That seems about right to me. However, if they make trades at the deadline it could be in the 60s again. Agreed, seem pretty reasonable if everyone gets to their career averages. But I see the Cubs having a lot of variability with players this year that could get them back into the 60's real quick. Garza's health, can Samardzija repeat what he did last year in his second full season as a starter, do Castro/Rizzo hit any extended streaks of slumping due to a learning curve/development, is Soriano a 4-5 win player again or back to around replacement level, will the RF/CF platoons actually put out like the stats suggest they should, do we get sub replacement level out of 3B again. I know every team has questions, but it seems like the Cubs have have more or at least their questions have a pretty big range of variation.