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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. UMFan83
    Here's a good stat: EPA/punt. It essentially accounts for how much expected win probability was added on a per punt basis (or maybe it's cumulative over the year, not sure). Tory Taylor has a net positive EPA for the year but is 20th in the league so far. So I'm not just posting this to prop up Taylor @NotKyle https://puntalytics.github.io/gallery.html I was trying to find stats because I remember reading that Taylor's game against the Rams was extremely good in this metric, but can't find it. Either way, I'm undecided on the elite vs not elite punter crap. I definitely think there are plain old bad punters though (see a familiar friend who is second from the bottom on that chart) and he's not one of them. Also possible that like any player there's an adjustment to the league as a rookie. We'll see
  2. UMFan83
    Still cant believe that all of our divisional games come in the final 8 weeks of the season with the other 2 games being at SF and against Seattle. We can obviously win those games but they're gonna all be pretty tough
  3. UMFan83
    Can’t wait to play Hockey Club! And it’s actually on tv since it’s an ESPN game. Seems like 85-90% of the Chicago market still does not have the new CHSN channel unless they invested in an HD antenna
  4. UMFan83
    Let’s take a look at Steelers Reddit. Yep that seems familiar
  5. UMFan83
    That’s fine. I’ll measure their performance today against how the Bears of recent years have looked against bad teams. For instance last year a home game against the Panthers resulted in an ugly ass 16-13 win
  6. UMFan83
    NFC North is insane MIN 5-0 DET 3-1 CHI 3-2 GB 3-2 Gonna be a crazy tough division and the teams will probably beat each other up enough to affect wild card chances.
  7. UMFan83
    Man that was awesome. Sad most of the fun was when I was out coaching my kids game but I’ll go back and watch Caleb cook. We got the right guy
  8. UMFan83
    Man that was annoying. Snapped over daltons head into the end zone , somehow gets the ball and doesn’t get an intentional grounding and then they somehow get the 1st down by inches edit: and then we force a fumble and recover!
  9. UMFan83
    Dammit DJ Moore drops wide open pss that would have put Caleb over 300 yards. Damn
  10. UMFan83
    It’s probsbly too late to matter but getting a little lax out there for my liking
  11. UMFan83
    Of course. Get it to the 1 inch line and now a penalty brings it to the 15
  12. UMFan83
    I just spent 2 hours outside coaching my kids baseball game and it’s been brutally windy almost relentlessly all day
  13. UMFan83
    Holy crap they are going empty all drive and just letting Caleb cook
  14. UMFan83
    Im so confused, what happened with Kyle? Why is he back with a new user name?
  15. UMFan83
    Pretty sure that’s a Red Sox forum. Soxtalk is a white Sox forum, talksox is Red Sox edit: holy crap they have a marlins forum too? They are talking over baseball forums.
  16. UMFan83
    You hate to see it
  17. UMFan83
    Twins with an epic regular season choke, Brewers with an epic playoff choke, Cubs continue to exist in purgatory. I blame Brock for it all
  18. UMFan83
    Holy crap Alonso. What a hit
  19. UMFan83
    Leave it to the Brewers to be the one team that breaks the sweep trend in the WC round. Hope Mets can finish them off tomorrow.
  20. UMFan83
    Orioles are going to be swept out of the playoffs because their 2B inexplicably didn’t take the much easier out and throw to get the out at 2B
  21. UMFan83
    I’m glad the Cubs are refusing to participate in this WC round thing because it would really suck to win 91 games and have your season be over 72 hours after the regular season ends. I guess this was always a possibility with just the WC game previously but now it can happen even after winning the division.
  22. UMFan83
    Even if you include 2020 thats 14 of 17 and we’re 6 outs away from 15 of 18. When is the sample size large enough to consider this a legitimate thing about the WC round? And if it is a thing, why exactly? Also home teams have won 8 of the 17 series (6 outs from 8 of 18) so it seems like home field has very little effect so far.
  23. UMFan83
    man I wish I could find it but there was a Bears guy on twitter saying the same thing the other day. seems to be an overall disappointment in his performance this year.
  24. UMFan83
    Speaking of Caleb…I’ll probably actually watch this one since it’s free:
  25. UMFan83
    Yeah, only 264 yards of offense at home against a bad defense is not great but all I care about is 1) they won and 2) they (and particularly Caleb) showed noticeable growth. The 2nd half was the first time it felt like Caleb was calm and in full control of the offense. Yes there was a lot of check downs and some dink and dunks, but to me it was taking what the defense was giving him and he looked collected as he sat in the pocket and went through his progressions. I’ve definitely seen QBs that get checkdown happy but it looks frantic and rushed. That was not the case with Caleb yesterday. Yes his accuracy on deeper throws needs to be better, but I’m actually not worried about that all that much. Looking at his stats at USC, Caleb completed 57.4% of his passes beyond 20 yards while the average completion percentage for those types of passes in the NFL is…57.3%. There are a lot of differences between college and the pros to consider but this isn’t one of those areas IMO. He’ll connect on them as he gets more comfortable in the NFL and with his teammates.
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