This is, objectively but not emotionally, the best match up in the first round the Bears could hope for. Emotionally, of course, it would be excruciating to lose in the playoffs to the Packers....again. However, it does allow for the tantalizing opportunity to beat them and shovel some dirt on the decades-long ownage the Packers have had over Chicago.
The Bears D is just terrible. On Bernstein's podcast they mentioned that aside from defensive plays that result in turnovers (which of course cannot and shouldn't be set aside from an analysis of the D as a whole) the Bears D is last of all NFL teams in EPA per play. The turnovers have kept the Bears D in the mid-20s, they're the life support that allow the Bears to even be competitive. Without them, they can't stop anyone, aside from completely inept offenses like the Browns. They'll need a couple, at minimum, to win on Saturday.
I'm as pissed as anyone about how lifeless the Bears offense was to start the game against the Lions, but the Bears D is so bad it limits how many possessions we even get. The Bears once again only had 2 drives before the two minute warning on Sunday. They may keep the opposing offense out of the end zone and limit the damage, but like the Packers game, the defense gives up 10+ play drives of 5, 6, 7 minutes and you just don't get the ball. It means the offense has to play complete mistake free football to be competitive. They haven't done that. They almost did it against the Niners. They almost did it yesterday in just the second half. They can't keep doing it.
My biggest hope is that the defense is able to do just enough to limit the damage and the Bears offense with Rome and Trapilo back, comes out of the gate just even a little bit hotter. Give us a game, give us a victory, and come what may.