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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. Likely even with this slump he's going to be worth 6 wins this year. It would definitely be a bad thing to lose a 6 win player for nothing.
  2. But you shouldn't fear that because it's going to happen either way. This is the way Tom wants to run his team and he's doubled down on Jed as the executor of his team building style. Hawkins, his equally conservative GM, will probably get an extension too. The Cubs will surely finish over .500 for the 3rd year in a row and have most of the pieces on this year's team set up for next season, except Tucker (and conveniently 2 of the Cubs top 3 hitting prospects play OF). I highly doubt at this point Tom sees the Cubs collapse, miss the playoffs and decide that all the sudden he's going to be a poor mans Steve Cohen, nor will Jed be on board with team building in that way because he's been a part of a Tom Ricketts led Cubs team that suddenly turned off the money faucet in the middle of a contention period and won't let himself get burned again like he and Theo did.
  3. Maybe if Jed didn't sign an extension, but at this point we're stuck with him, there is nothing good that comes from collapsing and missing the playoffs. Tucker will still probably walk because we won't offer him the money, Jed will still be here, we still won't spend as much as we should because we have Caissie, Ballesteros and Alcantara waiting to come up. Maybe 1-2 of them go in trades for someone thats cost controlled but either way not much is going to change regardless of whether the Cubs make the playoffs or collapse and miss out.
  4. Yeah ideally we stay away from "it didnt work so it was the wrong decision" second guessing. Both moves made logical sense to me, and Berti in my mind was safe. Nico and Dansby both got hits after the out call (obviously we dont know if the same thing happens if Berti was safe but still).
  5. I don't know what people want him to say. Lou Piniella like tirade? "Guys the Cardinals are luck merchants, our xBA was significantly higher tonight" (it was). He's an even keel boring guy, thats just who he is. Edit: correction, the win expectancy was almost even, but slight edge to St Louis.
  6. I was kind of thinking about this earlier. The 2023 Cubs had an extended hot stretch similar to the start of this year (it just happened June-August) and won at a similar rate as this year's team started the season out. Then suddenly the offense went cold, the pen collapsed and the Cubs played themselves out of the playoffs. 2024 the offense also started out red hot for maybe a month before going into a 2 month extended offensive funk. This offense is better, I truly believe that, but still many of the same players who were involved in the last 2 years of this. I'm kind of a tweener at this point in the overreaction/calling out overreactions battle. If I'm overreacting here please do call me out, it just feels similar. I'm too tired to do my usual statical checking to see how they've looked the last couple weeks as a team, but it seems like every series is 2 games of terrible offense and then one game where they score a healthy amount of runs. Maybe thats just bad luck, like sequencing but over the course of a series instead of a game.
  7. 8-11 in our last 19. Still not a complete bottoming out but this is an extended poor stretch. At least we're not the Mets or Yankees.
  8. That’s 2 series losses in a row, 3 of the last 4 and 4 of the last 6
  9. We are the unluckiest team ever. Of course Nico “ties” the game on the next pitch have the umpires ever heard of a palm? How can your hand touch the bag and then suddenly be off of it? His palm is in contact with the bag
  10. If the Cubs miss the playoffs or go down in the WC round and the offense doesn’t get it together will Jed call the offense broken and then do nothing to fix it in the offseason?
  11. The cubs have been a miserable viewing experience for a bit and I keep watching
  12. I’m sure Seiya will steal second and Tucker will hit a perfectly hit single to score him
  13. Maybe next series the offense can show up for more than 1 of the 3 games
  14. Nice work Dansby. Now we’ll have Gray in the 8th too
  15. Tip my cap those were 2 absolutely perfect pitches to strike out Busch
  16. I like this version of Shaw more than the one from the first 3 months of the season.
  17. This would be the 4th straight series that we scored a majority of our runs in 1 game
  18. My analysis of the game is it’s impossible to take anything from a preseason football game so it was just nice to see the Bears uniforms on my TV again.
  19. At this point if the Brewers play .500 baseball the rest of the season which would be a significant drop off from how they’ve played the last 3 months, the Cubs would need to go 29-17 to win the division outright. Barring a 4-1 Or 5-0 series next week its going to be extremely difficult to win the Central
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