We're not winning, so Lou refuses to do that. Once it goes to bases loaded, no outs, your odds of winning are 11%. Marmol would be a waste. He can't pitch in every single game that is close between now and the end of the season. Sometimes, you just have to suck it up and go with someone else. I don't know if that is necessarily the best way to gauge using Marmol, the leverage in this situation is enormous, even if our actually chances seem low