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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. UMFan83
    Steele ERA back down to 3.22, roughly where he has been in each of the last 2 years (3.18 and 3.06). Probably jinxing this if he comes back out but he's allowed just 2 ER in his last 4 starts (covering 25 IP). We'll tip toe around the part where he's allowed 6 additional unearned runs in those starts because dammit Seiya.
  2. UMFan83
    Yep, lots of high stress innings, almost no margin for error. Tough situation to be in every inning of every game.
  3. UMFan83
    Yeah this is pretty much a carbon copy of the other 2 games in this series and really about 70% of all Cubs games since late April
  4. UMFan83
    Here are some of Neris' ranks this year on the Cubs current pitching staff: FIP: 5.14 - 2nd worst on the Cubs behind Hendricks xFIP: 4.99 - Worst on the Cubs K% - 20.9% - 3rd worst behind Hendricks and Taillon BB% - 16.5% - 2nd worst behind Little HR/9 - 1.05 - 4th worst behind Hendricks, Smyly and Steele HB/FB - 12% - 2nd worst behind Hendricks ERA - 4.21 - 3rd worst behind Hendricks and Little fWAR: -0.5 - 2nd worst behind Hendricks (-0.6)
  5. UMFan83
    I don't follow the Hawks prospects closely enough. How are they with blue line prospects? Seems like most of the guys I hear people excited about are wingers. Don't get me wrong the Hawks are not in a position to do anything but choose BPA at number 2, but would be nice to have an exciting defenseman in the system if that's the route they go.
  6. UMFan83
    Lot of soccer fans in the US these days. I saw something yesterday where the country who purchased the most second-hand tickets for the Euros was the US, even more than Germans. Not sure who has access to the Other Sports board on this forum these days, but if you look there's an entire Soccer thread there. Pretty nice when you can start your team with Mbappe, Vini Jr, Bellingham, Modric and Rodrygo. Would still take Man City, but its close.
  7. UMFan83
    I was watching USA-Brazil and avoiding the Cubs game but when that game was over, my kids wanted me to put on the Cubs game. Personally I preferred to avoid the Cubs emotional roller coaster today but I put it on for them with 2 outs in the bottom of the 8th. Saw the last out of the 8th and figured they couldn’t blow it again (Lucy + football = me). Neris got the first out easily. Seems like he often gets the 1st out without trouble. That sucked me in emotionally more and then things tuned sour leaving me to once again become emotionally invested in a Cubs game.
  8. UMFan83
    Am I missing something here? Like most LHB Bellinger doesn't hit as well against lefties than he does righties but he's actually pretty decent over his career (.780 career OPS vs. .846 against righties) and has 54 career HRs vs left handed pitchers. Or are you just saying it was a cool moment to see in person, made slightly cooler because it was against a type of pitcher hes a bit less likely to homer against?
  9. UMFan83
    That was the most textbook 2024 Cubs game ever 1. Put themselves in position to win with solid starting pitching and just enough offense 2. Due to both bad hitting and bad batted ball luck, completely unable to extend the lead in the late innings leaving the score uncomfortably close 3. Closer struggles and blows the game. Luckily this time he stopped just short of blowing it.
  10. UMFan83
    Does not feel like a win but whatever. Hopefully this does not validate Neris remaining the closer. edit: sorry that was too glum and negative for a win. Go Cubs! Hopefully this win helps reverse some of the psychological damage yesterday did. Let’s win the series tomorrow
  11. UMFan83
    Honestly based on his peripherals, Neris might be the worst performing pitcher in the Cubs bullpen. Need to look up the numbers to verify but he’s definitely among the very worst performing pitchers on the Cubs this year and he’s our locked in closer. it’s like they’re trying to blow this season.
  12. UMFan83
    Hey craig have you thought about maybe trying someone else? Like right now? why the horsefeathers is this idiot a “unquestioned, no one else is warming up no matter what” closer?
  13. UMFan83
    And now we lose the double play and about to put the winning run on base. We can’t horsefeathers keep doing this
  14. UMFan83
    Now comes the “I’m afraid to leave one over the plate” pitches that will put him behind in the count, leading to him having to throw him one over the plate.
  15. UMFan83
    This is the bottom of their order too lmao
  16. UMFan83
    And now the winning run is up
  17. UMFan83
    Neris again…
  18. UMFan83
    Worst batted ball luck. Gomes deserves a HR for hitting that hard 103 mph, .720 xBA, HR in 20/30 parks Seiya’s out was 107 mph with a .520 xBA
  19. UMFan83
    Holy crap that was one of the most entertaining USMNT games in awhile. Definitely some stuff to clean up but they got the performance they needed tonight. More encouraged about Copa now
  20. UMFan83
    Hell horsefeathers yeah Puli
  21. UMFan83
    Dammit a crossbar for Musah. Almost 1-0
  22. UMFan83
    Like I mentioned yesterday, only 3 of our last 41 games have resulted in a 9 inning win by more than 2 runs. Last by more than 2 runs was that 7-1 win over Atlanta I think. May 15?
  23. UMFan83
    That’s 14 base runners and 2 runs this series
  24. UMFan83
    I'm not sure they can play .500 baseball and still be in the WC hunt until the very end. Lets say "in it until the end" means within 3 games of a playoff spot at the end of the season. Over the 2 years the current postseason format has been around, the average record of a team that finishes 3 games out of a WC spot is 84-78. While the Dbacks and Marlins made it with 84 wins last year, every other WC team has had at least 87 wins. To hit 84-78 and "stay in the race", they'd need to go 52-43 the rest of the season. To actually hit the mark that the average WC3 team is at, they'll need to go 55-40. Now I know the NL only had 4 teams that are more than 1 game above .500 this year, so its possible the 3rd WC team is actually around 82-84 wins. But there are 8 different teams that are between 1 game over .500 and 4 games under .500. Basically a bunch of teams are bunched together playing for 2 playoff spots right now (WC2 and WC3). I think its pretty safe to assume a couple will drop off the map (maybe Washington and Pittsburgh), but I would also assume a couple of them get hot as well. The Cubs might be one of those teams, but if they aren't, playing .500 ball for the rest of the year is likely going to have them out of the race by mid-September.
  25. UMFan83
    Dude has a 1.58 WHIP this year and literally has just 3 appearances this year (out of 26 games) where he hasn’t allowed a baserunner. I know the options are meager but there is no world where the guy who is the worst on the team at preventing batters from reaching base should be closing games. You might be able to get by with him with a semi-competent offense but every single game he comes in is a nail biter due to the Cubs complete inability to pull away from teams. As I mentioned earlier, over the last 41 games the Cubs have won a 9 inning game by more than 2 runs just 3 times. That’s absolutely insane to me. Completely unable to win a comfortable game meaning that unless the Cubs are getting blown out just about every inning the Cubs pitch is high leverage or close to it. edit: and of course TT comes up with logic about Neris right before my post. I still think he’s a problem regardless of how he’s pitched over your sample size. The season numbers are the numbers. But I also agree as I alluded to above that it’s not fully his fault, this game was really on the offense and the stupid errors like Amayas. Yes Neris should have not given up 4 runs but the offense should have put up 5-6 runs today. A normal team wouldn’t have even had to use their closer today
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