I'll bet 100 million dollars he will not be the Astros GM in 2012 according to wikipedia he's from houston. that's the only reason they'd have any shot, i think. that being said, he's gotta be a hot commodity and if he wants to move on from tampa, one would think there are higher-profile positions that will be open. not to mention that the astros are a bad team with a moribund farm system. And their next owner isn't going to spend any money. While I agree with the sentiment (Friedman seems unlikely to head to Houston), ownership not spending money wouldn't be anything new to him. Separately, I can't think of too many "small market" type GMs who've had success transition to a big market, big money club. I'm not saying they don't exist, but only the disastrous ones (like Minaya) are coming to mind.