Completely agree with you. First off, while the Mexican League is considered a AAA league, it's actually equivalent to high-A or even A-ball. As you said, he signed for a minimal bonus despite being a free agent - another telling sign of what MLB teams think of him. Finally, if the Cubs thought anything of him, they wouldn't have shipped him off to Mexico for 2/3 of a season. When he signed, the scouting reports indicated 88-92 MPH. He's got to have a lot going for him if he's going to be a 3/4 starter with that velocity. To be fair, what Luke said was that Negrin could have the ceiling of a 3/4 or a 7th/8th inning guy, and while that might be optimistic, that's kind of what a ceiling is (the original scouting reports I read had his fastball at 90 to 94, for whatever that's worth). I very much don't think Luke was saying he expects that of Negrin. I feel dopey for not remembering, but I don't remember when Negrin's bonus info was reported. How small was it? You guys are quite right that the bonus would be very telling (though it was in the pre-new-CBA-announcement days, so even $100K was a decent bonus back then). Separately, the age thing is a little unfair, given that he defected at 27. I don't think we can know, off-hand, the reason he was lent to the Mexican League for most of this year, but there could be reasons that have nothing to do with his talent, and have everything to do with his particular adjustment to playing over here. Obviously it was just the first step, as he's now in the system, and already at AAA.