Maybe, but they also lose Zobrist and possibly Morrow's money, with Lester and Chatwood the year after. 2 years from now you'll also have much more clarity on which of the position players you actually want to pay through arbitration(e.g. trade any/all of Schwarber, Russell, Baez if they don't improve). If they go that route you're also likely keeping Almora and Happ around, which furthers your flexibility in those years. Yeah this is my thinking too, you also potentially lose Q and Hendricks after 2020 (maybe 2021 with Hendricks?). That's a lot of money coming off, obviously you need to replace a lot of that pitching (hopefully some can be developed from within for cheap and not all needing to be bought) but they could hit the LT reset button in 2021. Also by some diving intervention there is a possibility of a Heyward opt out the next 2 offseasons or trade (obviously would have to eat some money but could reduce the overall obligation). "Losing" Lester, Chatwood, Morrow, Q and Hendricks' collective moneys off the payroll in 2020/2021 means you actually lose all those baseball payers to and then have to replace them all, mostly with other expensive baseball players. 30 million for Darvish and 40 million for Harper, plus a soon-to-be 30+ million for Bryant, and either a big extension for Rizzo or replacement player is going to be a tremendous burden.