As it's been a week since the US loss to Belgium, I'm starting to think deeper about which of the last 2 World Cup squads performed better in the event.
At first glance, even with the humbling to Belgium I would think that 2026 team was better, but digging deeper, I'm starting to side with the 2022 team, with the caveat that the 2022 team was missing an elite finisher.
In 2022, the US was in a group with England (5), Wales (19) and Iran (21). They went 1-2-0 against that group, scoring 2 goals, conceding 1 goal (on a PK). They then played Netherlands (10) and lost 3-1. Overall they scored 3 goals and conceded 4. Average opponent ranking of 14 (FIFA rankings are sketch but w/e)
2026, the US was in a group with Türkiye (27), Australia (28), and Paraguay (34). They went 2-0-1 against the group, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4. They then beat Bosnia and Herzegovina (61) 2-0 in a knockout game and then got exposed by Belgium (8) 4-1 in the R16. Overall they scored 11 goals and conceded 8. Average opponent ranking of 32
Tactically the 2022 team was probably more cohesive tactically and stronger defensively. They shut down a powerful England squad, and even in the Netherlands game they had a better xGA and possession statistics (though partially because the Dutch led most of the game). The biggest problem they had was finishing, which ironically was one of the 2026's team's biggest strengths with Balogun but also stronger more aggressive passing and attacking in the midfield. I'm not sure if simply adding Balogun instead of Sargent/Wright/Ferreira changes everything but I'm sure it makes some difference.
So did the US make progress from 2022 to 2026? Probably...it seems like part of the roller coaster in performances is due to Poch trying to transition the US into a more attacking team which looks great against opponents outside the top 20 but sometimes causes issues against elite teams. Some of it is our back line depth just wasn't up to par. Greggggg's style certainly seems like it had a ceiling, so I am not sure that him coaching the 2026 team leads to any better results.
Would love to get the soccerheads input on this. I would never call myself a soccer expert...I've been watching soccer for 2 decades but never analyzed things closely until my kids started playing travel soccer and started to really understand some of the strategy behind the game better. But I could sound like an idiot too, that's fine 😆