I'm not sure how Minnesota even has a better % odds. Bears should be favored to beat Detroit, Green Bay with something to play for should be favored to beat Minnesota. Obviously I don't know what all feeds into that % equation but on face value, I'd say I like the Bears chances. Well Minnesota has a 45% chance of making the playoffs and most of that is tied into the scenario of winning against GB. Lets say they have a 2% chance of making it if they lose (the Bears, Cowboys and Giants would have to lose I believe - the Cowboys so that they wouldn't win the division and push the Redskins into the WC picture), that would mean they are giving the Vikings a 43% chance of beating the Packers in Minnesota. I don't know if you see those accuscore projects that often, but a 57-43 spread in winning odds is pretty big, especially when the 43% if the home team, and a home team with a distinct HFA. The Bears will probably be favored by accuscore at most by a 53-47 margin, but probably close to a 52 or 51% favorite. So then add that to the 43% chance that the Vikings win, and it makes sense that the Bears would only be around 31% chance to make the playoffs despite the fact that Bears over Lions and Packers over Vikings would be the most realistic result. Not coincidentally that's roughly the chances Football Outsiders gives the Bears of making it