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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. Works for me, but then where does DeRo go, RF, SS? Maybe a trade? The Cubs could have an IF of Patterson, Fontenot, Theriot and Cedeno next year.
  2. Damn, all this excitement is scaring me. I'm about thisclose to going all in with confidence about this team.
  3. No one ever really complains about Lee, do they? well no, but he did say our best player, which is Ramirez. Consult the numbers. You are wrong. Well, Rammy does have a 3 pt OPS advantage on him...for whatever it's worth (not much). Not even a pt worth debating, they're both incredibly awesome. I view Rammy as more of a threat, right now, though, because of his ability to hit for power. Lee has a slight OPS+ advantage. But he's got a significant OBP lead. Lee's advantage was built up in that weird April when everything was falling in though, and the advantage has narrowed.
  4. .261 .328 .446 .270 .329 .410 A 35 point differential in team OPS is pretty significant. A team OPS+ of 109 to 97. There's a significant gap. The same difference in ERA+, 116 to 104.
  5. Appears risky to me. .278/.327/.454 with an OPS+ of 100 the rest of the way doesn't seem anywhere close to a lock. He's done worse in 3 of the last 4 years and 6 of his 9 seasons. also, two home runs to this point in the season isn't encouraging. Yeah, it's not like this hot streak has come with a burst of power. I've seen several weak hit balls just find holes. He'd have to really up the pace of HR in order to flirt with his career numbers.
  6. I don't take much stock out of head to head comparisons. I think the Cubs are more talented, but also more flawed. They have worse age/injury issues with more guys likely near the end of their careers whom they need to still be productive. Milwaukee clearly has the better offense. Cubs have better pitching. But since I believe pitching is less consistent than hitting the Cubs advantage may be a little more unstable than the Brewers' advantage. But obviously either team could win this thing.
  7. Noah Lowry p 4 years/$9.25M (2006-09), plus $6.25M 2010 club option signed extension 4/06 $1M signing bonus 06:$0.385M, 07:$1.115M, 08:$2.25M, 09:$4.5M, 10:$6.25M club option bonuses may increase total value of extension to $17M escalators may increase 2010 club option to $7.75M
  8. Tough call. I echo the sentiment that Hilton is the dark horse. But she could die like a Kennedy or Diana at any time. She probably has the most self confidence, and is least likely to go on a drug binge, but her confidence could be her undoing. Lohan has the most talent (she's a good actress - Spears is not a good singer), and those are often the people who go young. She could pull a Barrymore, however, and be America's sweetheart within 6 months. She could also pull a Tara Reid and settle comfortably into a series of cameos and less media presence. Spears has more to live for, in theory, with the kids. But we saw how that worked for Anna Nicole. And she hasn't shown any actual caring for her children. She has no talent, and her career was built on her youth and body. Without either to fall back on now, I could easily see her drifting into depression fueled spiral that absolutely destroys her. She probably couldn't even get hired in porn right now. She always had a fallback option of taking $1 million to pose nude somewhere. But that's probably gone. I think there are a lot more coke heads living on the edge and surviving than there are freaked out mothers shaving their heads and going absolutely insane. Lindsey is a reckless child. Spears is an insane mother. I take Britney.
  9. Appears risky to me. .278/.327/.454 with an OPS+ of 100 the rest of the way doesn't seem anywhere close to a lock. He's done worse in 3 of the last 4 years and 6 of his 9 seasons.
  10. Not a bad bat at all. He's no starter, but he can hit lefties. I kind of like the idea.
  11. I'm not going to assume there is anything legitimate about the Laird rumor. Laird and Soto do have remarkably similar minor league numbers, although that doesn't take into account 2007. Soto - .272/.353/.402 1823 AB, 221 BB, 412 K Laird - .271/.348/.406 1933 AB, 210 BB, 405 K
  12. I'd have no problem dealing Hill or Marshall if it netted a significant upgrade at C, SS, CF or RF. A 5th starter is only valuable for the balance of the regular season. I agree that Gallagher is a bit raw, but in my opinion the difference between an impact bat vs. one of the holes over the next eight weeks is greater than the difference between Hill/Marshall and Gallagher. A weak 5th starter might tax the pen a bit, but you've got Sept. callups to offset that some. yeah but not only are you opening a hole on this year's team, you're also trading away a young, cheap, productive pitcher who has significant value in future years. Which is why one of those pitchers should and could be the centerpiece of any deal and they should be able to get some significant. If somebody wants them, and more, or if they are only willing to give up a marginal improvement, than no way.
  13. Admitting a mistake this quickly by making another trade for a catcher would be really out of character for Hendry. He's done it before. I thought he was being sarcastic, considering that's exactly how he ended up with Kendall in the first place. I don't think Hendry views trading Barret as a mistake. I was thinking of other times where Hendry has moved an at-the-time recent acquisition only weeks later, such as Matt Lawton and Jody Gerut. Or Rob Bowen.
  14. Admitting a mistake this quickly by making another trade for a catcher would be really out of character for Hendry. He's done it before. I thought he was being sarcastic, considering that's exactly how he ended up with Kendall in the first place.
  15. The problem you're failing to recognize is that, if he bets on a game, he may do something stupid like mess up the bullpen for the next several days just to try to win one game. Sometimes a manager needs to look at the bigger picture and realize that at times you need to think of future consequences (such as burning out the bullpen or leaving a starter in too long) resulting from going all out today. Yes, a manager's job is to win, but from the bigger picture of winning enough to make the postseason as opposed to winning one specific game. Basically, it's the idea that sometimes you need to lose the battle in order to win the war. Fair points certainly. My main beef is that it happened as a manager and not as a player. Perhaps, not very likely though. He agree to be banned. There is a clear rule that was in place well before he got into the league that said gambling equals banishment. Banishment equals no association. There's no god given right to get in the hall. Rose sullied the game of baseball and deserves to be banished from the game.
  16. Summed up perfectly by Hendry saying that whether or not they trade for a bat depends on how they hit the rest of this week.
  17. Yes, yes it is. Particularly when your pen is already strong. Totally agree. It's dumber than the Pierre trade for the Cubs. At least Pierre filled a need and we got him for a full season. The Brewers gave away one of their best trading chips for 2.5 months of a relief pitcher they didn't even particularly need. Need for what, a leadoff hitter who doesn't get on base enough? Yeah, Juan Pierre didn't fill anything accept the misguided desire to see a stereotypical leadoff man on the team.
  18. Good point... he's a guy who could be a target for a team needing a third baseman. He's actually a prime trading chip due to ARam's long-term deal. I could see Moore, Scott and Craig being somewhat valuable chips to include, particularly to an AL team that may like to take a flyer on a potential hitter. If you look at some of the guys at the back of some benches, getting a few at bats and doing nothing, any of those guys could provide an improvement for no money over the next 3 years.
  19. yeah that was his career high... i can't get excited about that. Cesar Izturis hit .288.
  20. I think walks and hits per inning pitched can be a good stat. Like how often the guy prevents baserunners! Conveniently, we do have a statistic like that. WHIP: 2003: 1.509 (Eyre) versus 1.397 (Linebrink) 2004: 1.329 (Eyre) versus 1.036 (Linebrink) 2005: 1.083 (Eyre) versus 1.059 (Linebrink) 2006: 1.484 (Eyre) versus 1.216 (Linebrink) Linebrink is the better of the two, and he has been. But he hasn't been lights out by any means. And Eyre at his best has hung in his company. The issue remains the guy is a non-elite reliever, which for some reason, is a grossly overvalued asset in baseball nowadays. I'd rather my GM overpay free agent relievers than trade prospects for them, but neither is a smart move.
  21. True, but I could see Hendry valuing his HR skills possibly more than they are worth. Which may offset his lack of valuing the walks.
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