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Brett

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Everything posted by Brett

  1. Brett
    I can't help but think we're going to find out that there are escalators or opt-outs (into arbitration, not free agency) built into the deal. I know that it's a huge amount of money for a prospect, so what I'm about to say is relative, but 9/$30M seems like a steal.
  2. Brett
    http://www.bleachernation.com/forum/index.php?/topic/1000-crazy-trades/ Not crazy about the minor league guy Brett added. That question is definitely not interesting. He's pandering to the unwashed masses with that one. "OMG! Someone wrote something on my message board!" Glad that doesn't happen here. True, but he even went so far as to say And no disrespect at all intended to Brett, because I'm still a fan of the site, but there is nothing remotely absolutely awesome about that. Different strokes for different folks, and all that. I actually appreciate the feedback (especially since it's here, where folks definitely speak freely - can't always find that). But a few thoughts in my defense, because I think you're being a little unfair when you consider the context: 1.) It was one itty bitty Bullet out of a bunch in a post and out of, I don't know, like 60 or 70 in a given week - it's not like I blasted it from the rooftops or filmed myself water skiing; 2.) I'm really into those kind of "thought experiments" - it wasn't a zany trade proposal, it was a question about how we value players and prospects; and 3.) To call it pandering is a bit far given that, as you noted, I clearly genuinely did think the post was really interesting, as I commented in that thread.
  3. Brett
    I'm not sure I understand why some folks think Maholm has no value in trade. His contract is quite reasonable, and if he meets his WAR expectations, he provides surplus value. He's not an impact starter, but for a team with playoff hopes that has an injury or two pop up, I could see the Cubs netting a decent prospect (maybe top 10 in a middle-tier system), especially if they chip in some cash.
  4. Brett
    Obviously we need to see how this season plays out for McCarthy to see if he was the real deal last year, but I think even if he regresses a bit that he'd still make a nice mid-level addition to the rotation. Yeah, McCarthy's the guy I'd be eyeing, assuming he stays healthy this year.
  5. Brett
    If those things all happened, we'd probably win like 120 games. I like where your head is at. Being a bit conservative there, aren't you?
  6. Brett
    Ha. I guess we just have to settle for Xander Bogaerts.
  7. Brett
    I know this is an older Soto thread, but it still seems appropriate for the latest Soto/Rays rumor/suggestion out of Tampa Bay: Despite Soto's early season struggles, you've got to believe he has more value than Pierzynski or Suzuki. Even in a "bad" year in 2011, Soto still managed a 97 OPS+ and a 2.4 WAR in 125 games. By no means am I saying it's time to "give up" on Soto, but, given the future of the club and the unlikelihood of competitiveness this year, might as well start shopping him now, if teams are interested.
  8. Brett
    I'll be happy if the Cubs get Bowden and save a couple million. Seems fair-ish.
  9. Brett
    Rarely is a non-update considered a legitimate update. But this is. I've been trying to decide if the delay benefits or hurts the Cubs, assuming they are the "favorite" (whatever that exactly means in this context). On the one hand, some teams may have whittled down their budget for this year by the end of the offseason; on the other hand, who knows how teams budget, right? For all we know, teams' budget year just flipped from 2011/2012 to 2012/2013, or perhaps even other teams are willing to make an exception for Soler - and now they have some additional 2012 revenue to work with. I'm just spit-balling. Ultimately, I'm not sure I see a connection, but it does make me wonder.
  10. Brett
    Bumgarner was 5 years away from FA anyway. But that was going to be the year!
  11. Brett
    The fact that a team trading for Dempster now can't even hope for compensation if he leaves after the season (because he won't have spent the entire year with that team) also hurts his trade value.
  12. Brett
    Exactly, we can afford to make these kinds of investments when the need is there. And the need is certainly there. And it's not like four years of Cespedes (especially at that price) was going to block Jackson or anyone else who may or may not make it to the bigs in those four years. I'm a bit bummed. Then again, as has been said, it's just a handful of games. When a bigger book gets out on him, it'll be interesting to see how well he adjusts.
  13. Brett
    I would like to see him instead of Johnson, but I dont mind so much. My gut is that his ceiling is a good 4th outfielder, but this would be a good year to have him start in Iowa in hopes that he could be something more. Can't imagine it's going to take more than a month for Johnson to miss time with some kind of ache or pain. We'll see Sappelt at some point for a little while.
  14. Brett
    hopefully next year all the free agents are like 23 But they won't have a long enough proven track record to justify signing. All free agents should be 25.5 and only sign 4 year contracts. Well damn. Missed out on Yoenis Cespedes.
  15. Brett
    Him? He's going to Bellhorn his way out of the league pretty quickly, so who cares. Bellhorn was all-universe that one year.
  16. Brett
    Who I think it will be (which could obviously change by next week, let alone Opening Day): Clevenger, DeWitt, Baker, Johnson, Mather Who I'd keep: Clevenger, DeWitt, Baker, Campana, Sappelt I'm not crazy about DeWitt, but, unless I'm mistaken, Cardenas can be sent to Iowa. Might as well give DeWitt one last look. I'm also not crazy about Campana, and I know he could be optioned, but he does have that one super-elite ability: speed. In April and May, particularly, that could be quite valuable off the bench. I don't feel strongly about it enough to fight, though.
  17. Brett
    Obviously anything can still happen - and we'll never know what would have happened if he'd come to the Cubs (at least not precisely) - but it's a reminder of just how fragile prospects' futures are.
  18. Brett
    Yeah, it's pretty obvious that's the implication. Whether Phil means it to be so, he's gotta realize that's what it looks like. Soler could have gotten a travel visa like Cespedes did, but not until he had residency in the DR. I'd be shocked if he could have (1) gotten residency, (2) come to the US, and (3) visited with a team (or teams) in Arizona without there being an explosion of press about it. But, again, that seems to be what Phil is suggesting has happened. Would be a hell of a scoop, and I'd have to wonder why Phil would be so cloak and dagger about revealing it.
  19. Brett
    Balaguert?
  20. Brett
    Dusty got four years in Chicago, each of which was ultimately worse than the last. He was paid as one of the top managers in the game during that time. We were plenty patient, and I don't have a whole lot of sympathy.
  21. Brett
    That was from his appearance on WGN Radio last night, for what it's worth.
  22. Brett
    Unfortunately, trade partners feel the same way about dropping top prospects on them.
  23. Brett
    If we pay 15 million for Zambrano to have a Cy Young-caliber season for Ozzie Guillen and Jeffrey Loria, I will jump out a window. It's a good thing that it is impossible for that to happen. You live in a window-less room? He was standing on a block of ice and the ice melted.
  24. Brett
    Ditto. I like the theoretical possibility of a three-digit fastball reliever, but there's so much risk there, and - maybe this is lame - the Cubs have to open up a 40-man spot anyway.
  25. Brett
    Seems like the Cubs would be wise to keep selling them, with a portion of the proceeds going to a diabetes-related charity.
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