a prediction or deep analysis, just a data dump. Like, saying 'Seiya has a .494 OPS over his last 14 games' doesn’t mean that’s who he is, it just illustrates how cold he’s been in that stretch.
  23. UMFan83
    Which I readily admitted
  24. UMFan83
    Slump tracking because I'm the weird kind of person who does this horsefeathers: Seiya Suzuki last 14 games: 6-49, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 35% K%, 17% BB% (good), .122/.271/.143/.414 Kyle Tucker last 27 games: 21-93, 4 2B, 1 HR, 9 RBI, 16% K%, 18% BB%, .226/.365/.301/.666 Michael Busch last 21 games: 12-73, 3 HR, 5 RBI, 33% K%, 7% BB%, .164/.256/.288/.544 Dansby Swanson last 17 games: 12-66, 1 2B, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 40% K%, 6% BB%, .194/.242/.257/.499 Carson Kelly last 9 games: 6-28, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 18% K%, 9% BB%, .214/.324/.250/.574 Ian Happ showing signs of life so I'll leave him out of this but can put together an ugly stat line using arbitrary end points also On the plus side, despite some struggles, PCA has continued to get enough hits to not be in a true slump, Nico has hit very well the last month or so. Shaw has fallen off in terms of production the last couple of games but still liking his ABs overall.
  25. UMFan83
    KB vs. Rockies in 2015 parallel? lol
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