Looks like 8.5 out of the wild card and 9 out of the division Here is how every day has affected the race in terms of games won or lost since the Colorado series started (and the Cubs were in first) 8/7: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/8: Held ground in division, gained game in wild card 8/9: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/10: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/11: Held ground in division, held ground in wild card 8/12: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/13: Lost 0.5 games in division, lost game in wild card 8/14: Held ground in division, gained game in wild card 8/15: Held ground in division, gained 0.5 games in wild card 8/16: Lost 0.5 games in division, held ground in wild card 8/17: Lost game in division, lost 0.5 games in wild card 8/18: Held ground in division, lost game in wild card 8/19: Held ground in division, held ground in wild card 8/20: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/21: Held ground in division, held ground in wild card 8/22: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card 8/23: Held ground in division, held ground in wild card 8/24: Held ground in division, lost 0.5 games in wild card 8/25: Lost game in division, lost game in wild card (assuming COL holds lead today) So in a 19 day span.... Division Lost Ground: 10 days (8 days lost a game, 2 days lost 0.5 games) Held Ground: 9 days Gained Ground: 0 days Wild Card Lost Ground: 11 days (9 days lost a game, 2 days lost 0.5 games) Held Ground: 5 days Gained Ground: 3 days (2 days gained a game, 1 day lost 0.5 games) So in 38 different chances to change the standings, 55% of the time we lost ground, 37% of the time we held ground, just 8% of the time we gained ground. Wow