In fairness, how many of those $1m players are likely to become as good as Chapman currently is? How many of them would have a ceiling comparable to Chapman? which would you take...Chapman at $30M or the top 15 or so dominican signees this year (I'm guessing all those guys together would add up to around a $30M investment)? This is a huge no-brainer for me. First, you spread the injury risk. Second, in a year from now, you could very well believe that a couple of those guys could have the same ceiling as Chapman. To me, if you're going to invest that kind of coin in a single prospect, he'd better be unbelievably, unquestionably the best-est, super-est, can't miss prospect there ever was. I don't see Chapman being in that stratosphere or even remotely close to it. Also to give it some perspective Stephen Strasburg who is one of the most, if not THE most, highly touted can't miss prospect of the last decade or so signed for less than Aroldis Chapman, signing bonus included. I like Chapman but him getting paid more than Strasburg is ridiculous. Strasburg is younger than Chapman, can throw as fast if not faster than Chapman, and has shown that he has more than one great pitch. Chapman is a lefty who can throw 100mph but, from what I've read IIRC, can't spot it consistently and also doesn't have a good 2nd pitch and needs to develop one in the minors. Meanwhile Strasburg could slide right into the #1 slot in Washington's rotation this season. I like Chapman, don't get me wrong, but I'm shocked that so many teams were willing to go so high for him, and that he actually got as much as he got Totally different situations. Had Chapman been selected in the amateur draft, and had his rights controlled by one club, he wouldn't have gotten nearly as much as Strasburg. True, but it's still ridiculous