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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. jersey cubs fan
    They were committed enough to give him a 3 year $17.5M deal in January. 07:$3.5M 08:$5M 09:$8M 10:$10M club option with a $1M buyout I don't see Hendry bringing on Kearns unless they take back Jones AND Eyre. They were committed when they signed him, but an unproductive season may have changed their minds. Hendry was committed to Jones when he signed him, but apparantly switched his mood within a few months. I don't see why Hendry would need to get rid of Jones and Eyre. Jones and Kearns offset each other next year, and I doubt $8m in 2009 is that big of an obstacle.
  2. jersey cubs fan
    Renteria has had such a strangely unpredictable career, I don't think he's a guarantee for anything. He started out his career nicely as a young guy, improving in his early 20's until he had a major setback season at age 25. Consecutive career years during the normal peak period, 26/27, were followed by 2 more down years, and now he's putting up back to back very good seasons. As an aging middle infielder, I'm not sure how much time he's got left where he'll be effective there, and if he ever has to move, his value will plummet. The closest thing he can guarantee, though, is not being a black hole. His worst year is no better than what the Cubs are getting now, but his other off years would at least be middle of the pack for SS productivity.
  3. jersey cubs fan
    I'd trade any 5 prospects for Miguel Cabrera.
  4. jersey cubs fan
    Granted... but DLee didn't do it with his elbow/forearm to someone's face. If were going with 03 references it'd be more like Robert Fick joining the Cubs. Except Robert Fick has always sucked and Renteria has not, so it'd be much tougher to swallow. Miguel Cabrera mocked the Alou/Bartman incident, but I wouldn't hesitate to bring him in.
  5. jersey cubs fan
    Any prolonged stretch of .600 baseball would be more than acceptable. 12-8 would leave them at 63-54, or a .538 W%, good for a pace of 87 wins. That would also leave them with 45 more games to reach the 90 win plateau, which would mean going 27-18 the rest of the way, also a .600 W%.
  6. jersey cubs fan
    Assuming Conine isn't signed through next year, this would be a solid way to get rid of the committment to Jones in 2008 and fill the RH bench need. I don't think this would be viewed as a way to solve RF. Assuming Baltimore is happy with a marginal Cubs prospect, I could see the value in such a deal. conine's a red. Just figured that one out. Point still stands, though I'm not sure Cincy would be as willing to take back Jones.
  7. jersey cubs fan
    Assuming Conine isn't signed through next year, this would be a solid way to get rid of the committment to Jones in 2008 and fill the RH bench need. I don't think this would be viewed as a way to solve RF. Assuming Baltimore is happy with a marginal Cubs prospect, I could see the value in such a deal.
  8. jersey cubs fan
    I think the triumverate was Encarnacion, Wilson and Jones, as far as available OF who fit the Jim Hendry criteria. I assumed some time that year one of those three would wind up a Cub.
  9. jersey cubs fan
    I'm going to guess cubs.com people voted for relief pitching, because it seems to be the lowest common denominator for "where can we get better" discussions. I guess it's because there are 6-7 positions to fill and you don't necessarily have to say something specific replace Ryan Theriot with a quality SS. It allows people to avoid criticizing their own guys. The Cubs don't need starting pitching, although if they get to the playoffs, they might wind up wishing they had somebody a little more stable and dominant in the 2 spot. The obvious answer is offense. Not sure why it has to be broken down into things like power or speed. They need to get better production. Preferably go from bottom of the barrel production at SS to top of the heap in ARod. Improve from very little out of CF to something near the top of the league, or figure out how to get better RF production when Floyd isn't 100%. Maybe find a way to get a do over in the catching department and find somebody that isn't a black hole. The best thing this team could do would be to get better offensively. Get out of the cellar in one of the black hole positions and/or improve on the positions that are in flux, and we're probably talking about giving this team the best chance to succeed.
  10. jersey cubs fan
    That would be very disappointing, considering what they obviously need more than another marginal LH bat is a hitter who can hit against LHP. They need a RH bat if anything. Matt Stairs is nice and all, but considering the Floyd/Jones/Ward overkill on LH hitting OF types who aren't all that productive, I'm not sure why the loss of Ward would make them think they need to restock that overstocked position.
  11. jersey cubs fan
    And for those with the NFL Network, they are replaying a condensed version of the Bears/Seahawks playoff game from 4:30-6:00 today. Anybody else slightly amused by the thought of a punter going up to the ST coach's office with a sheet of paper highlighting the results of his discovery of the benefits of exercise?
  12. jersey cubs fan
    I would argue it's because of all the bitching people do about GM's not doing enough to improve the bullpen. People acted as though 2004 was ruined because Jim didn't get a real closer. In the past several Cubs fans have blasted them for not getting enough veteran relievers. Relievers are inconsistent and have a short shelf life. Take out the handful of elite closers, and relievers are basically just failed starters trying to make due with a less than perfect arsenal. If a GM relies on kids and they fail, people will say he should have had vets. If he spends big on vets and they fail he can say, "Well, I went out and got the guys, they just didn't come through."
  13. jersey cubs fan
    Floyd scores from 2nd on a PB/WP. Yup, you win. all the way from 2nd? where did the ball go?
  14. jersey cubs fan
    They didn't have to, he was already signed through the next year. But Izturis wasn't so much loved as he was weakly justified. Hendry went out of his way to make a change at catcher this year, starting with Barrett and ending with Kendall. I think that's different than looking to trade Maddux somewhere with very few people showing interest and taking back Izturis. But I think the Cubs would need a situation similar to Theriot surprising on the upsiding and Cedeno raking in the minors to compare them at all. Half the issue is they don't have any realistic starting C candidate in house for 2008. The closest thing was Bowen, and he's gone, and they aren't showing any interest in Soto.
  15. jersey cubs fan
    bad lilly is no fun.
  16. jersey cubs fan
    My early season prognostication had 87-89 on the upper edge. I think 90 is entirely possible, but still a bit of a reach. I think they are a great bet to reach the 84/85 win mark set by Vegas. It's really going to be a roller coaster down the stretch. It's possible 85 could still win it, although it's more probable they will need 90+ for the division as well as the wild card. If they remain a top 3 run prevention team, and improve upon their 8th place run scoring standing (9th in OPS, 10th in OBP), I think a 92/93 win season isn't out of the question. But I just don't see 95 as a possibility, given their early struggles. They are bound to have another setback or two. Replace one of their black hole positions with an above average producer and it might be enough to push them into the 6th or 7th best run scoring team in the NL, and grab the NL Central crown.
  17. jersey cubs fan
    His career numbers batting 5th have been bad. Bad idea from the get-go but I'm glad Lou did see it wasn't working out and made the move. He's barely even hit 5th, but the one year he did hit 5th for a decent amount he was much better in that spot than leadoff. He's had 583 AB hitting 5th in his career. .268 avg .312 obp. When he did play 5th more than leadoff in 2005 his numbers were similar: Leadoff: 98 AB 4HR 7RBI .276AVG .301OBP 5th: 497 AB 30HR 93RBI .270 .315OBP 57 points OPS advantage out of the 5 spot that year, and that was the only year he had significant time in the 5 hole. It's a freaking myth that he can't hit anywhere but leadoff. He had a couple down years, in one of those year he hit 5th mostly. People who really think the down year was because of hitting 5th need to get their heads examined. He was a free swinging hacker who became and easy out and pitchers finally stopped throwing him strikes. It started late in 2003, when he was hitting leadoff.
  18. jersey cubs fan
    There would be more scrutiny in this case, but couldn't the phantom injury come before the playoff rosters were set so they could get on? Yes they could, come to think of it. It's why it's a nice idea to not release Novoa and Miller if you don't have to, so that those spots are there for the taking. Those guys are already off the 25-man roster and on the 60-day DL. Isn't the only way to get a guy on the playoff roster after August 31 if he is replacing somebody who was on the 25-man roster but got injured in September? For the Cubs, it would seem the only way to pull this off would be to have the 5th starter or 7th reliever come down with a phantom injury sometime in September and be replaced by a Sept callup.
  19. jersey cubs fan
    His career numbers batting 5th have been bad. Bad idea from the get-go but I'm glad Lou did see it wasn't working out and made the move. He's barely even hit 5th, but the one year he did hit 5th for a decent amount he was much better in that spot than leadoff.
  20. jersey cubs fan
    Why didn't the Cubs just cut Izturis if they wanted to open up a roster spot? Because this way they save a couple hundred thousand and presumably get some sort of asset in the form of a PTBNL.
  21. jersey cubs fan
    We'll just pretend that's what they're paying Theriot to actually be somewhat useful at SS. I wouldn't have had a problem with paying 6/3 of Izturis' remaining contract. Sometimes it's just better to pay someone to play for someone else than to continue playing him on your own team. I don't get it... why would Selig allow this and not the Jacque Jones deal? Because Selig never got involved on the Jacque Jones deal. Also, Jones is guaranteed through next year. Izturis's contract is the responsibility of the current owners, whereas Jones would be paid by whomever owns the team next year.
  22. jersey cubs fan
    Preferrably, but not a must.
  23. jersey cubs fan
    Yeah, I think they chose Fox because he's the best option of people that could handle 1B, and then send him back when Dempster comes off the DL. It's more likely they'll send Gallagher down tomorrow when Dempster is activated' otherwise they'd have 13 pitchers. I think a more likely scenerio is that Fox stays up this weekend while Lee is serving his suspension, then when Lee returns next Tuesday Fox goes back down and Cedeno comes up. But with just a few games, couldn't they cover 1B in house? Why wait on Cedeno? Jake Fox is in house. They need 1B and RF help, as well as RH power. He fits the bill.
  24. jersey cubs fan
    The Cubs don't analyze that particular stat. They just don't over rate that stat. Fox has some power and that is what they are looking for. The completely misunderstand and under rate it. It's why the offense has been so weak for so many years.
  25. jersey cubs fan
    The Cubs don't analyze that particular stat. I wish they'd at least analyze age. As a 25 year old in AA, I'd hope he's putting up pretty good numbers. To be fair, he did spend a good portion of his early pro career working on being a catcher, which tends to setback the hitting development of guys quite frequently. But I don't think they see him as any sort of future corner OF star. He's a RH bat for the bench who may fill-in at 1st once or twice while Lee is up. It's quite possibly going to be the only 5 days he spends in the big leagues.
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