10 years is much more the issue than 23-24mil per. Very much this. Also, giving anyone a contract that only your optimistic projections having him be worth is a really bad idea. There's almost zero chance of getting any surplus value from that deal. The goal is not to get surplus value. Then you're not giving yourself any upside. Best case scenario you get what you paid for. There's no reason to give out a contract without any potential upside in value unless that's the one move that helps you win a world series. In Seattle's case, that is most definitely not the scenario.